The Math Shows VIOV Can Go To $107
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 27 2024
0mins
Should l Buy PMT?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF Analysis: The Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF (VIOV) has an implied analyst target price of $107.49, indicating a potential upside of 13.55% from its current trading price of $94.67.
Individual Holdings Performance: Notable underlying holdings such as ProAssurance Corp, First Bancorp, and Pennymac Mortgage Investment Trust show significant upside potential based on analyst target prices, prompting questions about the validity of these targets amidst market developments.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy PMT?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on PMT
Wall Street analysts forecast PMT stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 12.490
Low
13.00
Averages
13.85
High
14.50
Current: 12.490
Low
13.00
Averages
13.85
High
14.50
About PMT
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests primarily in residential mortgage loans and mortgage-related assets. The Company's segments include credit sensitive strategies, interest rate sensitive strategies and correspondent production. The credit sensitive strategies segment represents its investments in CRT arrangements referencing loans from its own correspondent production and subordinate MBS. The interest rate sensitive strategies segment represents its investments in MSRs, Agency and senior non-Agency MBS and the related interest rate hedging activities. The correspondent production segment represents its operations aimed at serving as an intermediary between lenders and the capital markets by purchasing, pooling and reselling newly originated prime credit quality loans either directly or in the form of MBS, using the services of PCM and PLS. The Company is externally managed by PNMAC Capital Management, LLC.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Dividend Stocks Gain Favor Amid Market Turbulence
- Investor Preference Shift: Amid market turbulence and uncertainty, many investors are turning to dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, indicating a strong desire for stable income.
- Analyst Rating Overview: Benzinga provides the latest analyst ratings on high-yield stocks, allowing investors to review the latest analyses of their favorite stocks by visiting the Analyst Stock Ratings page, thereby enhancing transparency in investment decisions.
- High-Yield Stock Recommendations: In the financial sector, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE:PMT), Blue Owl Capital Corp (NYSE:OBDC), and Saratoga Investment Corp (NYSE:SAR) are highlighted as three high-yield stocks, reflecting market confidence in these companies.
- Analyst Accuracy: Benzinga's database enables traders to sort ratings by analyst accuracy, which not only improves investors' understanding of market dynamics but may also influence their investment strategies and choices.
See More
PennyMac Reports Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Net Income Performance: PennyMac reported net income of $42 million for Q4 2025, reflecting a 13% annualized return on common equity, although this is a decrease from $48 million in Q3, indicating increased competitive pressures in the market.
- Accelerated Securitization Activity: The company successfully completed 19 securitizations totaling $6.7 billion in UPB in 2025, a substantial increase from just 2 in 2024, highlighting its strengthened position in the non-Agency MBS market.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: PennyMac plans to complete approximately 30 securitizations in 2026, targeting returns in the low to mid-teens, which reflects its ongoing focus on high-return assets and strategic capital flexibility.
- Risk Management and Market Dynamics: Management emphasized the need to monitor the impact of increased prepayment speeds on MSR returns and expressed willingness to consider MSR sales if necessary to address competitive pressures and capital management needs.
See More
PennyMac Mortgage Trust to Announce Q4 Earnings on January 29
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is set to release its Q4 earnings on January 29 after market close, with consensus estimates of $0.39 EPS and $96.96 million in revenue, indicating investor interest in the company's financial performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, PennyMac has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time, although it has only surpassed revenue estimates 25% of the time, reflecting stability in profitability but challenges in revenue growth.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward and one downward revision, indicating mixed market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.
- Bond Refinancing Plan: PennyMac plans to reopen $75 million of 2029 notes, demonstrating the company's activity in the capital markets and proactive consideration of future financing needs.
See More
PennyMac's $390.2 Million Mortgage Trust Receives Preliminary Ratings from KBRA
- Credit Rating Assignment: KBRA has assigned preliminary ratings to 57 classes of mortgage-backed securities from PennyMac Corp.'s PMT Loan Trust 2026-INV1, involving a total of $390.2 million in fixed-rate mortgages, indicating market confidence in the transaction.
