CICC: INNOVENT BIO (01801.HK) Sees Robust Growth Driven by Innovation; 2026 Earnings Outlook Upgraded
Company Performance: INNOVENT BIO (01801.HK) forecasts a 2025 product revenue of approximately RMB11.9 billion, reflecting a 45% year-over-year increase, with Q4 2025 revenue expected to reach RMB3.3 billion, up over 60% YoY.
Profit Forecasts: Following the 2026 Takeda collaboration, CICC raised its 2026 net profit forecast for INNOVENT BIO by 274% to RMB6.68 billion and introduced a 2027 forecast of RMB4.14 billion, maintaining an Outperform rating.
Target Price: Despite a recent decline in innovative drug valuations, CICC kept its target price for INNOVENT BIO at $118.3, indicating a potential upside of 48.06% from the current share price.
Market Activity: The company has experienced significant short selling activity, with $213 million shorted and a ratio of 32.3%, indicating market skepticism despite positive forecasts.
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Chinese Internet Healthcare Sector Growth: The sector is evolving with increased AI innovation from tech giants and support from national policies, such as Beijing's online consultation pilot program, despite profitability challenges.
Stock Recommendations: UOB Kay Hian maintains a positive outlook on companies like ALI HEALTH and PA GOODDOCTOR, projecting significant revenue growth driven by AI and synergies with major partners.
Top Picks in Healthcare: UOB Kay Hian's top stock picks include BEONE MEDICINES, INNOVENT BIO, and HANSOH PHARMA, highlighting their potential for growth in the Chinese healthcare market.
Investment Ratings: Various companies in the sector have received investment ratings, with several being rated as "Buy," indicating strong confidence in their future performance.
Market Performance: The HSI rose by 155 points (0.6%) to close at 27,183, with a total market turnover of HKD234.04 billion. The HSCEI and HSTECH also saw gains, closing at 9,242 and 5,451 respectively.
Tech Stock Movements: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and MEITUAN-W experienced declines of 1.6% and 2.5%, while KUAISHOU-W, JD-SW, and BABA-W saw increases between 1.6% and 1.9%.
AI and Pharma Stocks Surge: AI stocks such as UNISOUND and INSILICO rose significantly, with KNOWLEDGE ATLAS jumping 14.8% after JPMorgan initiated coverage. Pharma stocks also performed well, with CSPC PHARMA and INNOVENT BIO gaining between 4.7% and 5.5%.
Chip Sector Performance: SMIC gained 1.7%, while HUA HONG SEMI dipped 1.2%. Other chip-related stocks like INNOSCIENCE and BIREN TECH saw notable increases, with INNOSCIENCE rising 6.9%.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 155 points (0.6%) to close at 27,183, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also saw gains, with market turnover reaching $234.04 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Notable movements included Meituan down 2.5%, Alibaba up 1.6%, Tencent down 1.6%, and Xiaomi up 1.1%, with significant short selling activity across these stocks.
Top Gainers: CSPC Pharma, Innovent Bio, and Pop Mart were among the top gainers, with CSPC Pharma increasing by 5.5% and Pop Mart by 4.9%, while New Oriental saw a decline of 4.4%.
High Performers in HSMI & HSSI: China Literature surged by 15.4%, Vobile Group by 14.4%, and GeekPlus by 11%, indicating strong performance in smaller stocks within the market.

Market Performance: The HSI rose 146 points (0.5%) to 27,173, while the HSCEI and HSTECH also saw gains, with total market turnover reaching HKD133.823 billion.
Tech Stock Movements: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and MEITUAN fell, while others like KUAISHOU and JD-SW experienced gains, indicating mixed performance in the tech sector.
AI and Chip Sector Trends: AI stocks remained in demand, with significant gains for companies like KNOWLEDGE ATLAS and MINIMAX-WP, while chip stocks showed varied results, with SMIC edging up and HUA HONG SEMI dipping.
Pharmaceutical Sector Gains: Drug manufacturers like CSPC PHARMA and INNOVENT BIO saw notable increases in their stock prices, reflecting positive momentum in the pharmaceutical industry.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 146 points (0.5%) to 27,173, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also saw gains of 45 points (0.8%) and 71 points (0.8%) respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Notable movements included Meituan down 3% to $88.3, Xiaomi up 2% to $35.92, Alibaba up 1.5% to $160.2, and Tencent down 1.1% to $554.
Top Gainers: CSPC Pharma, Wuxi Biologics, and Innovent Biologics were among the top gainers, with increases of 6.3%, 5.6%, and 5.3% respectively, while New Oriental fell by 4.7%.
Significant Moves in Other Stocks: China Literature surged by 15.6%, Vobile Group increased by 13.3%, and Dahsing Banking rose by 7.4%, all hitting new highs, indicating strong market activity in various sectors.

Strategic Partnership: INNOVENT BIO has formed a strategic partnership with Eli Lilly to co-develop new biological drugs targeting oncology and immunology globally, as reported by JPMorgan.
Positive Market Reaction: JPMorgan views this collaboration as a significant milestone for INNOVENT BIO, enhancing its reputation as a global biopharmaceutical company and showcasing its strong R&D capabilities.
Stock Performance: Following the announcement, INNOVENT BIO's stock rose by 5.386%, with a short selling ratio of 19.306% and a total short selling amount of $259.46 million.
Analyst Ratings: CICC has raised its earnings forecast for INNOVENT BIO and reaffirmed it as a top pick among Chinese biotech firms, while JPMorgan assigned an Overweight rating with a target price of HKD111.





