Why U.S. bull market for stocks is still intact, according to this strategist
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 23 2025
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Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: MarketWatch
Market Reaction to Geopolitical Events: Despite recent geopolitical tensions, markets showed a surprisingly calm response, with oil futures dropping and stock-market futures rising.
Analysis by Ed Yardeni: Ed Yardeni from Yardeni Research provided insights into the market's resilience amidst these developments, suggesting a trained investor mentality towards buying dips.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 186.940
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 186.940
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nvidia's Earnings Report to Signal Market Direction
- Market Concentration Analysis: RBC Wealth Management's Rob Sluymer highlights that the concentration of mega-cap tech stocks has significantly increased over the past few years, leading to investors being overweight in these stocks, which have now declined about 7% year-to-date.
- Nvidia Earnings Preview: Nvidia is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings on February 25, and Sluymer believes this will serve as a crucial market indicator; if the results fall short of expectations, it could trigger a larger correction in tech stocks.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: As attention on tech stocks rises, Sluymer notes that some funds are rotating out of these high-valuation stocks into other sectors, a typical behavior in times of high market concentration.
- Future Market Outlook: Should Nvidia's earnings report disappoint, it may lead to a decline in market confidence in tech stocks, potentially resulting in a broader market correction that could impact overall investment strategies.
See More
Nvidia Poised for Strong GPU Sales in China Again
- Massive Market Opportunity: Nvidia has negotiated a deal with the U.S. government to resume GPU sales to China, with CEO Jensen Huang estimating the Chinese market could generate up to $50 billion annually, significantly boosting the company's performance.
- Sales Recovery Expectations: Before the ban, Nvidia projected $8 billion in sales from China for Q2 FY 2025; if sales return to similar levels, GPU sales could exceed $30 billion, presenting substantial growth potential.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: Wall Street anticipates Nvidia's revenue will reach $326 billion for FY 2027, but given the surge in AI computing spending, actual revenue could hit $350 billion, further enhancing market confidence.
- Strong Profitability: If Nvidia achieves $350 billion in revenue while maintaining a 56% profit margin, it could generate $196 billion in profits, and with a reasonable 40x earnings valuation, the stock price could rise to $322, indicating a compelling investment opportunity.
See More
Broadcom's Rise in the AI Sector
- Surging AI Revenue: Broadcom reported a 74% year-over-year increase in AI semiconductor revenue for the latest quarter, with projections indicating that first-quarter revenue will double to $8.2 billion, driven by strong demand for custom accelerators and AI Ethernet switches, significantly boosting overall performance.
- Record Backlog: The company's backlog for AI switches has surpassed $10 billion, reflecting robust market demand amid ongoing AI data center buildouts, which further solidifies Broadcom's position in the industry.
- Differentiated Product Offering: Broadcom has launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 access point and switch system, designed to enhance security and speed for enterprises utilizing AI, thereby increasing its competitive edge and attracting more customers.
- Unique Market Positioning: Broadcom's XPUs are custom chips tailored for specific purposes, differentiating them from Nvidia and AMD's general-purpose GPUs, allowing the company to carve out a niche in the competitive AI market and enhancing its strategic positioning for future growth.
See More
Palantir's Stock Decline: Nvidia and AMD Emerge as New Favorites
- Palantir's High Valuation: Despite a significant stock pullback this year, Palantir's valuation remains astronomical at 128 times forward earnings, which may lead to declining investor confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Optimistic Outlook for Nvidia: Nvidia's forward earnings multiple stands at 24.5, and with the upcoming launch of the Rubin platform, which will support inference at up to 10 times lower costs, the company is expected to continue its growth trajectory and solidify its leadership in the AI chip market.
- AMD's Competitive Edge: Although AMD trades at nearly 32 times forward earnings, its Instinct MI400 chips match Nvidia's Vera Rubin in compute performance and memory bandwidth while offering 1.5 times the memory capacity and scale-out bandwidth, showcasing its potential as a credible challenger to Nvidia.
