Why Investing Guru Jeremy Grantham’s New ETF Shuns Nvidia and Tesla Stock
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 29 2024
0mins
Should l Buy AAPL?
Source: MarketWatch
- Jeremy Grantham's Approach: Jeremy Grantham, a renowned value stockpicker, is not opposed to momentum stocks but focuses on quality at a reasonable price.
- GMO's Investment Strategy: GMO, Grantham's investing firm, holds top tech stocks in its mutual funds, aiming for quality investments.
- U.S. Quality ETF: GMO launched the U.S. Quality ETF in November, with five of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks among its top 10 holdings.
- Emphasis on Quality: The rationale behind GMO's investment choices is centered on seeking quality assets that are reasonably priced.
- Investment Portfolio: GMO's approach includes owning several top tech companies in its mutual funds to achieve a balanced and quality-driven portfolio.
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Analyst Views on AAPL
Wall Street analysts forecast AAPL stock price to rise
32 Analyst Rating
19 Buy
11 Hold
2 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 261.730
Low
230.00
Averages
299.69
High
350.00
Current: 261.730
Low
230.00
Averages
299.69
High
350.00
About AAPL
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related services. Its product categories include iPhone, Mac, iPad, and Wearables, Home and Accessories. Its software platforms include iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS, visionOS, and tvOS. Its services include advertising, AppleCare, cloud services, digital content and payment services. The Company operates various platforms, including the App Store, that allow customers to discover and download applications and digital content, such as books, music, video, games and podcasts. It also offers digital content through subscription-based services, including Apple Arcade, Apple Fitness+, Apple Music, Apple News+, and Apple TV+. Its products include iPhone 16 Pro, iPhone 16, iPhone 15, iPhone 14, iPhone SE, MacBook Air, MacBook Pro, iMac, Mac mini, Mac Studio, Mac Pro, iPad Pro, iPad Air, AirPods, AirPods Pro, AirPods Max, Apple TV, Apple Vision Pro and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Investor Confidence: By maintaining continuous innovation and adaptability, these companies not only retain market share but also enhance investor confidence in the tech sector, reflecting their significance during economic turmoil.
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- Market Risk Management: In the current highly dangerous market environment, tech giants like Apple, Google, Amazon, Meta, and Nvidia are leveraging diversified product lines and innovative technologies to mask underlying market weaknesses, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Performance of Tech Giants: These companies exhibit a degree of resilience in financial performance, attracting investor attention despite increased market volatility, indicating their relative safety amid uncertainty.
- Investor Confidence: By maintaining continuous innovation and adaptability, these companies not only retain market share but also enhance investor confidence in the tech sector, reflecting their significance during economic turmoil.
- Future Outlook: Despite facing market challenges, the strategic positioning and financial robustness of these tech giants provide them with strong growth potential in future market recoveries, potentially leading the industry resurgence.
See More
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- Market Validation: The AI Impact Summit in India has attracted CEOs from tech giants like Nvidia, OpenAI, and Alphabet, highlighting the global business community's recognition of India's market potential, which is expected to drive future investments and collaborations.
- Infrastructure Investment: With rising demand for AI data centers, significant infrastructure investment deals are anticipated, further solidifying India's position as a global hub for AI technology.
- Talent Attraction: India is regarded as an 'AI talent factory,' with over 60% of Global Capability Centers focusing on AI and data development, and 80% of new centers projected to be AI-led in the next six to eight months, indicating a strong demand for tech talent.
- Executive Position Growth: An increasing number of firms are establishing senior leadership roles, such as 'Chief AI Officer,' in India, reflecting a reliance on local talent and a focus on the AI sector, which enhances competitiveness in the global market.
See More
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- Portfolio Dynamics: John Overdeck's portfolio positions Apple Inc. (AAPL) as the third-largest holding at 2.79% (approximately $1.39 billion), highlighting its significance among billionaire investors.
- CarPlay Strategic Shift: Apple plans to allow third-party voice-activated AI apps to utilize CarPlay starting February 6, 2026, marking a significant departure from its long-standing Siri-only policy, which is expected to enhance user experience and boost market competitiveness.
- Developer Support: While Siri will remain the default wake command, Apple anticipates rolling out developer support in the coming weeks, enabling automatic voice activation with the launch of third-party apps, thereby increasing the relevance of CarPlay in the evolving automotive software landscape.
- Product Launch Outlook: The upcoming iPhone 17e and iOS 26.4 beta, expected to feature an updated Siri by late February and a potential early March launch for M5 MacBook Pros, indicate Apple's ongoing innovation in the consumer electronics market.
See More
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- AI Disrupts Traditional Software: The rise of Anthropic poses significant challenges to traditional software companies like Workday and Salesforce, particularly in the application of AI technology, threatening their market share and customer loyalty.
- Surge in Capital Expenditures: Tech giants like Amazon and Google have significantly raised their capital expenditure outlooks, with Amazon projecting spending to reach $200 billion, far exceeding the $147 billion consensus, which could impact stock performance and investor confidence.
- Intensified Market Competition: The rapid advancement of AI technology raises questions about the value of enterprise software, leading investors to adopt a pessimistic view on the future of traditional software companies, especially in labor-intensive areas that may face workforce reductions due to AI adoption.
- Investor Confidence Shaken: Despite significant advancements by companies like Anthropic and OpenAI in the AI space, market confidence in traditional software companies is waning, resulting in poor stock performance over the past six months and raising concerns about future profitability.
See More
Tech Giants Mask Underlying Market Risks
- Market Risk Concerns: While tech giants like Apple, Google, Amazon, Meta, and Nvidia demonstrate some market resilience, the overall market remains highly dangerous, prompting investors to stay vigilant against potential volatility.
- Financial Performance Analysis: These companies report strong revenue growth in their financial statements; however, market uncertainties could impact future profitability, necessitating investor attention to shifts in macroeconomic indicators.
- Investor Strategy Adjustments: In light of market risks, investors may need to reassess their portfolios, considering a more balanced allocation between tech stocks and other sectors to mitigate potential losses.
- Industry Outlook: Although the performance of tech giants may mask underlying market issues, the long-term growth of the sector still relies on innovation and the stability of market demand.
See More
Wall Street's Bull Market Continues for Third Year
- Strong Market Performance: By the end of last year, the S&P 500 had risen 16%, achieving three consecutive years of at least 16% growth, indicating a robust market recovery and rising investor confidence.
- Tariff Policy Impact: Trump's tariff policy led to a 10.5% drop in the S&P 500 within two days of its announcement, marking the fifth-largest two-day decline since 1950, reflecting the market's high sensitivity to policy uncertainty.
- Earnings Quality Concerns: Despite the market's historically high valuation, the second-highest P/E ratio (39-41) raises concerns about earnings quality, as many companies rely on non-sustainable income sources to maintain profits, potentially undermining long-term investor confidence.
- Challenges for Apple and Tesla: Apple masks its lack of real earnings growth through stock buybacks, while Tesla relies on automotive regulatory credits and interest income, which account for 63% of its pre-tax income, highlighting the earnings quality crisis facing market leaders.
See More
