Stocks sell off on growth scare, yet companies’ talk of recession is lowest since 2018
Recession Concerns: President Trump's tariff policies have heightened recession fears in the stock market, yet S&P 500 companies are not expressing these concerns during earnings calls.
Earnings Call Trends: Only 13 out of S&P 500 companies mentioned "recession" in their fourth-quarter earnings calls, significantly lower than the five-year average of 80 mentions.
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- New Investment Position: Barrier Capital disclosed in an SEC filing on February 13, 2026, that it initiated a new position by acquiring 952,074 shares of Compass valued at approximately $10.06 million, indicating a bullish outlook and making it the firm's sixth-largest holding.
- Asset Management Proportion: This transaction represents 7.4% of Barrier Capital's 13F reportable assets under management, reflecting a strategic positioning in the real estate market, even though Compass does not rank among its top five holdings.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Compass achieved record revenue of $1.9 billion in Q3 2023, marking a 24% year-over-year increase, and is projected to reach sales of $1.6 to $1.7 billion in Q4, showcasing strong market performance.
- Reasonable Valuation: With a price-to-sales ratio of 0.9 and a solid balance sheet (total assets of $1.6 billion against liabilities of $775 million), the timing for increasing shareholdings appears particularly favorable.
- New Investment Position: Barrier Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing dated February 13, 2026, that it initiated a new position in Compass by purchasing 952,074 shares valued at $10.06 million, indicating a bullish outlook on Compass's future growth.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This purchase makes Compass the sixth largest holding for Barrier Capital, representing 7.4% of its 13F reportable assets, reflecting the firm's confidence in the stock's investment potential.
- Strong Performance: Compass achieved record revenue of $1.9 billion in Q3 2026, a 24% year-over-year increase, and forecasts sales to rise to between $1.6 billion and $1.7 billion in Q4, further solidifying its market position.
- Financial Health: As of the end of Q3, Compass reported total assets of $1.6 billion against liabilities of $775 million, demonstrating a solid balance sheet, and with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.9, it presents a favorable opportunity for share acquisition.
- New Investment Move: Barrier Capital Management disclosed in an SEC filing dated February 13, 2026, that it initiated a new position in Compass (NYSE:COMP) by purchasing 952,074 shares valued at $10.06 million, indicating a strong bullish outlook on the company.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This transaction positions Compass as the sixth largest holding for Barrier Capital, representing 7.4% of its reportable assets under management, reflecting confidence in Compass's future growth potential.
- Strong Performance: Compass achieved record revenue of $1.9 billion in Q3 2026, marking a 24% year-over-year growth, and forecasts sales to reach between $1.6 billion and $1.7 billion in Q4, further solidifying its market position.
- Attractive Valuation: With a price-to-sales ratio of 0.9 and a solid balance sheet, Compass is viewed as a good investment opportunity despite not being included in Motley Fool's top stock picks, highlighting the potential for significant returns.
- Inflation Report Impact: A cooler-than-expected inflation report resulted in flat stock performance for the day.
- Treasury Yields Reaction: The report led to lower Treasury yields as investors anticipated potential rate cuts in the coming months.
- Financial Strain on Universities: Universities are facing increased financial pressure due to rising costs.
- Impact of Federal Funding Cuts: President Donald Trump's initiatives to reduce federal funding are affecting many educational institutions.

Pam Bondi's Market Prediction: Pam Bondi, a former Florida Attorney General, suggested that the stock market may have reached its peak, indicating potential concerns about future performance.
Market Reactions: Her comments have sparked discussions among investors and analysts regarding the sustainability of current market levels and the possibility of a downturn.
Context of the Statement: Bondi's remarks come amid fluctuating economic indicators and investor sentiment, raising questions about the overall health of the market.
Implications for Investors: The speculation around a market top could influence investment strategies, prompting some to reconsider their positions in light of potential risks.