- Sustained Market Demand: Both Nvidia and AMD are poised to benefit from ongoing GPU demand, while Palantir's excellent product may not justify its high stock price, potentially hindering its ability to deliver market-beating returns.
See More
Analysis of Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Investment
- Stable Long-Term Returns: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF tracks the S&P 500 Index, which has averaged a 10% annual return since 1957, indicating that a $200 monthly investment could grow to approximately $395,000 over 30 years, showcasing its potential for long-term wealth accumulation.
- Market Volatility Risk: While the ETF has historically achieved positive returns through every recession and bear market, its market-cap-weighted structure means that tech stocks now comprise over 34% of the fund, with significant holdings in Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, potentially leading to increased short-term volatility.
- Tech Stock Dominance: The rapid growth of tech companies has led to their rising share in the ETF, with Nvidia alone accounting for nearly 8%, which, while boosting recent performance, also implies greater risk if the tech sector faces downturns.
- Caution for Investors: Although the S&P 500 ETF is likely to yield positive returns in the long run, its heavy reliance on tech stocks could introduce unexpected risks during market fluctuations, necessitating careful consideration of individual risk tolerance when investing.
See More
TSMC on Track to Join $3 Trillion Club
- Market Position Solidified: TSMC's current market capitalization stands at $1.9 trillion, and as the world's largest semiconductor foundry with a 71% share of the global chip market, investors could see a 58% return if it secures membership in the $3 trillion club.
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4, TSMC reported revenue of $33.7 billion, a 26% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share rising 35% to $3.14, while gross and operating margins improved to 59.9% and 50.8%, respectively, indicating enhanced profitability during expansion.
- Future Growth Expectations: Management forecasts first-quarter revenue of $35.2 billion, representing a 38% year-over-year growth, suggesting that the company will continue to thrive amid rising demand for high-end semiconductors.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Annual sales of high-end semiconductors are projected to approach $1 trillion by 2026, positioning TSMC to benefit from this trend, with analysts predicting revenues of $193.9 billion and $232.8 billion in 2027 and 2028, respectively.
See More
Nvidia's Earnings Report to Signal Market Direction
- Market Concentration Analysis: RBC Wealth Management's Rob Sluymer highlights that the concentration of mega-cap tech stocks has significantly increased over the past few years, leading to investors being overweight in these stocks, which have now declined about 7% year-to-date.
- Nvidia Earnings Preview: Nvidia is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings on February 25, and Sluymer believes this will serve as a crucial market indicator; if the results fall short of expectations, it could trigger a larger correction in tech stocks.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: As attention on tech stocks rises, Sluymer notes that some funds are rotating out of these high-valuation stocks into other sectors, a typical behavior in times of high market concentration.
- Future Market Outlook: Should Nvidia's earnings report disappoint, it may lead to a decline in market confidence in tech stocks, potentially resulting in a broader market correction that could impact overall investment strategies.
See More
Nvidia Poised for Strong GPU Sales in China Again
- Massive Market Opportunity: Nvidia has negotiated a deal with the U.S. government to resume GPU sales to China, with CEO Jensen Huang estimating the Chinese market could generate up to $50 billion annually, significantly boosting the company's performance.
- Sales Recovery Expectations: Before the ban, Nvidia projected $8 billion in sales from China for Q2 FY 2025; if sales return to similar levels, GPU sales could exceed $30 billion, presenting substantial growth potential.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: Wall Street anticipates Nvidia's revenue will reach $326 billion for FY 2027, but given the surge in AI computing spending, actual revenue could hit $350 billion, further enhancing market confidence.
- Strong Profitability: If Nvidia achieves $350 billion in revenue while maintaining a 56% profit margin, it could generate $196 billion in profits, and with a reasonable 40x earnings valuation, the stock price could rise to $322, indicating a compelling investment opportunity.
