TD Cowen Reaffirms Buy Rating for Cohu (COHU)
Analyst Recommendation: TD Cowen has maintained a Buy recommendation for Cohu (NasdaqGS:COHU) as of October 30, 2025, with an average one-year price target of $26.26/share, indicating a potential upside of 9.16% from its current price of $24.06/share.
Projected Revenue and EPS: Cohu's projected annual revenue is expected to reach $870 million, reflecting a significant increase of 104.79%, with a projected non-GAAP EPS of 3.03.
Fund Sentiment: There are currently 460 funds reporting positions in Cohu, with a slight decrease of 4.96% in the number of owners over the last quarter, while the average portfolio weight dedicated to COHU has increased by 6.35%.
Shareholder Activity: Notable shareholders like Victory Capital Management and Royce & Associates have increased their holdings in Cohu, while others like iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF have slightly decreased their shares, indicating mixed activity among institutional investors.
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- Earnings Miss: Cohu reported a non-GAAP loss of $0.15 per share on revenue of $122.2 million for Q4, with sales up approximately 30% year-over-year, yet falling short of Wall Street's expectation of a $0.06 profit per share, leading to a 7.2% drop in stock price.
- Market Reaction: Amid flat trading for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, Cohu's stock fell 6.86%, reflecting investor disappointment over the company's weaker-than-expected earnings performance.
- Future Guidance: Cohu provided guidance for Q1 sales between $115 million and $129 million, expecting to remain in line with last quarter's revenue, while projecting a gross margin of approximately 45%, a significant improvement from last year's 42.7%, indicating positive cost control efforts.
- High-Bandwidth Memory Sales: Cohu anticipates sales for high-bandwidth memory products to range between $15 million and $20 million, and although this category remains relatively small, its growth potential could further enhance the company's overall gross margins.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Cohu reported Q3 revenue of $122.2 million, reflecting nearly 30% year-over-year growth; however, the company posted an unexpected adjusted loss of $0.15 per share, far exceeding the anticipated profit of $0.06, leading to a 7.2% drop in stock price.
- Negative Market Reaction: Cohu's stock fell by 7.2% during Friday's trading session, contrasting sharply with the flat performance of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, indicating investor disappointment with the company's financial results.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The company provided guidance for Q1 sales between $115 million and $129 million, expecting revenue to remain roughly in line with the previous quarter, while projecting an improvement in gross margin from 42.7% to approximately 45%, suggesting potential for profitability enhancement.
- High-Bandwidth Memory Sales Prospects: Cohu anticipates sales for high-bandwidth memory products to range between $15 million and $20 million, which, although still a small segment, could contribute to overall margin improvement and bolster future profitability.
- Earnings Loss: Cohu reported an adjusted loss of $0.15 per share for Q4, significantly missing the analyst consensus of a $0.06 profit, indicating challenges in profitability that may affect investor confidence.
- Sales Beat: Despite the loss, Cohu's quarterly sales reached $122.23 million, slightly exceeding the analyst estimate of $122.09 million, suggesting the company retains some market competitiveness in sales.
- Outlook Guidance: Cohu forecasts Q1 sales between $115 million and $129 million, below the analyst estimate of $120.136 million, reflecting a cautious outlook on future market demand that could impact stock performance.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Following the earnings announcement, Needham maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $30 to $33, while B. Riley Securities lowered its target from $35 to $33, indicating mixed market sentiment regarding Cohu's future performance.
- Revenue Shortfall: Pinterest reported Q4 revenue of $1.32 billion, falling short of analyst expectations of $1.33 billion, indicating competitive pressures that may undermine future investor confidence.
- Earnings Miss: The company posted adjusted earnings of 67 cents per share, below the anticipated 69 cents, reflecting challenges in profitability that could lead to shareholder scrutiny of management.
- Significant Stock Decline: Pinterest shares plummeted 19.5% to $14.95 in pre-market trading, a drastic move that may raise concerns about the company's future performance and influence investor decisions.
- Mixed Market Sentiment: U.S. stock futures showed mixed results, with Dow futures down about 0.2%, reflecting cautious market sentiment potentially linked to Pinterest's earnings report, further exacerbating investor unease.
- Strong Financial Results: Applied Materials reported first-quarter revenue of $7.01 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $6.87 billion, indicating robust demand in the semiconductor equipment market and reinforcing its market leadership.
- Earnings Beat: The company posted adjusted earnings of $2.38 per share for the first quarter, surpassing the $2.20 estimate, reflecting improved cost control and operational efficiency, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Stock Surge: Following the earnings report, Applied Materials shares jumped 11.9% to $367.50 in pre-market trading, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the company's growth prospects, potentially boosting investor confidence further.
- Positive Q2 Guidance: The company issued second-quarter guidance above market expectations, demonstrating management's confidence in future performance, which is expected to drive more capital inflows and enhance its competitive position in the industry.
- Recurring Revenue Growth: In Q4 2025, Cohu's recurring revenue accounted for 60% of total revenue, with a sequential increase of 34%, indicating strong demand recovery in service contracts and interface solutions, thereby enhancing the company's competitiveness in the semiconductor market.
- Surge in Systems Demand: Systems orders increased by 47% quarter-over-quarter, primarily driven by higher equipment orders from major global customers, particularly renewed investments from a leading analog and mixed-signal semiconductor customer, signaling a market demand rebound.
- Strong Financial Performance: Q4 revenue reached $122.2 million with a gross margin of 40.8%, although lower than guidance due to one-time inventory charges, the full-year revenue grew 13% year-over-year to $453 million, demonstrating overall financial health.
- Optimistic Outlook: Cohu forecasts Q1 2026 revenue to remain flat at approximately $122 million, with recurring revenue expected to represent 60%, and gross margin projected to rebound to around 45%, reflecting the company's confidence in future growth.








