Citi Increases CMOC's Target Price, Maintains Buy Rating
Citi's Profit Forecasts: Citi has raised its net profit forecasts for CMOC for 2025-27 by 3.8%, 34.2%, and 17.5%, estimating profits of RMB20.5 billion, RMB33.9 billion, and RMB31.8 billion respectively.
Acquisition of Gold Assets: CMOC's acquisition of Brazilian gold assets is expected to yield 7.1 tons of gold production in 2026, contributing approximately RMB2.4 billion in net profit.
Target Price Adjustment: Citi has increased its target price for CMOC from HKD20.6 to HKD28.3 while maintaining a Buy rating.
Short Selling Data: As of February 10, 2026, CMOC has reported short selling of $49.96 million with a ratio of 12.246%.
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Hong Kong Stock Performance: On February 16, Hong Kong stocks saw a positive half-day session, with the HSI closing up 138 points (0.5%) at 26,705, marking a strong overall performance in the Year of the Snake with a 32% gain.
HSI Quarterly Review Changes: The quarterly review of the HSI included the addition of CATL, CMOC, and LAOPU GOLD, which saw significant gains, while ZHONGSHENG HLDG was removed from the index.
Individual Stock Movements: Notable stock movements included SANDS CHINA LTD rising 2.7% despite a slight decline in property EBITDA, while ANTA SPORTS experienced a minor drop after shareholder approval for a significant acquisition.
US Department of War Update: The US Department of War's withdrawal of the "List of Chinese Military Companies" impacted stock prices, with BABA-W declining 0.5% and BIDU-SW increasing by 1.3%.

Hang Seng Index Review: The Hang Seng Indexes Company announced the inclusion of CATL, CMOC, and LAOPU GOLD in the HSI following the 4Q25 review, with respective price increases of 2.899%, 6.814%, and 5.078%.
Short Selling Data: CATL, CMOC, and LAOPU GOLD experienced significant short selling, with ratios of 23.375%, 22.040%, and 28.099%, respectively, indicating investor caution.
Market Reactions: CMOC and LAOPU GOLD saw notable price surges of 5.25% and 5.55%, while ZHONGSHENG HLDG faced a decline of 2.707% amid short selling pressures.
Implementation Timeline: The changes to the index will be effective after the market close on March 6, 2026, and will take effect on March 9, 2026.

US Inflation and Stock Market Update: US inflation was below expectations while core inflation met them; the DJIA rose by 0.1% last Friday.
Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: The Hong Kong bourse opened lower, with the HSI down 0.2% and other indices also showing declines.
HSI Quarterly Review Changes: CATL, CMOC, and LAOPU GOLD were added to the HSI, while ZHONGSHENG HLDG was removed; CATL and CMOC saw slight increases in their stock prices.
Notable Stock Movements: Stocks like BABA-W and BIDU-SW dropped significantly after being listed as Chinese military companies, while ANTA SPORTS received approval for a stake acquisition in PUMA.
Index Review Announcement: Hang Seng Indexes Company announced the results of its quarterly review for the Hang Seng Family of Indexes, effective from 9 March 2026.
New Additions to HSI: CATL, CMOC, and LAOPU GOLD will be added to the Hang Seng Index, increasing the total number of constituents from 88 to 90.
Deletion from HSI: ZHONGSHENG HLDG will be removed from the Hang Seng Index as part of the quarterly review.
Short Selling Data: The article includes short selling data for the mentioned companies, highlighting significant short selling ratios and amounts prior to the index changes.

Copper Production Growth: The Democratic Republic of the Congo's copper exports increased by nearly 10% last year, making it the world's second-largest industrial metal producer after Chile, with shipments rising from 3.1 million tons in 2024 to 3.4 million tons in 2025.
Chinese Investment: A significant portion of Congo's copper production is attributed to Chinese companies, particularly CMOC, which operates the country's largest mines.
Kamoa-Kakula Mine: The second-largest copper mine in the country, Kamoa-Kakula, is a joint venture between Canada's Ivanhoe Mines and China's ZIJIN MINING, projected to produce 400,000 tons in 2025.
Market Dynamics: Analysts recommend focusing on companies like ZIJIN MINING and CMOC, as tighter copper supply-demand dynamics are anticipated.
Citi's Profit Forecasts: Citi has raised its net profit forecasts for CMOC for 2025-27 by 3.8%, 34.2%, and 17.5%, estimating profits of RMB20.5 billion, RMB33.9 billion, and RMB31.8 billion respectively.
Acquisition of Gold Assets: CMOC's acquisition of Brazilian gold assets is expected to yield 7.1 tons of gold production in 2026, contributing approximately RMB2.4 billion in net profit.
Target Price Adjustment: Citi has increased its target price for CMOC from HKD20.6 to HKD28.3 while maintaining a Buy rating.
Short Selling Data: As of February 10, 2026, CMOC has reported short selling of $49.96 million with a ratio of 12.246%.






