Citi Raises CHALCO (02600.HK) Price Target to $15.94 Amid Anticipated Gains from Rising Aluminum Prices
Citi Research Update: Citi Research has updated its model for CHALCO (02600.HK) to reflect new forecasts for aluminum and alumina prices, raising net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 by 2%, 4%, and 7%.
Target Price Increase: The target price for CHALCO's H-shares has been increased from $12.41 to $15.94, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock.
Market Position: Citi Research expects CHALCO to benefit from the rising aluminum prices and margins, maintaining the stock as a Top Pick.
Short Selling Data: As of January 7, 2026, CHALCO has a short selling amount of $169.14 million, with a ratio of 16.038%.
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Citi Anticipates Higher Commodity Prices Will Favor Basic Materials While Straining Auto and Mid-Tier Battery Firms
Commodity Price Impact: Commodity prices have risen significantly, benefiting the basic materials sector in China, particularly suppliers of aluminum, copper, and lithium, with positive ratings for companies like CHALCO and MMG.
Automakers Under Pressure: Rising material costs are expected to increase the production costs for mass-market electric vehicles, with smaller automakers like XPENG and GAC GROUP being more vulnerable compared to larger firms like BYD and Geely.
Battery Industry Outlook: Short-term challenges are anticipated for second-tier battery companies, while CATL is expected to maintain a strong position due to its bargaining power and upcoming production resumption.
Tech Sector Challenges: Xiaomi may face margin pressures from increasing memory costs, which significantly impact the bill of materials for its smartphones, potentially affecting profitability.
Citi Anticipates 6% Increase in Aluminum Production from CHALCO (02600.HK) Acquisition, Maintains Stock as Top Sector Choice
Joint Venture Acquisition: CHALCO plans to establish a joint venture to acquire 446 million shares in Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio S.A. from Votorantim S.A. for approximately RMB6.286 billion, with a mandatory tender offer for remaining shares to follow.
Production Capacity Growth: The acquisition is expected to increase CHALCO's annual aluminum production capacity by 430,000 tons, leading to an output growth of about 6%, reinforcing its position as a top pick in the sector according to Citi Research.
M Stanley Assigns Overweight Rating to CHALCO, Sees Positive Outlook on Proposed Acquisition of Brasileira de Aluminio S.A.
CHALCO's Joint Venture Acquisition: CHALCO will acquire a 67% stake in a joint venture with Rio Tinto for approximately RMB6.39 billion, with CHALCO's share being around RMB4.2 billion.
Positive Outlook from Morgan Stanley: Morgan Stanley views the acquisition as a growth opportunity for CHALCO in overseas green aluminum capacity, expecting aluminum prices to remain high and profit potential to increase.
HSI Declines by 182 Points; Gold and Resource Stocks Fall; NWD Surges Over 5%
Market Performance: The Nasdaq fell by 0.7% due to a drop in Microsoft shares, while the DJIA rose slightly by 0.1%. Hong Kong's stock market also opened lower, with significant declines in various indices.
New World Development Rumors: There are rumors that New World Development is changing ownership, with Blackstone negotiating to become the largest shareholder, leading to a 5.6% increase in its stock price.
Gold and Resource Sector Declines: Gold prices saw a significant drop, affecting stocks like SD Gold and Zhaojin Mining, which opened lower. Other resource companies, including Jiangxi Copper and CMOC, also experienced declines.
Tech Sector Performance: Major tech stocks such as Tencent, Alibaba, and JD.com opened lower, reflecting a broader trend of declines in the technology sector amidst increased short selling activity.
CHALCO Invests Over RMB4.2 Billion in Partnership with Rio Tinto to Acquire Stake in Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio S.A.
Acquisition Announcement: CHALCO, in partnership with Rio Tinto, will acquire 446 million shares (68.6% of total) in Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio S.A. from Votorantim S.A. for approximately BRL4.689 billion (around RMB6.286 billion).
Joint Venture Structure: The joint venture will be structured with CHALCO's subsidiary holding 67% and Rio Tinto 33%, with CHALCO contributing about RMB4.211 billion and Rio Tinto contributing RMB2.074 billion.
Financial Consolidation: Upon completion of the acquisition, both the joint venture and Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio S.A. will become subsidiaries of CHALCO, and their financial results will be consolidated into CHALCO's accounts.
Market Activity: CHALCO's stock showed a slight increase of 0.399%, with short selling amounting to $188.04 million and a ratio of 11.669%.
JPM Suggests Investing in ZIJIN MINING, Predicts Ongoing Trade-in Policy Will Support This Year's Metal Commodity Market
China's GDP Growth: China's GDP for 2025 achieved a 5% year-on-year increase, supported by a consumption stimulus from the trade-in policy, as reported by JPMorgan.
Future Trade-in Policy: JPMorgan expects the trade-in subsidy policy to continue into 2026, with a focus on targeted and efficient incentives that will still bolster overall commodity demand.
