Nexa signals higher second-half EBITDA and stable guidance after Aripuana filter setbacks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 01 2025
0mins
Should l Buy NEXA?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Management Insights: Nexa Resources reported a 13% increase in net revenues to $708 million and a 28% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $161 million for Q2 2025, driven by improved production at Aripuana and Vazante, despite operational challenges. The company remains focused on the commissioning of a fourth tailings filter and has revised its production guidance for the year.
Analyst Sentiment: Analysts expressed skepticism regarding the credibility of the revised guidance due to ongoing operational disruptions, while management maintained confidence in recovery efforts and financial flexibility, emphasizing their commitment to long-term value creation as key projects progress.
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Analyst Views on NEXA
Wall Street analysts forecast NEXA stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 11.250
Low
5.00
Averages
6.80
High
10.00
Current: 11.250
Low
5.00
Averages
6.80
High
10.00
About NEXA
Nexa Resources SA, formerly VM Holding SA, is a Luxembourg-based company engaged in the mineral resources industry. The Company is a metals and mining entity mainly engaged in zinc content production, and whose product portfolio also includes copper, lead, silver, and gold. Its mining and smelting presence is located in Brazil, conducted by Votorantim Metais Zinco SA, and in Peru, conducted by Compania Minera Milpo SAA, and Votorantim Metais-Cajamarquilla SA. Its controlling shareholder is Votorantim SA, a Brazilian privately owned industrial conglomerate that holds ownership interests in metal, steel, cement, energy and pulp companies, among others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Zinc Production Overview: Atacocha produces 200 tons of zinc per week, accounting for less than 3% of the company's total zinc output, indicating that while production is halted, the overall business impact remains relatively minor.
- Protest Context: The road access to the mine has been blocked due to local community protests, highlighting the potential impact of social and environmental issues on mining operations, which could affect future production plans.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Nexa Resources' stock fell 6.6% in after-hours trading, reflecting market concerns over the production halt, despite the limited short-term impact.
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- Production Suspension: Nexa Resources has temporarily suspended operations at its Atacocha San Gerardo open-pit mine in Peru due to protests from the local Joraoniyoc community, although production has not been materially affected so far, limiting activities to critical operations with a minimal workforce.
- Zinc Production Overview: Atacocha produces 200 tons of zinc per week, accounting for less than 3% of the company's total zinc output, indicating that while production is halted, the overall business impact remains relatively minor.
- Protest Context: The road access to the mine has been blocked due to local community protests, highlighting the potential impact of social and environmental issues on mining operations, which could affect future production plans.
- Market Reaction: Following the announcement, Nexa Resources' stock fell 6.6% in after-hours trading, reflecting market concerns over the production halt, despite the limited short-term impact.
See More
Materials Stocks with A+ EPS Ratings: Investor Focus
- EPS Rating Upgrades: Companies like Constellium SE, Flotek Industries, and Fuchs SE have received the highest A+ EPS revision ratings from analysts, indicating growing market confidence in their profitability outlook, which may attract more investor attention.
- Strong Earnings Momentum: Warrior Met Coal and K+S Aktiengesellschaft also achieved A+ ratings, suggesting ongoing improvements in their profitability, which could drive stock price increases and enhance market competitiveness.
- Industry Trends: The A+ EPS revision ratings for Nexa Resources and Perimeter Solutions reflect an overall trend of earnings improvement within the materials sector, potentially encouraging institutional investors to increase their allocations to this industry.
- Investment Opportunities: The A+ ratings for Santacruz Silver Mining and Stora Enso Oyj further confirm the investment value of materials stocks, especially as the earnings season approaches, prompting investors to reassess their portfolios.
See More
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- Strategic Acquisition: Nexa Cards is in acquisition discussions with OX Agency, a developer of facial recognition and AI-driven identity verification technology, aimed at strengthening the company's internal security infrastructure and compliance capabilities, thereby reducing reliance on external verification providers.
- Market Confidence Boost: The presale activity for Nexa Cards has reached $117,404, reflecting positive market response to recent product and infrastructure announcements, indicating growing user interest in payment solutions that combine digital asset utility with security-focused architecture.
- Ecosystem Expansion: By introducing AI-driven biometric verification, Nexa Cards plans to further enhance customer trust and risk control capabilities, thereby improving the resilience and compliance of its platform within global payment networks.
- Long-Term Growth Strategy: The acquisition plan aligns with Nexa Cards' long-term goal of building a secure, scalable payments platform designed for future global growth, particularly in higher-compliance jurisdictions.
See More
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- Metals Fabrication Sector Performance: The metals fabrication and products stocks collectively rose by about 0.5%, indicating relative strength in the sector and reflecting optimistic market expectations for metal demand.
- Avax One Technology Surge: Avax One Technology's stock increased by approximately 12%, leading the sector and suggesting heightened investor confidence in its future growth potential.
- Nexa Resources Rebound: Nexa Resources saw its stock rise by about 6.4%, indicating market expectations for improved performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Market Trend Analysis: The overall upward trend in the metals fabrication industry could signal economic recovery, prompting investors to monitor related companies' performance and market dynamics to seize potential investment opportunities.
See More
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- Reverse Stock Split Announcement: Aptevo Therapeutics has announced a 1-for-18 reverse stock split effective December 29, converting every 18 shares into one, which has led to a significant 38.4% drop in share price to $0.57, indicating a negative market reaction despite prior shareholder approval in July.
- Severe Market Reaction: Following the reverse stock split announcement, Aptevo's shares plummeted sharply during Friday's session, reflecting investor concerns about the company's future prospects, which could adversely affect its financing capabilities and market confidence.
- Shareholder Approval Context: The final ratio for the reverse split was approved by the board in mid-December, despite having received shareholder support at the July annual meeting, yet the market's response raises questions about the company's governance and strategic direction.
- Industry Impact: The sharp decline in Aptevo's stock price may affect its competitive position in the biopharmaceutical sector, particularly regarding financing and partnership opportunities, as investors may reassess its investment value.
See More
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- Significant Stock Surge: Coupang Inc. shares rose 11% to $25.30 on Friday after the company clarified that its investigation into a former employee suspected of leaking customer data was conducted in close coordination with government authorities, alleviating market concerns about independent handling of the probe.
- Positive Market Reaction: This clarification effectively mitigated investor doubts regarding the company's transparency, enhancing market confidence and demonstrating its commitment to compliance and customer data protection.
- Industry-Wide Impact: The rebound in Coupang's stock price not only boosts its market valuation but may also influence other e-commerce firms to invest more in data security and compliance strategies, prompting the industry to strengthen overall compliance measures.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: With increased transparency in data protection, the company is expected to attract more investor interest, further driving stock price growth and solidifying its position in the highly competitive e-commerce market.
See More
