Volaris Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results: EBITDAR Margin Reaches 33.6%
Financial Performance: In Q3 2025, Volaris reported a net income of $6 million, a significant decrease from $37 million in Q3 2024, with total operating revenues of $784 million, down 3.6% year-over-year.
Operational Metrics: The airline saw a 4.6% increase in available seat miles (ASMs) to 9.1 billion, while the load factor decreased by 3 percentage points to 84.4%. Booked passengers rose by 3.2% to 7.9 million.
Cost Management: Total operating expenses increased by 4.2% to $716 million, with a slight decline in cost per available seat mile (CASM) to $7.90. The average economic fuel cost decreased by 1.5% to $2.61 per gallon.
Future Outlook: Volaris anticipates continued growth with disciplined capacity management and expects a solid start to 2026, projecting an EBITDAR margin of 32% to 33% for the full year 2025.
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- Price Target Breakthrough: Controladora Vuela Compania De Aviacion SAB de CV (VLRS) recently surpassed the average analyst 12-month target price of $10.48, trading at $10.63, indicating market optimism about the company's prospects, which may prompt analysts to reassess their target prices.
- Analyst Target Variability: Among analysts covered by Zacks, target prices range from $7.50 to $12.00, with a standard deviation of $1.629, reflecting significant divergence in market perceptions of the company's future performance, necessitating careful risk-reward evaluation by investors.
- Investor Signal: The stock's rise above the average target price provides a strong signal for investors to reassess the company, prompting them to consider whether the current price is merely a stop on the way to a higher target or if it has reached a stretched valuation.
- Market Reaction Considerations: Analysts' reactions may depend on fundamental business developments; if the company's outlook improves, analysts might raise their target prices, thereby influencing investor decisions and market dynamics.
- Capacity Growth: In January 2026, Volaris' available seat miles (ASM) increased by 4.3% to 3,210 million, indicating the company's proactive stance in meeting market demand despite slight declines in the domestic market.
- International Market Performance: International revenue passenger miles (RPM) rose by 6.7% to 1,181 million, reflecting sustained demand on international routes and enhancing Volaris' competitive position in the market.
- Passenger Transport Volume: In January, Volaris transported 2.7 million passengers, a 4.7% increase year-over-year, showcasing the company's success in attracting customers, particularly on international routes.
- Load Factor Changes: Although the overall load factor decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 84.8%, the domestic load factor remained stable at 87.6%, indicating resilience in the domestic market, with plans to optimize capacity to support profitability moving forward.

- Passenger Growth: In December 2025, Volaris transported 3 million passengers, a 7.2% increase year-over-year, indicating a recovery in market demand, particularly in the cross-border VFR segment.
- Capacity Expansion: Volaris' available seat miles (ASM) increased by 9.5% in December to 3,461 million, demonstrating the company's proactive efforts to expand its route network and enhance service capabilities.
- International Market Performance: International revenue passenger miles (RPM) rose by 10.7% to 1,231 million, reflecting strong demand and competitiveness in the international market.
- Load Factor Decline: Despite an overall load factor decrease of 3.5 percentage points to 84.1%, the company remains focused on flexibility and execution to navigate market challenges and enhance passenger value.
Merger Announcement: Mexican airlines Volaris and Viva Aerobus have announced a merger of equals, creating a new low-cost airline group where both will own 50% of the combined entity.
Operational Independence: The airlines will maintain their current operations and brands, ensuring existing passenger options while expanding point-to-point travel solutions.
Regulatory Approval Needed: The merger has been unanimously approved by both companies' boards but requires antitrust and aviation regulatory clearances, as well as shareholder approval.
Growth Expectations: The merger is anticipated to provide significant benefits to employees, passengers, and shareholders, with expectations of growth in the Mexican air travel market.
- Merger Agreement: Volaris and Viva have entered into an agreement to form a new airline group in 2026, aimed at expanding low-fare travel accessibility in Mexico and internationally, which is expected to significantly enhance the market competitiveness of both airlines.
- Economies of Scale: The new group will realize economies of scale through lowered fleet ownership costs and improved access to capital, thereby strengthening its financial profile and supporting sustainable growth while reducing operational costs.
- Passenger Choice Preservation: Post-merger, Volaris and Viva will continue to operate independently, retaining existing routes and brands, ensuring that passenger choices remain intact while enhancing the convenience of point-to-point travel.
- Community and Economic Development: The establishment of the new airline group is expected to create between 55 and 60 direct jobs per new service aircraft, while also driving economic development and tourism growth across Mexico through increased flights and new operational bases.
- Merger Agreement: Volaris and Viva have entered into a merger agreement aimed at expanding low-fare air travel through a newly established holding company, which is expected to enhance the market competitiveness and financial profiles of both airlines.
- Brand Independence Maintained: Post-merger, Volaris and Viva will retain their individual brands and operations, ensuring passenger choice remains unchanged while expanding routes and services to enhance customer loyalty.
- Economies of Scale: The new airline group will achieve economies of scale, reducing fleet ownership costs and improving access to capital, enabling both airlines to offer more competitive low fares to a broader customer base.
- Job Creation and Economic Development: The merger is expected to create 55 to 60 direct jobs per new aircraft service added, driving economic growth across Mexico and revitalizing tourism and related industries.








