Silver Gains as Chinese Stockpiles Decline and Fed Optimism Lifts Market
Silver Price Increase: Spot silver rose 1.7% to $52.37, marking a third consecutive session of gains due to low Chinese stockpiles and optimism surrounding potential Fed rate cuts.
Chinese Market Dynamics: Inventories in Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouses have reached their lowest since 2015, while silver exports from China surged to over 660 tons in October, indicating strong demand and tight supply.
Backwardation Indicator: Near-term silver prices in Shanghai have surpassed later-dated contracts, a situation known as backwardation, suggesting short-term market pressure due to tight supply.
Market Volatility: Silver has had a volatile year, increasing by 80% amid rising gold prices and speculation about potential tariffs on silver, with expectations that the current shortage may ease in about two months.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on SIL
About the author


- Silver Market Decline: Silver experienced its worst trading day since 1980, highlighting the volatility in financial markets.
- Investment Opportunity: Despite the sharp decline, there may be potential for buying mining stocks as a result of the downturn.

Silver Price Forecast: Citi expects silver prices to continue performing well, with potential increases of 30% to 40% in the near term, and if the gold-to-silver ratio returns to its 2011 low, silver could reach prices between $160 and $170.
Market Dynamics: The strong demand for silver, particularly from China, is driving prices higher, despite traditional bearish signals such as ETF outflows and reduced speculative positioning in futures markets.
Recent Price Movements: Silver has seen significant gains, with a recent surge of over 13% to a record high of $117.75 before closing slightly higher at $108.3 per ounce, reflecting a volatile market environment.
Expert Opinions: Analysts express mixed views on the sustainability of current silver prices, with some warning of an impending economic crisis and others suggesting that the current rally is driven by speculative demand rather than fundamental factors.
Economic Growth: The economy is experiencing a growth of 1.3%, indicating a positive trend in economic activity.
Mining Sector Performance: The mining sector shows a slight increase of 0.3%, reflecting stability in this industry.
- Market Reaction: The stock market is experiencing turmoil due to renewed fears about tariffs, reminiscent of similar concerns in early 2025.
- Historical Context: The situation evokes a sense of déjà vu, highlighting the cyclical nature of tariff-related anxieties in the financial markets.
- Silver Price Surge: Silver has increased nearly 160% over the past year, reaching close to $80 an ounce, nearing record highs.
- Hecla Mining Performance: The rally in silver prices is overshadowed by the performance of Hecla Mining, the largest silver miner in the U.S. and Canada.






