CLSA Reduces JD.com (JD.US) 2025/2026 Adjusted Net Profit Projections, Maintains Outperform Rating
Impact on JD-SW: CLSA forecasts that JD-SW may face significant challenges due to reduced trade-in subsidies and heightened competition in the Chinese market.
Revenue and Profit Projections: The broker estimates a modest revenue growth of 1.7% for 4Q25, projecting total revenue of approximately RMB352.8 billion, while expecting a drastic 96% YoY decline in adjusted net profit to RMB481 million.
Revised Profit Forecasts: CLSA has lowered its adjusted net profit forecasts for JD-SW by 6% for 2025 and 5% for 2026, indicating ongoing operational difficulties expected to continue into the first half of 2026.
Rating Status: Despite the challenges, CLSA maintains an "Outperform" rating for JD.com (JD.US) while BofAS has also adjusted JD-SW's target price to HKD141, anticipating in-line results for 4QFY25.
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JD-SW Plans RMB22 Billion Investment to Construct 150,000 New 'Courier Homes' in the Next 5 Years
Investment Announcement: JD-SW announced a total investment of over RMB1.3 billion during the Spring Festival holiday to enhance benefits for its workforce, including overtime pay and subsidies.
Growth in Workforce: The company has welcomed 150,000 new full-time food delivery riders over the past year and plans to invest RMB22 billion in building 150,000 new 'Courier Homes' in the next five years.
Logistics Expansion: JD-SW aims to procure 3 million robots, 1 million unmanned vehicles, and 100,000 drones to strengthen its logistics full-supply chain capabilities.
Market Performance: The stock is currently experiencing a decline, with a short selling ratio of 28.297% and a short selling amount of $412.06 million.
CN SAMR Calls on Alibaba and Tencent to Address 'Involutionary' Competition Issues
Regulatory Action: China's State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) summoned major platform companies, including Alibaba, Douyin, Baidu, Tencent, JD, and Meituan, to ensure compliance with various laws and regulations.
Focus on Fair Competition: The SAMR emphasized the need for these companies to regulate their promotional activities and eliminate "involutionary" competition to maintain a fair market environment.
HSI Declines by 392 Points; KNOWLEDGE ATLAS Surges 5% Amid Ongoing AI Stock Rally
Market Overview: The HSI opened 1.5% lower at 26,640, with significant declines in tech stocks such as TENCENT and KUAISHOU, which dropped 1.7% and 1.9% respectively.
Short Selling Activity: Notable short selling was observed in several tech stocks, including BIDU and BILIBILI, with ratios exceeding 20%, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
PPI Data: China's Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY for January showed a decline of 1.4%, slightly better than the previous value of -1.9% and above the forecast of -1.5%.
AI Stock Rally: The AI sector saw gains with MINIMAX-WP rising 11.9% after launching a new programming model, while KNOWLEDGE ATLAS also experienced a significant increase of 16.9%.
HSI Closes with a 233-Point Decline; BUD APAC Drops Over 5%; KNOWLEDGE ATLAS Soars Nearly 30%
Market Performance: The HSI closed at 27,032, down 233 points (0.9%), with significant declines in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while total market turnover reached HKD238.705 billion.
Company Earnings: BUD APAC was the worst-performing blue-chip stock, down 5.2% after reporting a 32.6% drop in net profit. Other companies like Lenovo and NetEase also saw declines despite some reporting increased profits.
Regulatory Actions: The Beijing Municipal Market Supervision Bureau engaged with 12 online ticket sales platforms, resulting in declines for companies like Trip.com and Meituan, which fell 3.9% and 4.5%, respectively.
AI Sector Growth: Following Premier Li Qiang's call for AI innovation, AI stocks like SenseTime and Knowledge Atlas saw significant gains, with Knowledge Atlas soaring 28.7% after launching a new product.
JD Food Delivery Assists Nearly 400 Food and Beverage Brands in Exceeding 1 Million Orders
JD Food Delivery's "Double Hundred Plan": Launched to support food and beverage merchants, resulting in nearly 400 brands surpassing one million orders, doubling the previous figure in six months.
Success of Key Brands: MIXUE GROUP and Luckin Coffee, among others, have achieved over 200 million orders on JD Food Delivery, joining the "Hundred-Million-Order Club."
JD and Midea Establish Strategic Partnership with RMB180B Omnichannel Sales Goal
Strategic Cooperation Agreement: JD-SW has entered a strategic cooperation agreement with MIDEA GROUP, Haier, Hisense, and TCL, targeting RMB180 billion in omnichannel sales by 2026.
