"Strategy Stock Remains 'Relatively Inexpensive' Post-Bitcoin Crash, with S&P 500 Inclusion in December Still Possible"
Market Stability: Despite a significant drop in Strategy's (MSTR) stock price, researchers at Matrixport believe the company remains stable and is still a candidate for S&P 500 inclusion in December, with a low risk of forced Bitcoin liquidation.
Credit Rating and Benchmark: Strategy received a "B-" credit rating from S&P Global Ratings, marking a first for a Bitcoin treasury company, which sets a new standard for evaluating corporate crypto treasuries.
Recent Bitcoin Purchases: The company has increased its Bitcoin purchases significantly, acquiring 8,178 BTC worth $835 million, indicating confidence in its ability to weather market volatility.
Analyst Support: Wall Street analysts remain optimistic about Strategy, with a majority issuing positive ratings and an average 12-month price target suggesting a potential upside of 153% from current levels.
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- Market Value Decline: The total market cap of cryptocurrencies has fallen over 30% in the past three months, significantly pressuring treasury firms that rely on crypto assets, potentially forcing them to sell holdings to service debts, thereby exacerbating the market downturn.
- Financial Strain Intensifies: Mara Holdings has a market cap of $3.05 billion against Bitcoin assets worth $3.69 billion, indicating financial vulnerability as it faces pressure to sell Bitcoin, highlighting the precarious nature of its financial situation.
- Severe Unrealized Losses: BitMine Immersion Technologies is sitting on approximately $7.5 billion in unrealized paper losses, and despite raising funds through PIPE deals, its stock has plummeted nearly 60% in the past six months, underscoring its fragility in the current market environment.
- Rising ETF Appeal: With the approval of cryptocurrency ETFs, investors may increasingly prefer these passive investment vehicles over higher-risk crypto treasuries, potentially leading to capital outflows and a decline in market share for the latter.
- Market Value Plunge: The crypto market cap has fallen over 30% in the last three months, creating significant pressure on treasury firms that rely on crypto assets, with many potentially needing to sell their holdings to service debt, exacerbating the market downturn.
- Financial Strain Intensifies: For instance, Mara Holdings has a market cap of $3.05 billion while its Bitcoin assets are valued at $3.69 billion, yet the company may face pressure to sell Bitcoin, reflecting the vulnerability of crypto treasury firms.
- Severe Unrealized Losses: BitMine Immersion Technologies is sitting on approximately $7.5 billion in unrealized losses, and despite raising funds through PIPE deals, its stock has plummeted nearly 60% in the past six months, indicating market concerns about its future.
- Increased ETF Pressure: With the introduction of crypto ETFs, digital asset treasury firms face heightened competitive pressure, especially as ETFs offer yield and liquidity advantages, potentially leading investors to shift towards safer investment options, thereby impacting the entire crypto ecosystem.
- Institutional Investment Surge: BlackRock increased its stake in BMNR by 165.6% in Q4 2025, adding 5,642,590 shares to reach a total of 9,049,912 shares valued at approximately $245.7 million, indicating strong confidence in the company's prospects.
- ARK Invest Increases Holdings: On the same day, ARK Invest purchased 212,314 shares of BMNR across three ETFs in a $4.2 million transaction, raising its total holdings to 9,457,330 shares, further solidifying its investment position in the company.
- Analyst Rating Upgrade: Analysts have generally upgraded BMNR, with 75% rating it as a “strong buy” and projecting an upside of over 105%, reflecting optimistic expectations for its future performance in the market.
- Ethereum Price Impact: Despite Ethereum trading approximately 60% below its August 2025 peak, the strong performance of BMNR and increased institutional investments suggest a positive outlook for its Ethereum-linked business, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Ethereum Price Surge: Ethereum's price increased by 4.24% over the past 24 hours to $2,029.96, with a market cap of $245 billion and trading volume of $21.9 billion, driving Bitmine's strong performance and indicating a revival in crypto market activity and investor confidence.
- Charles Schwab Increases Holdings: Charles Schwab disclosed in its 13F-HR filing that it raised its Bitmine holdings from 1,712,780 shares to 2,732,761 shares, a 59.55% increase, reflecting growing institutional confidence in Bitmine and potentially further boosting the stock price.
- Technical Analysis Indicates Pressure: Despite a 197.35% increase in Bitmine's stock over the past 12 months, it currently trades 16.1% below its 20-day simple moving average and 44% below its 100-day moving average, indicating challenges in maintaining upward momentum in the short and medium term, warranting caution from investors.
- Key Support and Resistance Levels: Bitmine's key resistance level is set at $24.50, with support at $17.00, and the current stock price is $21.20, which, while facing technical pressure, remains close to its 52-week highs, reflecting potential for long-term trends.
- Shift in Youth Financial Preferences: Thomas Lee, Chairman of BitMine Immersion, highlighted that MrBeast's entry into finance could significantly alter the financial preferences of younger generations, particularly Gen Z and Gen Alpha, who together represent about 120 million people in the U.S., indicating substantial market potential.
- Wealth Transfer Expectations: Lee noted that while these young customers are not wealthy today, a significant wealth transfer of trillions is anticipated in the coming decades, providing long-term growth opportunities for MrBeast's financial platform.
- MrBeast's Influence: With 330 million subscribers, Lee described MrBeast as one of the most impactful entertainment brands globally, and the integration of cryptocurrency into his financial services platform is expected to attract a large number of young users, further solidifying his market position.
- Strategic Partnership with Step: MrBeast's investment in Step allows BitMine to align with Step, focusing on Gen Z and Gen Alpha consumers while leveraging the rise of a
- Performance Volatility: Robinhood's fourth-quarter results showed mixed outcomes, with profits exceeding expectations but revenues falling short, leading to an 8.20% drop in stock price to $71.51 on Thursday, indicating market concerns about its growth potential.
- Analyst Ratings: Despite the stock decline, analysts maintain a Buy rating on Robinhood with an average price target of $142, reflecting confidence in its growth levers such as prediction markets and international expansion.
- Bitmine Trading Dynamics: Shares of Bitmine Immersion Technologies rose slightly by 1.81% to $20.85, benefiting from Ethereum price sensitivity, with staked ETH expected to generate over $370 million in annualized rewards, showcasing its potential in the crypto market.
- Airbnb Stake Adjustment: Ark Invest trimmed its stake in Airbnb by selling 259,652 shares across its ARKF, ARKK, and ARKW funds, reflecting a cautious stance following the company's mixed fourth-quarter earnings where revenues beat but EPS missed expectations.








