TSMC's Earnings Fail to Reveal Key Insights on the AI Boom
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 15 2026
0mins
Should l Buy GOOGL?
Source: Barron's
Taiwan Semiconductor's Role: Taiwan Semiconductor, the largest contract chip manufacturer globally, is significantly contributing to the growth of artificial intelligence investments.
Impact on AI Industry: The company's advancements and production capabilities are expected to enhance the development and deployment of AI technologies.
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Analyst Views on GOOGL
Wall Street analysts forecast GOOGL stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
27 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 309.000
Low
279.00
Averages
338.25
High
390.00
Current: 309.000
Low
279.00
Averages
338.25
High
390.00
About GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company. The Company's segments include Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment includes infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. Its Other Bets segment is engaged in the sale of healthcare-related services and Internet services. Its Google Cloud provides enterprise-ready cloud services, including Google Cloud Platform and Google Workspace. Google Cloud Platform provides access to solutions such as artificial intelligence (AI) offerings, including its AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini for Google Cloud; cybersecurity, and data and analytics. Google Workspace includes cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- User Growth Comparison: Google's Gemini app has reached 750 million monthly active users, increasing by 100 million from the previous quarter, closely approaching ChatGPT's estimated 800 million users, indicating a significant threat to ChatGPT's market share.
- Revenue Driver: Although Google does not directly attribute revenue to Gemini, its strong growth in cloud and services units suggests that Gemini is a key contributor to the company's overall performance, with annual revenue surpassing $400 billion for the first time in 2025, marking a 15% year-over-year increase.
- Competitive Landscape: OpenAI faces fierce competition from major tech players like Google, as Gemini's rapid rise could erode ChatGPT's market share, forcing OpenAI to increase its infrastructure investments to maintain competitiveness.
- Funding Needs: To address competition and infrastructure commitments, OpenAI is reportedly close to completing a funding round of up to $100 billion, highlighting the financial pressures it faces in sustaining innovation and market expansion.
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- Nvidia's Market Leadership: As a leading designer of AI processors, Nvidia is poised to benefit from the increasing spending on AI data center infrastructure, particularly as Alphabet and Meta ramp up capital expenditures to $185 billion and $135 billion respectively, driving demand for Nvidia's processors.
- Alphabet's Gemini Success: Alphabet's Gemini chatbot now boasts 750 million monthly active users, a 67% increase from nine months ago, and has secured a partnership with Apple to make Gemini the underlying AI model for an upcoming version of Siri, which is expected to generate billions in revenue for Alphabet.
- Taiwan Semiconductor's Market Share: Taiwan Semiconductor holds a 70% share of the global semiconductor manufacturing market, with revenue projected to increase by 30% to $122.4 billion by 2025, and diluted earnings expected to rise by 47% to $10.65 per ADR, showcasing its strong performance amid surging AI processor demand.
- Long-Term Competitive Advantage: Research from Morningstar indicates that TSMC's organic growth driven by major tech trends could last for decades, with management confidently forecasting a 30% increase in sales this year, further solidifying its market position.
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- Nvidia's Market Position: As the leading designer of AI processors, Nvidia's stock remains attractive despite bubble concerns, with a current P/E ratio of 47, slightly above the tech sector average of 43, indicating strong demand amid increasing AI infrastructure spending.
- Alphabet's AI Success: Alphabet's Gemini chatbot has reached 750 million monthly active users, a 67% increase in nine months, and its collaboration with Apple to integrate Gemini into Siri is expected to generate billions in revenue, further boosting its cloud computing growth.
- Taiwan Semiconductor's Competitive Edge: Holding a 70% market share in the global semiconductor market, TSMC's advanced chip manufacturing and high yield rates position it well, with projected revenue growth of 30% to $122.4 billion by 2025, reflecting strong performance amid surging AI processor demand.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: All three companies excel in the AI sector, with reasonable P/E ratios of 47, 30, and 34 for Nvidia, Alphabet, and TSMC respectively, suggesting that investors can expect substantial returns over the coming years.
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- Significant User Growth: Google's Gemini AI application now boasts over 750 million monthly active users, an increase of 100 million from the previous quarter, indicating its rapid rise in the market and potential impact on ChatGPT's market share.
- Revenue Driver: While Google does not directly attribute revenue to Gemini, the model has become a key driver behind strong growth in Google's cloud and services units, with annual revenue surpassing $400 billion for the first time in 2025, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase.
- Intensifying Market Competition: The rapid growth of Gemini places OpenAI under greater competitive pressure, particularly in terms of AI infrastructure investments, as OpenAI is reportedly nearing completion of a $100 billion funding round, highlighting uncertainties in its future development.
- Strategic Integration Advantage: Google can integrate Gemini across multiple business areas, leveraging its strong brand recognition for marketing, which gives Gemini a competitive edge against ChatGPT, despite the latter's superior media attention.
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- China Market Recovery: Following the Trump administration's ban on Nvidia chip exports to China in April 2025, Nvidia is expected to resume exports, and if first-quarter revenue expectations reach $8 billion, it could lead to unexpected growth, significantly boosting market confidence.
- Surge in AI Giants' Investment: Major clients of Nvidia, including Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta, have announced capital expenditure plans for 2026, with expected spending of $175 billion to $185 billion, $200 billion, and $115 billion to $135 billion respectively, which will drive demand for Nvidia's chips and further solidify its market position.
- New Architecture Driving Growth: Nvidia's upcoming Rubin chip architecture offers significant efficiency improvements over the previous Blackwell generation, requiring only one Rubin chip for every four Blackwell chips for AI model training, which will encourage more companies to upgrade their GPUs, thus driving sustained growth for Nvidia.
- Attractive Stock Valuation: While Nvidia's stock is often deemed expensive, its forward P/E ratio of less than 25 times is near its lowest level in three years, and a projected 20% price increase would bring it to a more reasonable 30 times forward earnings, making it a prime buying opportunity now.
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- Autonomous Vision: Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced on Sunday that he expects the company to have the largest fleet of autonomous vehicles in the future, aligning with Tesla's long-term goals in the autonomous driving sector.
- Robotaxi Trials: Tesla is currently conducting trials of its Robotaxis in Austin, showcasing its advancements in self-driving technology and potentially laying the groundwork for future business models.
- AI Investment: The company is increasing its investments in artificial intelligence and machine learning to enhance its vehicles' self-driving capabilities, a strategy that will further solidify Tesla's leadership position in the electric vehicle market.
- Technological Competition: While Tesla relies heavily on cameras for its self-driving technology, Musk's vision contrasts with competitors like Waymo, which emphasizes standards that surpass human driving capabilities.
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