See More
Broadcom's Rise in the AI Sector
- Surging AI Revenue: Broadcom reported a 74% year-over-year increase in AI semiconductor revenue for the latest quarter, with projections indicating that first-quarter revenue will double to $8.2 billion, driven by strong demand for custom accelerators and AI Ethernet switches, significantly boosting overall performance.
- Record Backlog: The company's backlog for AI switches has surpassed $10 billion, reflecting robust market demand amid ongoing AI data center buildouts, which further solidifies Broadcom's position in the industry.
- Differentiated Product Offering: Broadcom has launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 access point and switch system, designed to enhance security and speed for enterprises utilizing AI, thereby increasing its competitive edge and attracting more customers.
- Unique Market Positioning: Broadcom's XPUs are custom chips tailored for specific purposes, differentiating them from Nvidia and AMD's general-purpose GPUs, allowing the company to carve out a niche in the competitive AI market and enhancing its strategic positioning for future growth.
See More
Palantir's Stock Decline: Nvidia and AMD Emerge as New Favorites
- Palantir's High Valuation: Despite a significant stock pullback this year, Palantir's valuation remains astronomical at 128 times forward earnings, which may lead to declining investor confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Optimistic Outlook for Nvidia: Nvidia's forward earnings multiple stands at 24.5, and with the upcoming launch of the Rubin platform, which will support inference at up to 10 times lower costs, the company is expected to continue its growth trajectory and solidify its leadership in the AI chip market.
- AMD's Competitive Edge: Although AMD trades at nearly 32 times forward earnings, its Instinct MI400 chips match Nvidia's Vera Rubin in compute performance and memory bandwidth while offering 1.5 times the memory capacity and scale-out bandwidth, showcasing its potential as a credible challenger to Nvidia.
- Sustained Market Demand: Both Nvidia and AMD are poised to benefit from ongoing GPU demand, while Palantir's excellent product may not justify its high stock price, potentially hindering its ability to deliver market-beating returns.
See More
Analysis of Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Investment
- Stable Long-Term Returns: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF tracks the S&P 500 Index, which has averaged a 10% annual return since 1957, indicating that a $200 monthly investment could grow to approximately $395,000 over 30 years, showcasing its potential for long-term wealth accumulation.
- Market Volatility Risk: While the ETF has historically achieved positive returns through every recession and bear market, its market-cap-weighted structure means that tech stocks now comprise over 34% of the fund, with significant holdings in Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, potentially leading to increased short-term volatility.
- Tech Stock Dominance: The rapid growth of tech companies has led to their rising share in the ETF, with Nvidia alone accounting for nearly 8%, which, while boosting recent performance, also implies greater risk if the tech sector faces downturns.
- Caution for Investors: Although the S&P 500 ETF is likely to yield positive returns in the long run, its heavy reliance on tech stocks could introduce unexpected risks during market fluctuations, necessitating careful consideration of individual risk tolerance when investing.
See More
TSMC on Track to Join $3 Trillion Club
- Market Position Solidified: TSMC's current market capitalization stands at $1.9 trillion, and as the world's largest semiconductor foundry with a 71% share of the global chip market, investors could see a 58% return if it secures membership in the $3 trillion club.
- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4, TSMC reported revenue of $33.7 billion, a 26% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share rising 35% to $3.14, while gross and operating margins improved to 59.9% and 50.8%, respectively, indicating enhanced profitability during expansion.
- Future Growth Expectations: Management forecasts first-quarter revenue of $35.2 billion, representing a 38% year-over-year growth, suggesting that the company will continue to thrive amid rising demand for high-end semiconductors.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Annual sales of high-end semiconductors are projected to approach $1 trillion by 2026, positioning TSMC to benefit from this trend, with analysts predicting revenues of $193.9 billion and $232.8 billion in 2027 and 2028, respectively.
See More
