The Emergence of AI Agents Poses an Unforeseen Risk
AI Agents Expected in 2026: Artificial-intelligence companies anticipate that 2026 will mark the introduction of AI agents capable of autonomously performing complex tasks based on simple instructions.
Security Concerns: The emergence of this new technology raises significant security vulnerabilities, creating opportunities for cybersecurity firms to address these challenges.
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- Market Rebound Expectations: JPMorgan believes that while the market's outlook on AI disruption in the software sector is overly pessimistic, certain software companies are demonstrating greater resilience, potentially providing rebound opportunities for investors, especially given the current overly bearish sentiment.
- Extreme Price Volatility: Analysts point out that the extreme price action in software stocks has led to unrealistic expectations regarding AI disruption, which may prompt a rotation back into higher-quality companies, thereby improving portfolio performance.
- AI Profitability Gains: Companies in the S&P 500 that have adopted AI have seen net margins expand by approximately 2 to 3 percentage points more than their peers, indicating that AI technology is already delivering productivity gains and reflecting that corporate adoption is enhancing profitability.
- ETF Performance Decline: The State Street SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF (NYSE:XSW) is down 20.58% year-to-date, illustrating the overall pessimistic sentiment towards the software sector, despite some companies potentially benefiting from AI infrastructure demand.
- Current Software Market: Despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassing 50,000 and the S&P 500 gaining at least 16% in six of the last seven years, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF is nearly 28% below its all-time high, indicating that software stocks are in a bear market, presenting opportunities for value investors.
- Salesforce Growth Potential: Salesforce's Agentforce AI platform generated over $500 million in annual recurring revenue in Q3, up 330% year-over-year, and despite AI competition concerns, its leadership in the CRM market and strategic acquisition capabilities sustain high growth, with a forward P/E ratio of just 14.8, representing a 52% discount to its historical average.
- Adobe's Performance Recovery: Adobe's Digital Media segment achieved $19.2 billion in annual recurring revenue for FY 2025, an 11.5% increase, and despite fears surrounding generative AI, its strong cash flow and share buyback program (30.8 million shares in FY 2025) indicate financial health, with a forward P/E of 10.1, 61% below its historical average.
- Okta's Rising Security Demand: Okta's RPO increased 17% year-over-year to nearly $4.3 billion in Q3, as the shift of enterprise data to the cloud boosts cybersecurity demand; its AI-driven platform provides identity authentication and application authorization, and while facing AI competition, its forward P/E of 24 shows relative attractiveness.
- Current Software Market Status: Despite the Dow Jones and S&P 500 reaching new highs, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF has plunged 32% from its all-time high, indicating a bearish trend in software stocks that investors need to navigate cautiously.
- Salesforce's Growth Potential: Salesforce's Agentforce AI platform generated over $500 million in annual recurring revenue in Q3, up 330% year-over-year, and despite AI threats, the company maintains market leadership through strategic acquisitions and high-margin growth.
- Adobe's Financial Performance: Adobe achieved an 11% sales growth in fiscal 2025, with its Digital Media segment's annual recurring revenue reaching $19.2 billion; despite AI competition, Adobe's buyback of 30.8 million shares enhances earnings per share, showcasing strong cash flow.
- Okta's Market Demand: Okta's RPO increased by 17% year-over-year to nearly $4.3 billion in Q3, and as cybersecurity needs rise, the company leverages AI and machine learning to enhance identity verification services, demonstrating robust market adaptability.
Market Impact: The software sector has experienced a $2 trillion loss due to concerns over potential disruptions from artificial intelligence technology.
Investment Perspective: Analysts at J.P. Morgan view this downturn as a buying opportunity and have identified several AI-resistant companies, including Microsoft and CrowdStrike.
Market Impact: The software sector has experienced a significant decline, losing approximately $2 trillion due to concerns over potential disruptions from artificial intelligence technology.
Investment Perspective: Analysts at J.P. Morgan view this downturn as a potential buying opportunity and have identified a list of companies that are resistant to AI-related disruptions.
- Declining Market Attention: Despite Okta's strong performance in identity verification and solid results over the past few quarters, its stock has fallen over 30% from its May highs, indicating market neglect that could undermine investor confidence.
- Low Earnings Growth Expectation: Okta is projected to have only 7% earnings growth this year, which has kept it off Jim Cramer's recommended list, reflecting a cautious market outlook on its future performance.
- AI Security Opportunity: CEO Todd McKinnon highlighted a significant opportunity for Okta in securing thousands, if not millions, of AI agents being created within enterprises, a perspective that resonated with Cramer and could drive future growth for the company.
- Attractive Valuation: With Okta's stock currently trading at just 23 times this year's expected earnings, Cramer sees it as a buying opportunity worth considering, despite the prevailing negative market sentiment, as its fundamentals remain strong.









