SCHD Isn't Your Sole Choice — 2 Monthly ETFs Offering Superior Long-Term Returns
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF Overview: The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) offers a reliable 3.8% yield and has shown impressive historical performance with a 12.2% annualized return over the past decade, but it has faced challenges in a tech-driven market, gaining only 2.8% year-to-date.
Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF: This ETF combines high-quality dividend stocks with a covered call strategy, yielding 4.5% and delivering a 12.5% annualized return since inception, outperforming SCHD, especially in the current market with a 14.2% year-to-date gain.
WisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth Fund: Targeting high-quality growth stocks, this fund has achieved a 14.3% annualized return over the past decade and offers monthly dividends, although its yield is lower at 1.4%. It has capitalized on tech growth, posting an 11.2% gain year-to-date.
Investment Strategy and Portfolio Diversification: A balanced portfolio including SCHD, Amplify, and WisdomTree could yield around 3.5% while targeting annualized returns of 11% or better, with monthly dividends providing flexibility and compounding benefits, particularly in tax-advantaged accounts.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
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- Market Concentration Analysis: RBC Wealth Management's Rob Sluymer highlights that the concentration of mega-cap tech stocks has significantly increased over the past few years, leading to investors being overweight in these stocks, which have now declined about 7% year-to-date.
- Nvidia Earnings Preview: Nvidia is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings on February 25, and Sluymer believes this will serve as a crucial market indicator; if the results fall short of expectations, it could trigger a larger correction in tech stocks.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: As attention on tech stocks rises, Sluymer notes that some funds are rotating out of these high-valuation stocks into other sectors, a typical behavior in times of high market concentration.
- Future Market Outlook: Should Nvidia's earnings report disappoint, it may lead to a decline in market confidence in tech stocks, potentially resulting in a broader market correction that could impact overall investment strategies.
- Massive Market Opportunity: Nvidia has negotiated a deal with the U.S. government to resume GPU sales to China, with CEO Jensen Huang estimating the Chinese market could generate up to $50 billion annually, significantly boosting the company's performance.
- Sales Recovery Expectations: Before the ban, Nvidia projected $8 billion in sales from China for Q2 FY 2025; if sales return to similar levels, GPU sales could exceed $30 billion, presenting substantial growth potential.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: Wall Street anticipates Nvidia's revenue will reach $326 billion for FY 2027, but given the surge in AI computing spending, actual revenue could hit $350 billion, further enhancing market confidence.
- Strong Profitability: If Nvidia achieves $350 billion in revenue while maintaining a 56% profit margin, it could generate $196 billion in profits, and with a reasonable 40x earnings valuation, the stock price could rise to $322, indicating a compelling investment opportunity.
AI Impact Summit in New Delhi: Top tech executives will convene in New Delhi, India, for an AI Impact Summit starting Monday.
Previous Summits: This event follows government-led summits on artificial intelligence that have taken place in the U.K., South Korea, and France.
- Economic Data Influence: Stocks are expected to be influenced by economic data released this week.
- AI Disruption Concerns: There are significant concerns regarding potential disruptions caused by artificial intelligence.
- Intensifying Tech Competition: Analyst Rory Green warns that China's rapid advancements in AI are breaking the U.S. tech monopoly, with predictions that most of the world may rely on a Chinese tech stack within the next 5 to 10 years, significantly impacting the U.S. market.
- National AI Fund Launched: China launched a 60.06 billion yuan ($8.69 billion) national AI fund last year and initiated the 'AI+' program to integrate AI technology across its economy and society, further accelerating its technological development.
- Cost Advantage Emerges: By leveraging massive Huawei chip clusters and abundant low-cost energy, China is narrowing the gap with the U.S. in AI model development, making its low-cost tech offerings attractive to developing economies and potentially reshaping the global tech landscape.
- U.S. Investment Return Concerns: U.S. tech giants announced capital expenditures of up to $700 billion in AI, raising concerns about returns and leading to a $1 trillion loss in market caps, reflecting growing doubts about the U.S.'s competitive edge against China.
- Market Value Surge: Since the end of 2022, Nvidia has added nearly $4.2 trillion in market cap, becoming the most valuable company on Wall Street, reflecting its dominant position and market confidence in the AI sector.
- Strong Sales Expectations: Analysts anticipate Nvidia will achieve approximately $65.6 billion in sales for fiscal Q4 2026, a 67% year-over-year increase, indicating robust demand for its AI hardware despite high investor expectations.
- Sustained Competitive Advantage: Nvidia's GPUs face virtually no competition in AI-accelerated data centers, with CEO Jensen Huang aggressively investing in R&D to maintain compute superiority, planning to introduce advanced GPUs annually.
- Pricing Power Challenges: As GPU supply improves, Nvidia's pricing power may weaken; although its GAAP gross margin remains above 70%, future sales growth could be impacted by internal competition and market dynamics.











