LendingClub (LC) Sees a 0.48% Increase Over the Past Week: Key Insights to Consider
Momentum Investing Overview: Momentum investing involves buying stocks that are trending upwards, with the expectation that they will continue to rise. The Zacks Momentum Style Score helps investors identify stocks with strong momentum characteristics.
LendingClub's Performance: LendingClub (LC) has a Momentum Style Score of B and a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy). The stock has shown significant price increases, with a 51.5% rise over the past quarter and a 53.73% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500.
Earnings Estimates and Trading Volume: LC has seen positive earnings estimate revisions, with five estimates moving higher recently. The stock's average trading volume of 1,378,823 shares over the last 20 days indicates bullish momentum.
Investment Recommendations: Investors are encouraged to consider LendingClub as a potential momentum pick, and Zacks Investment Research offers access to stock recommendations and portfolio services for those looking to capitalize on market opportunities.
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- Significant Earnings Growth: LendingClub reported a diluted EPS of $0.45 in 2024, which surged by 154% to $1.15 in 2025, with management guiding for an EPS of $1.65 to $1.80 this year, indicating robust growth potential that may attract more investor interest.
- Simplified Accounting Policy: This year, LendingClub adopted the fair value option for accounting, streamlining loan processing and aligning revenue recognition with loss timing, which enhances transparency and could bolster institutional investor confidence.
- Increased Loan Origination Targets: Management has set a loan origination target of $12.1 billion for this year, with a long-term goal of ramping up to $18 billion to $22 billion, which could significantly enhance profitability and market competitiveness, driving stock price appreciation.
- Clear Valuation Advantage: LendingClub trades at less than 10 times earnings, significantly lower than SoFi's 34 times, suggesting that if market confidence in its future earnings grows, the stock price could reach $24, indicating strong upside potential.
- SoFi Stock Performance: SoFi Technologies has seen its stock rise over 37% in the past year, yet it trades at a high valuation of nearly 34 times earnings, which may pose risks to investor confidence moving forward.
- LendingClub Earnings Growth: LendingClub reported earnings per share of $0.45 in 2024, with a projected 154% increase to $1.15 in 2025, and further guidance of $1.65 to $1.80 for 2026, indicating strong potential for profitability.
- Accounting Policy Change: This year, LendingClub adopted the fair value option for loan accounting, simplifying its financial reporting and aligning revenue recognition with loss timing, which could enhance transparency and attract institutional investors.
- Loan Origination Goals: LendingClub aims to ramp up loan originations to between $18 billion and $22 billion by 2025, with a current run rate of $12 billion, showcasing its ambition for business expansion and market opportunities.
- Earnings Beat but Stock Drop: LendingClub reported Q4 revenue of $266.5 million, a 22.7% increase, and EPS surged 338% to $0.35, surpassing expectations; however, the stock fell nearly 16%, indicating market caution regarding future earnings forecasts.
- Future Growth Outlook: Management projects flat loan originations at $2.6 billion for Q1 2026, while full-year guidance of $11.6 to $12.6 billion suggests a 26% growth potential, yet investor expectations for short-term profit growth were not fully met.
- Accounting Method Transition Impact: LendingClub will adopt a new fair value accounting method starting in 2026, expected to enhance earnings performance; while initial costs may rise, the long-term benefits could attract more investor interest and improve profitability.
- Increased Marketing Investment: The company plans to ramp up marketing investments in 2025 to support future growth; although initial efficiency may be lower, the development and optimization of new channels are expected to yield higher profit growth in 2027 and beyond, further solidifying its market position.
- Strong Performance: LendingClub reported Q4 2025 diluted EPS of $0.35 and total revenue of nearly $267 million, driven by approximately $2.6 billion in loan originations, all significantly higher year-over-year and exceeding market expectations.
- Optimistic Guidance: The company guided for $2.6 billion in loan originations and diluted EPS of $0.365 for Q1 2026, with full-year guidance of $12.1 billion in originations and EPS of $1.725, reflecting 48% and 26% year-over-year growth, indicating robust growth potential.
- Accounting Change Impact: LendingClub plans to mark all loans as held-for-sale (HFS), shifting from previously accounting for some loans as held-for-investment (HFI), which may lead investors to misinterpret future guidance, impacting stock performance.
- Cautious Market Reaction: Despite strong earnings, shares dropped nearly 13%, trading at about 10 times forward earnings, suggesting that the market needs time to digest the new accounting policy, presenting a potential entry point for investors.
- Significant Performance Growth: LendingClub reported a 40% year-over-year increase in loan originations to $2.6 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting strong market demand and product innovation, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- New Product Launch: The company introduced a structured certificate product aimed at insurance capital and initiated a direct forward flow agreement with a top U.S. insurance company, further expanding its market share and product offerings.
- Increase in Net Interest Income: Net interest income rose 14% year-over-year to $163 million, with a net interest margin of 6%, indicating the company's strong profitability in the current interest rate environment.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: LendingClub expects Q1 2026 loan originations to range between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 28% to 33%, with plans to increase marketing investments to support ongoing growth.
- Soft Earnings Guidance: LendingClub projects Q1 2026 GAAP EPS between $0.34 and $0.39, trailing the $0.30 average analyst estimate, leading to an 8.3% drop in after-hours trading, indicating market concerns over future profitability.
- Strong Q4 Performance: Q4 EPS of $0.35 exceeded Wall Street's $0.33 expectation but fell from $0.37 in the prior quarter, reflecting challenges in sustaining profit growth, while Q4 net revenue reached $266.5 million, slightly above the $262 million forecast.
- Stable Loan Originations: Q4 loan originations held steady at $2.6 billion, showing a 40% year-over-year increase, indicating robust market demand despite the pressure from the earnings guidance, which underscores the company's operational resilience.
- Positive Future Outlook: CEO Scott Sanborn emphasized entering 2026 from a position of strength, with plans to leverage product innovations and marketing investments to enhance earnings power, particularly through new opportunities in home improvement financing, reflecting confidence in future growth.










