OLD REPUBLIC STOCK FALLS 10.7% FOLLOWING Q4 REPORT
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 22 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ORI?
Source: moomoo
- Stock Performance: Old Republic's shares have decreased by 10.7% following the release of their Q4 results.
- Financial Results: The decline in stock price is attributed to the company's recent financial performance, which may have disappointed investors.
- Market Reaction: The market's response indicates a lack of confidence in Old Republic's future prospects based on the latest earnings report.
- Investor Sentiment: The drop in share value reflects broader investor sentiment and concerns regarding the company's operational efficiency and profitability.
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Analyst Views on ORI
Wall Street analysts forecast ORI stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 42.630
Low
47.00
Averages
49.00
High
51.00
Current: 42.630
Low
47.00
Averages
49.00
High
51.00
About ORI
Old Republic International Corporation is a specialty insurer that operates diverse property and casualty and title insurance companies. It is a holding company engaged in the single business of insurance underwriting and related services. Its Specialty Insurance segment is characterized as a commercial line’s insurance business with a focus on lines of coverages provided to businesses, state and local governments, and other institutions. The segment has major insurance coverages, including accident and health, aviation, commercial auto, commercial multi-peril (CMP), commercial property, financial indemnity, and home and auto warranty, among others. The Title Insurance segment consists primarily of the issuance of policies to real estate purchasers and investors based upon searches of the public records that contain information concerning interests in real property. The two basic types of title insurance policies issued by the Company are lenders' policies and owners' policies.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Price Target Cut: Piper trimmed its price target for ORI from $51 to $38, reflecting diminished optimism about its specialty underwriting segment and suggesting that the company may face operational challenges in a softening market.
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- XP Investment Bank Gains: Brazilian investment bank XP (XP) also rose 16% in the same period, reflecting market confidence in its business model amidst fluctuating economic data and corporate earnings.
- Sprott and WisdomTree Rise: Canadian asset manager Sprott (SII) and WisdomTree (WT) both advanced 15%, indicating sustained investor interest in the financial services sector despite increased market volatility.
- Old Republic International Decline: Old Republic International (ORI) fell 12% after reporting worse-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings, highlighting weak specialty insurance underwriting results that may impact its future market performance.
See More
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- Decline in Net Operating Income: The company's net operating income dropped to approximately $185 million ($0.74 per share), down from $227 million in Q4 2024, indicating a significant weakening in profitability.
- Deteriorating Combined Ratio: Old Republic's combined ratio increased to 96% from 92.7% a year ago, suggesting a decline in underwriting profitability, which prompted negative reactions from investors.
- Poor Segment Performance: Despite an increase in title insurance revenue to over $47 million, the underwriting losses in specialty insurance and other segments deepened, putting pressure on overall profitability and leading investors to adopt a cautious outlook on future performance.
See More
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- Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, Old Republic International reported net operating income of $185 million and earnings per share of $0.74, reflecting a decline from $227 million last year, yet achieving a full-year net operating income of $1 billion, indicating stability in the market.
- Insurance Segment Growth: The Specialty Insurance segment saw net premiums earned increase by 8.3% in Q4, surpassing $5 billion for the first time in the year, with quarterly operating income of $178 million and a combined ratio of 93.2%, showcasing strong performance in the insurance market.
- Capital Return Initiatives: The company announced over $1 billion in capital return for 2025, including $700 million in dividends and $56 million in share repurchases, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholders and effective capital management.
- Future Outlook: Management anticipates maintaining a combined ratio of approximately 93.2% in Specialty Insurance for 2026, with commercial insurance expected to grow by 15% to 20%, while residential insurance is projected to see less than 10% growth, reflecting a cautiously optimistic view of future market conditions.
See More
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- U.S. Stock Market Performance: Stock indexes in the U.S. closed higher on Thursday, indicating a positive market trend.
- Index Gains: The S&P 500 gained 0.91%, the Dow Jones rose 0.63%, and the Nasdaq increased by 0.55%.
See More
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- Strong Macro Data: The U.S. GDP growth rate for Q3 was revised up to 4.4% annualized, from 4.3%, accelerating from 3.8% in Q2, indicating robust economic recovery that could drive increased business investment and consumer spending.
- Contained Inflation Pressures: The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rose 2.8% year-over-year, with core PCE steady, suggesting that inflation remains manageable, which enhances market confidence in the Federal Reserve's policies and may help maintain a low interest rate environment.
- Tech Stock Rebound: Meta Platforms saw a more than 5% increase in stock price after Jefferies highlighted its attractive valuation, further boosting investor interest in tech stocks, potentially leading to increased capital inflows into the sector.
See More
Piper Sandler Downgrades Old Republic International (ORI) to Neutral, Price Target Cut to $38
- Rating Downgrade: Piper Sandler downgraded Old Republic International (ORI) from Overweight to Neutral, reflecting the insurer's ongoing struggles with commercial auto loss cost inflation, with analyst Paul Newsome advising investors to avoid companies with loss reserve or trend issues.
- Earnings Forecast Adjustment: In its Q4 earnings release, Old Republic reported a ~3 percentage point increase in the 2025 commercial auto initial accident-year loss ratio due to rising loss trends in the liability portion of long-haul trucking case reserves, leading to a 12 percentage point increase in the Q4 loss ratio, indicating potential financial strain.
- Price Target Cut: Piper trimmed its price target for ORI from $51 to $38, reflecting diminished optimism about its specialty underwriting segment and suggesting that the company may face operational challenges in a softening market.
- Market Reaction: Old Republic's stock slid 11% in Thursday midday trading, diverging from the average Wall Street Buy rating, highlighting investor concerns regarding the company's future profitability.
See More
