Short Selling of Utility Stocks Decreases in October; Alliant Energy is the Most Shorted
Short Interest Trends: Short interest in the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLU) decreased in October, with Alliant Energy (LNT) being the most shorted stock and NextEra Energy (NEE) the least shorted. Average short interest across S&P 500 utilities stocks fell from 2.95% to 2.82%.
Performance Comparison: The S&P 500 Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLU) gained nearly 18.5% this year, outperforming the broader S&P 500 market, which saw a gain of 16.4%.
Industry Analysis: Water Utilities had the highest short interest at 3.47%, followed by Gas Utilities at 3.40%. Overall, bets against the Electric Utilities sector decreased to 2.67% at the end of October.
Stock Specifics: Alliant Energy had 15.51 million shares sold short (6.05% of shares float), while NextEra Energy had 26.83 million shares sold short (1.29% of shares float), indicating a significant disparity in short interest among utility stocks.
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- Market Theme Reset: Strong market themes often require a reset before advancing, and nuclear stocks are currently undergoing this phase.
- Nuclear Stocks Movement: The movement of nuclear stocks indicates they are in a transitional period, potentially setting the stage for future growth.
Types of Market Crashes: Stock market bubbles can lead to two distinct types of crashes when they burst: sector-specific crashes and systemic crashes.
Sector-Specific Crashes: An example of a sector-specific crash is the dot-com collapse that occurred between 2000 and 2002, which primarily affected technology stocks.
Systemic Crashes: In contrast, systemic crashes impact the entire market, as seen during the financial crisis of 2008-09, where widespread declines occurred across various sectors.
Uniqueness of Bubbles: Each stock market bubble is unique, much like snowflakes, indicating that the circumstances and outcomes of each bubble's burst can vary significantly.

- Bond Market Performance: The bond market experienced its best year since 2020, surprising income investors who were losing hope.
- Future Outlook: Despite some emerging risks, the outlook for the bond market in 2026 remains positive.
Market Performance: The S&P 500 has achieved a 16% return in 2025, but investors are advised to look beyond the final week of the year.
Focus on Future Catalysts: Key factors that could drive market momentum into early 2026 include earnings growth, leadership changes at the Federal Reserve, and a Supreme Court ruling on President Trump's tariffs.
Expert Insight: Ulrike Hoffman-Burchardi, UBS Wealth Management's chief investment officer, emphasizes that the catalysts for 2026 are more significant than the potential for a year-end rally.
Investment Strategy: Investors should prioritize understanding these upcoming catalysts rather than being distracted by short-term market fluctuations.

Dividend Declaration: State Street® Utilities Select Sector SPDR® ETF (XLU) has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.3172 per share, payable on December 24 to shareholders of record on December 22, with an ex-dividend date also on December 22.
Yield Information: The 30-Day SEC Yield for XLU is reported at 2.73% as of December 18.
Market Predictions: Insights are provided on the 2026 market outlook, discussing potential sector outperformers and laggards as the market undergoes changes.
Energy Supply Issues: The U.S. has ordered a Washington coal plant to remain operational to prevent winter energy shortages, while the Pacific Northwest has experienced significant power outages due to severe storms.
- Utility Stocks Performance: Utility stocks are currently experiencing a decline in value.
- Investment Opportunity: Despite the downturn, they are considered undervalued and present a compelling investment opportunity.








