Sibanye Stillwater Limited - Price Target for Depositary Receipt (SBSW) Raised by 12.83% to 11.15
Price Target Update: The average one-year price target for Sibanye Stillwater Limited (NYSE:SBSW) has been revised to $11.15 per share, reflecting a 12.83% increase from the previous estimate of $9.88, although it represents a 9.70% decrease from the latest closing price of $12.35.
Fund Sentiment: There are currently 292 funds reporting positions in SBSW, an increase of 12.31% from the last quarter, with an average portfolio weight of 0.21%, which has risen by 18.72%. However, total shares owned by institutions have decreased by 6.44% over the last three months.
Shareholder Activity: Notable changes in shareholder positions include Jpmorgan Chase increasing its holdings by 32.15% while significantly reducing its portfolio allocation by 77.79%, and D. E. Shaw decreasing its shares by 52.88% with a similar reduction in allocation.
Market Outlook: The put/call ratio for SBSW stands at 0.32, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors, suggesting optimism about the stock's future performance.
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- Preliminary Support for Tariffs: Sibanye-Stillwater's stock rose 8.1% on Friday after the company announced that its call for U.S. tariffs on Russian palladium imports received preliminary support from the U.S. Commerce Department, although a final decision is not expected until mid-2026.
- Dumping Investigation Findings: The Commerce Department stated this week that its preliminary investigation found evidence of dumping, with a preliminary weighted-average dumping rate margin of 132.83% for palladium from Russia, providing strong backing for Sibanye's tariff request.
- Competitive Disadvantage: CEO Richard Stewart expressed encouragement from the government's preliminary finding, noting that
- Institutional Ownership: Sibanye Stillwater's institutional investors hold 85% of the shares, indicating strong confidence in the company's prospects, but also suggesting that stock price may be vulnerable to their trading decisions.
- Market Performance Review: The company reached a market cap of R192 billion, with a one-year return to shareholders of 281%, showcasing robust market performance that attracts more investor attention.
- Major Shareholder Analysis: The Public Investment Corporation is the largest shareholder with 20% ownership, while the top seven shareholders collectively own over half of the shares, reflecting a balance of interests among larger and smaller shareholders.
- Insider Ownership Situation: Insiders own less than 1% of the company, which, while common in large firms, may lead to excessive concentration of decision-making power, potentially impacting corporate governance.
- Platinum Price Outlook: Sibanye Stillwater CEO Richard Stewart stated that platinum prices will remain volatile but will not revisit last year's lows, which were deemed unsustainable, indicating that a new price floor has been established in the market.
- Stillwater West Mine Restart Assessment: Sibanye is evaluating when to restart its Stillwater West mine in Montana, which was placed on care and maintenance in 2024, with the decision hinging on a long-term view of the palladium market rather than short-term price fluctuations.
- Lithium Project Progress: The company is executing the phased commissioning of its Keliber lithium project in Finland this year, with technical-grade lithium hydroxide production expected in Q4, while battery-grade lithium production will depend on metal prices and offtake agreements.
- Market Dynamics Analysis: Stewart noted that platinum prices exceeded $2,918.80/oz in 2025, and although they have decreased by 1.6% so far in 2026, the demand and supply dynamics for platinum will significantly influence future price trends.
- Renewable Energy Agreement: Sibanye Stillwater has signed a renewable energy power purchase agreement with EtaPREMIUM, marking a significant step in the company's sustainability efforts, which is expected to lower operational costs and enhance environmental responsibility.
- Strategic Partnership: The signing of this agreement not only demonstrates Sibanye Stillwater's commitment to green energy but may also pave the way for future renewable energy projects, thereby strengthening the company's competitive position in the market.
- Environmental Impact: By implementing renewable energy solutions, Sibanye anticipates a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, aligning with the growing global focus on sustainability and enhancing the company's image among investors and consumers.
- Market Outlook: The completion of this agreement could attract more investor interest in Sibanye Stillwater, especially against the backdrop of increasing global demand for renewable energy, further driving the company's long-term growth potential.

Renewable Energy Portfolio: The focus is on the renewable energy portfolio of CO, which has been generating clean energy since 2028.
Annual Clean Energy Generation: CO's renewable energy efforts are projected to generate 2.036 THOF of clean energy annually.

- Renewable Energy Expansion: The company is increasing its renewable energy portfolio by securing an additional 220 MW power purchase agreement.
- Strategic Growth: This move is part of a broader strategy to enhance sustainable energy sources and reduce reliance on non-renewable resources.








