JLL's Stock Down 14% Year-to-Date Despite Upward EPS Revisions
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy JLL?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Revision Up: Analysts have raised their full-year 2025 EPS estimate by 0.6% over the past three months and by 4.1% over the past six months, indicating increased market confidence in JLL's future profitability.
- Quarterly Consensus Improvement: The earnings consensus for Q4 2025 has risen by 1.3% in the last three months and by 5.9% in the past six months, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's short-term performance.
- Stock Performance Decline: Despite the upward revisions in earnings expectations, JLL's stock has declined by 14% year-to-date, highlighting the broader selloff pressure across the real estate services sector amid AI disruption concerns.
- Market Environment Challenges: JLL faces significant challenges in a market impacted by AI disruptions, affecting not only real estate services but also wealth management and insurance brokerage sectors, necessitating cautious evaluation of future investment opportunities.
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Analyst Views on JLL
Wall Street analysts forecast JLL stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 280.160
Low
351.00
Averages
387.67
High
407.00
Current: 280.160
Low
351.00
Averages
387.67
High
407.00
About JLL
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated is a global commercial real estate and investment management company. The Company operates through five segments: Markets Advisory, Capital Markets, Work Dynamics, JLL Technologies and LaSalle. The Markets Advisory segment offers local expertise across the globe, covering a comprehensive range of services across asset types. It aggregates such services into three categories: Leasing, Property Management, and Advisory, Consulting and Other. The Capital Markets segment provides full-service capital solutions, including debt advisory, loan sales, equity advisory, loan servicing, and investment sales and advisory. Work Dynamics segment offers a single, cohesive service delivery team. JLL Technologies segment offers professional services, including program and project management, implementation and support, managed services, and advisory/consulting services. The LaSalle segment invests institutional and individual capital in real estate assets and securities.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- AI Impact Assessment: As AI technology rapidly evolves, investors are questioning whether it will reduce the labor embedded in commercial real estate brokerage and advisory work, potentially leading to greater cost pressures and downward pricing risks for these firms.
- CBRE Earnings Highlights: CBRE Group reported a fourth-quarter adjusted EPS of $2.73, exceeding the market expectation of $2.67, although its revenue of approximately $11.63 billion fell slightly short of the anticipated $11.71 billion, demonstrating the company's resilience in profitability.
- Future Outlook: CBRE also issued FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $7.30 to $7.60, which was positively received by the market; however, the stock still dropped about 8%, reflecting investor uncertainty regarding the future market environment.
See More
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- Increased Market Volatility: Last week, stocks in software, real estate, financial services, and logistics faced selling pressure due to concerns over AI-related disruptions, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.2% and a weekly loss of 2.1%, indicating market sensitivity to AI impacts.
- Consumer Spending Data Focus: This week's highlight will be the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report on Friday, which will provide insights into consumer spending in December and inflation trends, especially following last week's unexpected slowdown in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- Corporate Earnings in Spotlight: Walmart (WMT) is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, marking the first report under new CEO John Furner, making it a key indicator of consumer spending that the market is eagerly anticipating.
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See More
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- Market Uncertainty: The stock market faced challenges last week due to unresolved questions affecting investor confidence.
- Impact of Lack of Answers: The absence of clear answers contributed to volatility and uncertainty in market performance.
See More
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- Market Decline: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell over 600 points, or 1.34%, while the S&P 500 dropped 1.57%, reflecting investor concerns about the potential disruptions caused by artificial intelligence across various sectors.
- Sector Rotation: As investors rotate out of industries most exposed to AI, office real estate and logistics stocks suffered significant losses, particularly due to fears that new AI tools could reduce the need for office space, causing market jitters.
- Tech Stocks Hit Hard: Cisco's shares plummeted 12%, marking its worst single-day drop since 2022, primarily due to rising memory prices impacting profit margins, while Apple's stock fell 5%, its largest one-day decline since last April, amid reports of delays in its Siri update.
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See More
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- Logistics Stocks Plummet: Logistics stocks faced significant declines on Thursday due to the new tool SemiCab from AI firm Algorhythm Holdings, with C.H. Robinson and RXO both dropping nearly 20%, highlighting market fears surrounding AI's impact.
- Real Estate Market Turmoil: The sell-off in commercial real estate companies continued on Thursday, with CBRE's stock declining by 0.6%, reflecting growing investor concerns about AI disruption, which could lead to a long-term decline in market confidence.
- Software Stock Volatility: Following a historic sell-off, software stocks were again affected on Thursday, with Palantir Technologies down 1.5%, indicating high uncertainty in the market regarding AI's potential effects, which may prompt investors to reassess their portfolios.
- Investor Strategy Adjustments: UBS strategists noted that the latest advancements in AI validate its transformative potential, recommending that investors diversify across sectors and geographies to mitigate the market fluctuations caused by AI.
See More
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- Logistics Stocks Plummet: The introduction of Algorhythm Holdings' new tool SemiCab led to a sell-off in logistics stocks on Thursday, with C.H. Robinson and RXO both dropping 20%, indicating heightened market fears regarding AI disruption that could undermine industry confidence.
- Real Estate Market Turmoil: Commercial real estate firm CBRE suffered nearly an 8% loss during Thursday's sell-off and continued to decline by 0.6% on Friday, reflecting investor unease about the market outlook under AI's influence, which may lead to capital outflows and financing challenges.
- Software Stock Volatility: Despite a historic sell-off last week, software stocks faced renewed pressure on Thursday, with Palantir Technologies down 1.5%, highlighting market concerns over AI's impact that could affect future investment decisions.
- Investor Strategy Adjustments: UBS strategists noted that the latest advances in AI validate its monetization potential, recommending investors diversify across sectors and geographies to navigate the transformative changes brought by AI, reflecting a reassessment of future investment portfolios.
See More