Investment Recommendations: JPMorgan recommends investors to buy shares in ZIJIN MINING, CHALCO, and CHINAHONGQIAO, while suggesting caution with CMOC due to convertible bond issuance.
Sector Preferences: BOCI forecasts a preference for gold and copper in China's basic materials sector for 2026, predicting it will outperform the MSCI China Index.
Citi Anticipates Higher Commodity Prices Will Favor Basic Materials While Straining Auto and Mid-Tier Battery Firms
Commodity Price Impact: Commodity prices have risen significantly, benefiting the basic materials sector in China, particularly suppliers of aluminum, copper, and lithium, with positive ratings for companies like CHALCO and MMG.
Automakers Under Pressure: Rising material costs are expected to increase the production costs for mass-market electric vehicles, with smaller automakers like XPENG and GAC GROUP being more vulnerable compared to larger firms like BYD and Geely.
Battery Industry Outlook: Short-term challenges are anticipated for second-tier battery companies, while CATL is expected to maintain a strong position due to its bargaining power and upcoming production resumption.
Tech Sector Challenges: Xiaomi may face margin pressures from increasing memory costs, which significantly impact the bill of materials for its smartphones, potentially affecting profitability.
Citi Anticipates 6% Increase in Aluminum Production from CHALCO (02600.HK) Acquisition, Maintains Stock as Top Sector Choice
Joint Venture Acquisition: CHALCO plans to establish a joint venture to acquire 446 million shares in Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio S.A. from Votorantim S.A. for approximately RMB6.286 billion, with a mandatory tender offer for remaining shares to follow.
Production Capacity Growth: The acquisition is expected to increase CHALCO's annual aluminum production capacity by 430,000 tons, leading to an output growth of about 6%, reinforcing its position as a top pick in the sector according to Citi Research.
M Stanley Assigns Overweight Rating to CHALCO, Sees Positive Outlook on Proposed Acquisition of Brasileira de Aluminio S.A.
CHALCO's Joint Venture Acquisition: CHALCO will acquire a 67% stake in a joint venture with Rio Tinto for approximately RMB6.39 billion, with CHALCO's share being around RMB4.2 billion.
Positive Outlook from Morgan Stanley: Morgan Stanley views the acquisition as a growth opportunity for CHALCO in overseas green aluminum capacity, expecting aluminum prices to remain high and profit potential to increase.
HSI Declines by 182 Points; Gold and Resource Stocks Fall; NWD Surges Over 5%
Market Performance: The Nasdaq fell by 0.7% due to a drop in Microsoft shares, while the DJIA rose slightly by 0.1%. Hong Kong's stock market also opened lower, with significant declines in various indices.
New World Development Rumors: There are rumors that New World Development is changing ownership, with Blackstone negotiating to become the largest shareholder, leading to a 5.6% increase in its stock price.
Gold and Resource Sector Declines: Gold prices saw a significant drop, affecting stocks like SD Gold and Zhaojin Mining, which opened lower. Other resource companies, including Jiangxi Copper and CMOC, also experienced declines.
Tech Sector Performance: Major tech stocks such as Tencent, Alibaba, and JD.com opened lower, reflecting a broader trend of declines in the technology sector amidst increased short selling activity.
CHALCO Invests Over RMB4.2 Billion in Partnership with Rio Tinto to Acquire Stake in Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio S.A.
Acquisition Announcement: CHALCO, in partnership with Rio Tinto, will acquire 446 million shares (68.6% of total) in Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio S.A. from Votorantim S.A. for approximately BRL4.689 billion (around RMB6.286 billion).
Joint Venture Structure: The joint venture will be structured with CHALCO's subsidiary holding 67% and Rio Tinto 33%, with CHALCO contributing about RMB4.211 billion and Rio Tinto contributing RMB2.074 billion.
Financial Consolidation: Upon completion of the acquisition, both the joint venture and Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio S.A. will become subsidiaries of CHALCO, and their financial results will be consolidated into CHALCO's accounts.
Market Activity: CHALCO's stock showed a slight increase of 0.399%, with short selling amounting to $188.04 million and a ratio of 11.669%.
JPM Suggests Investing in ZIJIN MINING, Predicts Ongoing Trade-in Policy Will Support This Year's Metal Commodity Market
China's GDP Growth: China's GDP for 2025 achieved a 5% year-on-year increase, supported by a consumption stimulus from the trade-in policy, as reported by JPMorgan.
Future Trade-in Policy: JPMorgan expects the trade-in subsidy policy to continue into 2026, with a focus on targeted and efficient incentives that will still bolster overall commodity demand.
Investment Recommendations: JPMorgan recommends investors to buy shares in ZIJIN MINING, CHALCO, and CHINAHONGQIAO, while suggesting caution with CMOC due to convertible bond issuance.
Sector Preferences: BOCI forecasts a preference for gold and copper in China's basic materials sector for 2026, predicting it will outperform the MSCI China Index.