- Loan Pool Characteristics: The trust comprises 1,032 mortgages, with 72.6% being investment properties and 27.4% second homes, reflecting a diversified asset base that helps mitigate risk.
- Borrower Credit Quality: The pool's weighted average original loan-to-value (LTV) ratio stands at 74.6%, while the weighted average credit score is 779, both within the prime mortgage range, demonstrating strong borrower repayment capacity.
- Rating Methodology: KBRA utilized its Residential Asset Loss Model (REALM) for loan-level analysis of the mortgage pool, supplemented by third-party due diligence results and cash flow modeling analysis, ensuring the accuracy and reliability of the ratings.
See More
Biohaven Ltd's Depression Drug Trial Fails to Meet Primary Endpoint, Shares Plunge 14.3%
- Drug Trial Failure: Biohaven Ltd announced that its depression drug BHV-7000 failed to significantly reduce depressive symptoms in a six-week clinical trial, causing shares to plummet 14.3% to $9.27 in pre-market trading, reflecting a substantial decline in market confidence regarding its R&D capabilities.
- Severe Market Reaction: The news of the trial's failure triggered panic among investors, leading to a rapid decline in Biohaven's stock price during pre-market trading, indicating the high sensitivity of the biopharmaceutical sector to clinical outcomes, which may impact the company's future financing and R&D plans.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: With Biohaven's drug trial failure, market attention shifts to other competitors, particularly in the depression treatment space, potentially leading investors to reassess the market outlook and investment value of related companies.
- Wider Industry Implications: Biohaven's failure could have a ripple effect across the biopharmaceutical industry, particularly in terms of R&D investments and clinical trial designs, prompting other companies to more cautiously evaluate their drug development strategies.
See More
PennyMac Prices $75 Million Exchangeable Senior Notes Offering
- Financing Size: PennyMac Corp. successfully priced an offering of $75 million in 8.500% Exchangeable Senior Notes, expected to close on December 22, 2025, enhancing the company's capital structure to support future growth.
- Interest Payment Arrangement: The Notes will pay interest semiannually on June 1 and December 1, ensuring a stable cash flow for investors and increasing market attractiveness.
- Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering are expected to be approximately $75.6 million, which will be used to repay a portion of borrowings under mortgage servicing rights and to repurchase 2026 due Exchangeable Senior Notes, optimizing financial leverage.
- Exchange Terms: The initial exchange price of approximately $15.79 per share represents a 20% premium over the current stock price, providing investors with potential capital appreciation opportunities and boosting market confidence in the company's stock.
See More
Dividend Stocks Gain Favor Amid Market Turbulence
- Investor Preference Shift: Amid market turbulence and uncertainty, many investors are turning to dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, indicating a strong desire for stable income.
- Analyst Rating Overview: Benzinga provides the latest analyst ratings on high-yield stocks, allowing investors to review the latest analyses of their favorite stocks by visiting the Analyst Stock Ratings page, thereby enhancing transparency in investment decisions.
- High-Yield Stock Recommendations: In the financial sector, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE:PMT), Blue Owl Capital Corp (NYSE:OBDC), and Saratoga Investment Corp (NYSE:SAR) are highlighted as three high-yield stocks, reflecting market confidence in these companies.
- Analyst Accuracy: Benzinga's database enables traders to sort ratings by analyst accuracy, which not only improves investors' understanding of market dynamics but may also influence their investment strategies and choices.
See More
PennyMac Reports Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Net Income Performance: PennyMac reported net income of $42 million for Q4 2025, reflecting a 13% annualized return on common equity, although this is a decrease from $48 million in Q3, indicating increased competitive pressures in the market.
- Accelerated Securitization Activity: The company successfully completed 19 securitizations totaling $6.7 billion in UPB in 2025, a substantial increase from just 2 in 2024, highlighting its strengthened position in the non-Agency MBS market.