Customer-Centric Focus: The agreement emphasizes a customer-first approach, aiming to enhance service experiences, innovate products, expand channels, and coordinate marketing efforts.
Sales Growth Categories: The collaboration will focus on driving sales growth in various categories, including televisions, air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines, range hoods, water heaters, and small home appliances.
Market Performance: JD-SW's stock has seen a decline of 1.366%, with significant short selling activity, while MIDEA GROUP's stock has increased by 1.116%.
JD-SW Plans RMB22 Billion Investment to Construct 150,000 New 'Courier Homes' in the Next 5 Years
Investment Announcement: JD-SW announced a total investment of over RMB1.3 billion during the Spring Festival holiday to enhance benefits for its workforce, including overtime pay and subsidies.
Growth in Workforce: The company has welcomed 150,000 new full-time food delivery riders over the past year and plans to invest RMB22 billion in building 150,000 new 'Courier Homes' in the next five years.
Logistics Expansion: JD-SW aims to procure 3 million robots, 1 million unmanned vehicles, and 100,000 drones to strengthen its logistics full-supply chain capabilities.
Market Performance: The stock is currently experiencing a decline, with a short selling ratio of 28.297% and a short selling amount of $412.06 million.
CN SAMR Calls on Alibaba and Tencent to Address 'Involutionary' Competition Issues
Regulatory Action: China's State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) summoned major platform companies, including Alibaba, Douyin, Baidu, Tencent, JD, and Meituan, to ensure compliance with various laws and regulations.
Focus on Fair Competition: The SAMR emphasized the need for these companies to regulate their promotional activities and eliminate "involutionary" competition to maintain a fair market environment.
HSI Declines by 392 Points; KNOWLEDGE ATLAS Surges 5% Amid Ongoing AI Stock Rally
Market Overview: The HSI opened 1.5% lower at 26,640, with significant declines in tech stocks such as TENCENT and KUAISHOU, which dropped 1.7% and 1.9% respectively.
Short Selling Activity: Notable short selling was observed in several tech stocks, including BIDU and BILIBILI, with ratios exceeding 20%, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
PPI Data: China's Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY for January showed a decline of 1.4%, slightly better than the previous value of -1.9% and above the forecast of -1.5%.
AI Stock Rally: The AI sector saw gains with MINIMAX-WP rising 11.9% after launching a new programming model, while KNOWLEDGE ATLAS also experienced a significant increase of 16.9%.
HSI Closes with a 233-Point Decline; BUD APAC Drops Over 5%; KNOWLEDGE ATLAS Soars Nearly 30%
Market Performance: The HSI closed at 27,032, down 233 points (0.9%), with significant declines in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while total market turnover reached HKD238.705 billion.
Company Earnings: BUD APAC was the worst-performing blue-chip stock, down 5.2% after reporting a 32.6% drop in net profit. Other companies like Lenovo and NetEase also saw declines despite some reporting increased profits.
Regulatory Actions: The Beijing Municipal Market Supervision Bureau engaged with 12 online ticket sales platforms, resulting in declines for companies like Trip.com and Meituan, which fell 3.9% and 4.5%, respectively.
AI Sector Growth: Following Premier Li Qiang's call for AI innovation, AI stocks like SenseTime and Knowledge Atlas saw significant gains, with Knowledge Atlas soaring 28.7% after launching a new product.
JD Food Delivery Assists Nearly 400 Food and Beverage Brands in Exceeding 1 Million Orders
JD Food Delivery's "Double Hundred Plan": Launched to support food and beverage merchants, resulting in nearly 400 brands surpassing one million orders, doubling the previous figure in six months.
Success of Key Brands: MIXUE GROUP and Luckin Coffee, among others, have achieved over 200 million orders on JD Food Delivery, joining the "Hundred-Million-Order Club."
JD and Midea Establish Strategic Partnership with RMB180B Omnichannel Sales Goal
Strategic Cooperation Agreement: JD-SW has entered a strategic cooperation agreement with MIDEA GROUP, Haier, Hisense, and TCL, targeting RMB180 billion in omnichannel sales by 2026.
Customer-Centric Focus: The agreement emphasizes a customer-first approach, aiming to enhance service experiences, innovate products, expand channels, and coordinate marketing efforts.
Sales Growth Categories: The collaboration will focus on driving sales growth in various categories, including televisions, air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines, range hoods, water heaters, and small home appliances.
Market Performance: JD-SW's stock has seen a decline of 1.366%, with significant short selling activity, while MIDEA GROUP's stock has increased by 1.116%.
