ETFs Linked to Oracle Draw Attention Following Stock Decline Post-Earnings
Oracle's Earnings Impact: Oracle shares fell approximately 13% in premarket trading due to disappointing guidance for the current quarter and an increased spending outlook following its latest earnings release.
ETF Exposure to Oracle: Oracle is a significant holding in 452 exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which collectively own over 261 million shares, highlighting the stock's influence on various funds.
Top ETFs with Oracle Holdings: The top 10 ETFs with the highest allocations to Oracle include Pacer Data and Digital Revolution ETF (9.89%) and Direxion Daily Technology Top 5 Bull 2X ETF (8.96%), among others.
Additional ETFs to Watch: Other software-focused ETFs that may be affected by Oracle's earnings include IGV, IGPT, and XSW, indicating broader market implications for the software sector.
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- Contract Value: The U.S. Air Force has awarded Oracle an $88 million firm-fixed price task order to provide Oracle Cloud Infrastructure services for the Air Force Cloud One program, enhancing security and performance across multiple classification levels.
- Cloud One Program: This initiative offers Department of Defense customers the opportunity to leverage OCI, ensuring mission owners can meet boundary protection needs while enhancing overall security through the Secure Cloud Computing Architecture.
- AI Database Utilization: The task order enables users to utilize Oracle AI Database 26ai on OCI to securely combine organization-specific and public information, generating sophisticated answers and autonomously executing actions during agentic AI workflows.
- Project Timeline: Work under this task order will be performed at contractor-designated facilities throughout the United States and is scheduled to run through December 7, 2028, indicating Oracle's long-term collaboration potential within the Defense Information Systems Network.
- Cryptocurrency Market Decline: The overall cryptocurrency market has fallen over 45% since reaching a high of $4.28 trillion on October 6, 2025, primarily driven by Bitcoin's price drop and institutional ETF withdrawals, highlighting the market's heavy reliance on sentiment and liquidity.
- Alphabet's Strong Earnings: Alphabet reported $113.8 billion in revenue for Q4, an 18% year-over-year increase, with net income of $34.45 billion, up nearly 30%, although the market reacted cautiously to its $185 billion AI infrastructure spending, the rapid growth of its cloud computing division indicates strong business potential.
- TSMC's Market Share Growth: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing increased its market share from 66% to 72% in Q3, with Q4 revenue reaching $33.73 billion, a 25.5% year-over-year increase, and guidance for even better revenue in Q1, showcasing its leadership and robust growth prospects in the semiconductor industry.
- Oracle's Cloud Computing Growth: Oracle generated $7.97 billion in revenue in Q2 of fiscal 2026, a 34% increase year-over-year, with cloud computing becoming its largest revenue driver; despite over $100 billion in debt, its growth potential remains significant compared to the risks associated with cryptocurrencies.
- Oracle Upgrade: DA Davidson upgraded Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) from Neutral to Buy with a $180 price target, despite the company carrying $130 billion in debt and $248 billion in leases; analysts believe the growth potential justifies investment, expecting only minor stock fluctuations over the next ten weeks.
- Unity's Positive Outlook: Oppenheimer upgraded Unity Software (NYSE:U) to Outperform with a $38 price target, arguing that market fears regarding Google's Project Genie are unfounded, as Unity remains the essential backbone of development, with forecasts indicating accelerating revenue and improving margins, presenting a strong risk/reward scenario.
- Norwegian Cruise Downgrade: Barclays downgraded Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE:NCLH) to Equal Weight with a $23 price target, citing a 24% stock price increase over the past three months, while facing weak 2026 yield expectations and increased competition that could undermine brand value.
- Kraft Heinz's Dim Prospects: JPMorgan downgraded Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC) to Underweight with a $22 price target; despite beating Q4 2025 earnings expectations, the disappointing 2026 outlook, with North American volumes down for 19 consecutive quarters, raises concerns about the sustainability of dividends absorbing nearly 80% of free cash flow this year.
- Significant Stock Decline: Oracle's shares have plummeted nearly 55% from their all-time high of $345.72 in late 2025, indicating investor concerns over the company's capital expenditure plans failing to yield meaningful returns, resulting in substantial debt pressure.
- Risks of OpenAI Partnership: While the $300 billion deal with OpenAI appears mutually beneficial, Oracle's heavy reliance on this client, with 58% of its contractual backlog tied to OpenAI, poses risks, especially as the latter could burn through $115 billion in cash by 2029.
- Surging Capital Expenditures: Oracle plans to raise $45 billion to $50 billion through debt and equity financing to support data center infrastructure, which will exacerbate its already high debt load of $100 billion, creating a long-term drag on profitability.
- Competitive Market Pressures: Although Oracle's forward P/E ratio of 20 seems attractive compared to the Nasdaq 100's 27, the potential for further stock price declines looms as OpenAI faces competition from rivals like Anthropic and Gemini, necessitating careful risk assessment by investors.
- Oracle CEO Transaction: Oracle's CEO Clayton Magouyrk sold 10,000 shares between February 9 and 13 at an average price of $155.23 per share, totaling $1.55 million, while retaining 134,030 shares, indicating confidence in the company's future.
- Goldman Sachs Executives Divest: Goldman Sachs CFO Denis Coleman divested 11,623 shares in a price range of $933.38 to $945.4, generating proceeds of $10.94 million, and after the sale, he held 33,574 shares, reflecting a cautious stance amid market volatility.
- Delta Air Lines Executive Sale: Delta's EVP of Global Sales & Distribution, Steven Sears, sold 38,600 shares at an average price of $75.05, totaling $2.90 million, reducing his holdings to 104,404 shares, which may impact the company's future sales strategies.
- American Express CIO Sale: American Express CIO Ravi Radhakrishnan disposed of 15,000 shares between $356.14 and $357.13, generating $5.35 million in proceeds, while retaining 8,945 shares, indicating a short-term outlook on the company's stock price.
- Logistics Stocks Hit: C.H. Robinson (CHRW) fell over 14% on Thursday due to AI fears, with a total decline exceeding 10% over the week, indicating a pessimistic outlook for the logistics sector's future.
- Brokerage Decline: Charles Schwab's stock dropped around 9% since Tuesday, with the CEO expressing disappointment over the sell-off during a Bloomberg TV interview, despite the company's efforts to leverage AI for client services.
- Real Estate Pressure: CBRE's shares plunged approximately 15.2% over the past week, primarily due to its latest earnings report missing expectations, reflecting market concerns about its profitability.
- Unity Software Plummets: Unity's stock dropped over 26% following its latest earnings release, with Q4 results beating expectations but disappointing first-quarter revenue guidance, leading analysts to believe the company needs time to restore investor confidence.