- Capital Allocation Strategy: PennyMac plans to complete approximately 30 securitizations in 2026, targeting returns in the low to mid-teens, which reflects its ongoing focus on high-return assets and strategic capital flexibility.
- Risk Management and Market Dynamics: Management emphasized the need to monitor the impact of increased prepayment speeds on MSR returns and expressed willingness to consider MSR sales if necessary to address competitive pressures and capital management needs.
See More
PennyMac Mortgage Trust to Announce Q4 Earnings on January 29
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust is set to release its Q4 earnings on January 29 after market close, with consensus estimates of $0.39 EPS and $96.96 million in revenue, indicating investor interest in the company's financial performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, PennyMac has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time, although it has only surpassed revenue estimates 25% of the time, reflecting stability in profitability but challenges in revenue growth.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced one upward and one downward revision, indicating mixed market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.
- Bond Refinancing Plan: PennyMac plans to reopen $75 million of 2029 notes, demonstrating the company's activity in the capital markets and proactive consideration of future financing needs.
See More
PennyMac's $390.2 Million Mortgage Trust Receives Preliminary Ratings from KBRA
- Credit Rating Assignment: KBRA has assigned preliminary ratings to 57 classes of mortgage-backed securities from PennyMac Corp.'s PMT Loan Trust 2026-INV1, involving a total of $390.2 million in fixed-rate mortgages, indicating market confidence in the transaction.
- Loan Pool Characteristics: The trust comprises 1,032 mortgages, with 72.6% being investment properties and 27.4% second homes, reflecting a diversified asset base that helps mitigate risk.
- Borrower Credit Quality: The pool's weighted average original loan-to-value (LTV) ratio stands at 74.6%, while the weighted average credit score is 779, both within the prime mortgage range, demonstrating strong borrower repayment capacity.
- Rating Methodology: KBRA utilized its Residential Asset Loss Model (REALM) for loan-level analysis of the mortgage pool, supplemented by third-party due diligence results and cash flow modeling analysis, ensuring the accuracy and reliability of the ratings.
See More
Biohaven Ltd's Depression Drug Trial Fails to Meet Primary Endpoint, Shares Plunge 14.3%
- Drug Trial Failure: Biohaven Ltd announced that its depression drug BHV-7000 failed to significantly reduce depressive symptoms in a six-week clinical trial, causing shares to plummet 14.3% to $9.27 in pre-market trading, reflecting a substantial decline in market confidence regarding its R&D capabilities.
- Severe Market Reaction: The news of the trial's failure triggered panic among investors, leading to a rapid decline in Biohaven's stock price during pre-market trading, indicating the high sensitivity of the biopharmaceutical sector to clinical outcomes, which may impact the company's future financing and R&D plans.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: With Biohaven's drug trial failure, market attention shifts to other competitors, particularly in the depression treatment space, potentially leading investors to reassess the market outlook and investment value of related companies.
- Wider Industry Implications: Biohaven's failure could have a ripple effect across the biopharmaceutical industry, particularly in terms of R&D investments and clinical trial designs, prompting other companies to more cautiously evaluate their drug development strategies.
See More
PennyMac Prices $75 Million Exchangeable Senior Notes Offering
- Financing Size: PennyMac Corp. successfully priced an offering of $75 million in 8.500% Exchangeable Senior Notes, expected to close on December 22, 2025, enhancing the company's capital structure to support future growth.
- Interest Payment Arrangement: The Notes will pay interest semiannually on June 1 and December 1, ensuring a stable cash flow for investors and increasing market attractiveness.
- Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from this offering are expected to be approximately $75.6 million, which will be used to repay a portion of borrowings under mortgage servicing rights and to repurchase 2026 due Exchangeable Senior Notes, optimizing financial leverage.
- Exchange Terms: The initial exchange price of approximately $15.79 per share represents a 20% premium over the current stock price, providing investors with potential capital appreciation opportunities and boosting market confidence in the company's stock.
See More
