Citigroup Identifies AI Stocks Priced Reasonably
Investment Strategy: Citigroup analysts recommend exploring lesser-known stocks that capitalize on the AI boom while offering growth at a reasonable price (GARP), amidst concerns of an AI investment bubble affecting tech sector performance.
Stock Selection Focus: Emphasis is placed on selecting companies with strong cash returns on growth capital expenditures, while avoiding those unable to self-fund, as the tech-heavy Nasdaq has underperformed compared to the S&P 500.
Diverse Stock Recommendations: Citigroup has compiled a list of stocks across various industries, including Adobe, Nvidia, and Eaton, which are seen as having reasonable valuations and strong future earnings potential, despite some red flags regarding inflated growth expectations.
Market Outlook: Analysts caution that earnings disappointments could lead to market corrections, highlighting the importance of focusing on GARP strategies within AI to build a resilient investment portfolio.
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- Strong Earnings: Meta reported a 24% revenue growth in Q4 2025, beating market expectations, although the stock has drifted lower post-earnings, indicating investor concerns over future spending.
- Surge in Capex: The capital expenditure forecast for 2026 has been raised to between $115 billion and $135 billion, nearly doubling the $72.2 billion spent in 2025, leading to a divide among investors regarding the sustainability of this spending plan.
- Robust User Growth: Meta's Family of Apps now boasts 3.58 billion daily active users, representing 43% of the global population, showcasing effective AI application in its advertising business with an 18% increase in ad impressions.
- Strong Profitability: Meta anticipates Q1 2026 revenues between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, implying growth rates as high as 34%, and despite spending pressures, the company maintains strong cash flow and profitability metrics.
- Global AI Summit: The Web Summit in Doha attracted over 30,000 founders, investors, and experts, establishing itself as a global hub for AI discussions and showcasing the Middle East's rise in the global AI landscape.
- Innovation Sandbox: Qatar Foundation Chairperson Sheikha Moza bint Nasser described the event as a 'sandbox of innovation,' highlighting AI's potential to empower small businesses and drive economic growth, particularly as large enterprises face implementation challenges.
- Energy and Data Infrastructure: Attendees discussed the resilience of supply chains, energy systems, and data infrastructure amid rising geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the need for governments to ensure supply and diversification of computing capabilities to meet the demands of the information age.
- Investment Opportunities: Qatar's Prime Minister announced an additional $2 billion for the Qatar Investment Authority's Fund of Funds program, bringing total committed capital to $3 billion, supporting 12 regional and international fund managers, reflecting the country's ambition and potential in global AI investments.

- Reaffirmation of U.S.-Europe Relations: U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized at the Munich Security Conference that “we want Europe to be strong,” indicating a commitment to repairing relations and enhancing cooperation on security and economic fronts.
- Inflation Data Decline: The U.S. consumer price index rose 2.4% year-on-year in January, down from 2.7% in December, with core CPI at 2.5%, the lowest since April 2021, suggesting that if this trend continues, it could pave the way for lower interest rates and positively impact markets.
- Japan's Economic Recovery: Japan's GDP grew by 0.1% in the fourth quarter, missing the expected 0.4% but reversing a 0.7% contraction in the previous quarter, indicating potential for economic recovery and avoiding a technical recession.
- Surge in Cryptocurrency Crime: Cryptocurrency payments linked to suspected human trafficking surged by 85% in 2025, highlighting the expansion of a criminal ecosystem in Southeast Asia, which may prompt regulatory scrutiny and responses.
- Expanded Regulatory Powers: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced that the government will seek broader authority to regulate internet access, allowing for policy reviews within months instead of years, thereby accelerating the response to emerging digital risks.
- Social Media Ban Review: The government is considering a ban on social media access for children under 16, similar to Australia's policy, with Spain, Greece, and Slovenia also evaluating similar proposals, highlighting a global focus on online safety for children.
- AI and Age Verification: The UK government plans to widen laws banning the creation of sexualized images without consent to include more AI chatbots, reflecting concerns over ethical and legal challenges posed by new technologies in the digital landscape.
- International Cooperation and Security: U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio reaffirmed America's commitment to the transatlantic alliance at the Munich Security Conference, warning that Europe must take greater responsibility for its security, underscoring the urgency of international cooperation in security matters.
- Blockchain Dating Vision: Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson stated at Consensus Hong Kong that blockchain dating apps like Tinder could attract 2-3 billion users by allowing users to verify attributes like height, income, and location, thereby enhancing trust and potentially transforming social platforms.
- Importance of Seamless Integration: Hoskinson emphasized that consumers shouldn't need to understand blockchain complexities for widespread adoption, akin to how electricity is used, suggesting that simplifying user experience is crucial for mainstream acceptance of blockchain technology.
- Privacy and Data Ownership: Blockchain dating apps are expected to offer enhanced privacy and data ownership, appealing to users disillusioned with centralized platforms, which Hoskinson believes will be a significant factor in attracting new users and driving industry change.
- ADA Price Dynamics: Cardano's ADA is currently hovering around $0.2275, with a break below the support level of $0.22 potentially leading to further declines towards $0.20; the current oversold condition may trigger a short-term bounce, impacting investor confidence.
- Inflation Data Eases: The U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 2.4% year-on-year in January, down from 2.7% in December, indicating a potential easing of inflation pressures, which could influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
- Core CPI Insights: The core CPI registered at 2.5%, marking the lowest level since April 2021, aligning with economists' expectations, suggesting that inflation may be gradually coming under control, which is favorable for market sentiment.
- Cautious Market Reaction: Despite the positive inflation data, major U.S. indexes experienced slight declines on Friday, reflecting ongoing investor uncertainty regarding the impacts of artificial intelligence, leading to a cautious market atmosphere.
- International Relations Improvement: Signs of easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran emerged as both sides prepare for a second round of talks in Geneva, with Iran expressing readiness to discuss nuclear program restrictions in exchange for economic benefits, potentially creating a positive market impact.









