Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Faces 40% Stock Decline Amid Loan Restructuring Efforts
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 15 2026
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Should l Buy ABR?
Source: Fool
- Stock Price Decline: Arbor Realty Trust has seen its stock price drop approximately 40% since the beginning of 2025, trading near early COVID-era lows primarily due to borrower delinquencies weakening net interest income, which has impacted its ability to maintain dividend payments.
- Loan Portfolio Risk: As of the latest quarter, loans from 2021 and 2022 account for 51.4% of the total $11.7 billion loan portfolio, underwritten at market peaks, facing refinancing difficulties; failure to restructure these loans could lead to significant declines in book value.
- Asset Value Preservation: Despite the distress, Arbor Realty Trust's book value per share remained at $12.08 as of Q3, with management indicating that addressing troubled assets will take several months, and if executed well, asset values should remain reliable.
- Single-Family Rental Strength: Single-family rental loans make up 23.6% of the loan portfolio and have proven to be a strong growth area in recent years; if Arbor can continue to increase originations in this segment, it may help mitigate potential losses from the multifamily sector.
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Analyst Views on ABR
Wall Street analysts forecast ABR stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 7.420
Low
10.00
Averages
11.50
High
13.50
Current: 7.420
Low
10.00
Averages
11.50
High
13.50
About ABR
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust and direct lender, providing loan origination and servicing for multifamily, single-family rental (SFR) portfolios, and other diverse commercial real estate assets. The Company’s segments include Structured Business and Agency Business. Through its Structured Business, it invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, SFR and commercial real estate markets, primarily consisting of bridge loans to mezzanine loans, junior participating interests in first mortgages and preferred equity. It also invests in real estate-related joint ventures and may directly acquire real property and invest in real estate-related notes and certain mortgage-related securities. Through its Agency Business, the Company originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily finance products through Housing and Urban Development (HUD), Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), among others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Investor Preference: During turbulent and uncertain market conditions, many investors are turning to high dividend-yielding stocks, which typically possess high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Analyst Ratings: Ratings from analysts for three high-yielding stocks in the financial sector, namely PennantPark Investment Corp., Horizon Technology Finance Corp., and Arbor Realty Trust Inc., indicate their strong investment appeal in the current market environment.
- Market Trends: As market instability intensifies, there is a growing interest among investors in companies that can provide stable cash flows, reflecting a heightened focus on risk management and potentially driving up the stock prices of these firms.
- Dividend Strategy: The allure of high dividend stocks lies in their ability to offer investors a continuous income stream, especially as economic uncertainties rise, which may attract more capital seeking safe investments.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: Arbor Realty Trust is set to announce its Q4 2025 financial results before the market opens on February 27, 2026, which is expected to provide investors with critical insights into the company's financial performance and operational health.
- Conference Call Details: Following the earnings release, the company will host a conference call at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time, allowing investors to participate via live webcast or telephone, thereby ensuring broad dissemination and transparency of information.
- Replay Service: A telephonic replay of the conference call will be available until March 6, 2026, providing access to those who could not attend live, further enhancing communication channels between the company and its investors.
- Company Background: Arbor Realty Trust is a nationwide real estate investment trust specializing in loan origination and servicing for multifamily and single-family rental portfolios, managing a multibillion-dollar servicing portfolio, which underscores its strong position and capabilities in the real estate finance sector.
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- Rating Upgrade: Fitch upgraded Arbor Multifamily Lending, LLC's Commercial Special Servicer Rating to CSS2- with a Stable Outlook, reflecting ongoing technological and managerial improvements that enhance its competitiveness in the multifamily lending market.
- Technological Enhancements: Arbor's recent upgrades to its core asset management system were recognized by Fitch, indicating its proficiency in handling GSE commercial real estate loans, which further solidifies its industry-leading position.
- Internal Control Environment: Fitch noted that Arbor's internal control environment includes well-defined policies and procedures, along with segregation of duties for cash-handling servicing functions, ensuring compliance and service quality.
- Management Team Strength: Arbor's Commercial Primary Servicer Rating was affirmed at CPS2+, showcasing the strong expertise of its seasoned management team and staff in multifamily and agency primary servicing, which enhances client trust and market position.
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- Rating Upgrade: Fitch upgraded Arbor Multifamily Lending, LLC's Commercial Special Servicer Rating to CSS2- with a Stable Outlook, reflecting ongoing improvements in technology and management practices.
- Technological Advancements: Fitch noted Arbor's enhancements to its core asset management system and its experienced management team, which have demonstrated proficiency in resolving primarily GSE commercial real estate loans, further solidifying its market position.
- Internal Control Environment: Arbor's internal control environment includes well-defined policies and procedures, segregation of duties for cash-handling servicing functions, and exception reporting and management oversight, showcasing its strong compliance capabilities.
- Ongoing Commitment: Arbor's Commercial Primary Servicer Rating was affirmed at CPS2+ with a Stable Outlook, indicating its strong expertise in multifamily and agency primary servicing and continued dedication to technology improvements.
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Announcement of Dividend: Arbor Realty Trust has announced its dividend for the year 2025.
Dividend Details: The specifics regarding the amount and payment schedule of the dividend have been outlined in the announcement.
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- Stock Price Decline: Arbor Realty Trust has seen its stock price drop approximately 40% since the beginning of 2025, trading near early COVID-era lows primarily due to borrower delinquencies weakening net interest income, which has impacted its ability to maintain dividend payments.
- Loan Portfolio Risk: As of the latest quarter, loans from 2021 and 2022 account for 51.4% of the total $11.7 billion loan portfolio, underwritten at market peaks, facing refinancing difficulties; failure to restructure these loans could lead to significant declines in book value.
- Asset Value Preservation: Despite the distress, Arbor Realty Trust's book value per share remained at $12.08 as of Q3, with management indicating that addressing troubled assets will take several months, and if executed well, asset values should remain reliable.
- Single-Family Rental Strength: Single-family rental loans make up 23.6% of the loan portfolio and have proven to be a strong growth area in recent years; if Arbor can continue to increase originations in this segment, it may help mitigate potential losses from the multifamily sector.
See More







