Analysis of FirstEnergy's Dividend and Volatility
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy FE?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Dividend Yield Expectation: FirstEnergy Corp's latest dividend yield is projected at 3.8%, and its sustainability must be assessed in conjunction with the company's profitability volatility, which impacts investor return expectations and decisions.
- Historical Volatility Analysis: With a trailing twelve-month volatility of 20% based on the last 250 trading days' closing prices, this provides investors with a foundation to evaluate risk versus reward, aiding in the decision to sell covered calls at the $50 strike.
- Options Trading Dynamics: On Monday, the put volume among S&P 500 components reached 1.19 million contracts, while call volume was at 2.27 million, resulting in a put:call ratio of 0.52, indicating a market preference for calls, reflecting investor optimism regarding price increases.
- Options Market Trends: The current put:call ratio is below the long-term median of 0.65, suggesting that investors are more inclined to purchase call options, which may indicate a shift in market sentiment and a positive outlook for FirstEnergy's stock price.
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Analyst Views on FE
Wall Street analysts forecast FE stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 48.840
Low
46.00
Averages
49.25
High
54.00
Current: 48.840
Low
46.00
Averages
49.25
High
54.00
About FE
FirstEnergy Corp. and its subsidiaries are involved in the transmission, distribution, and generation of electricity through its segments: Distribution, Integrated and Stand-Alone Transmission. The Distribution Segment, which consists of the Ohio Companies and FirstEnergy Pennsylvania Electric Company (FE PA), distributes electricity in Ohio and Pennsylvania. The Integrated segment includes the distribution and transmission operations under Jersey Central Power & Light Company (JCP&L), Monongahela Power Company (MP) and The Potomac Edison Company (PE), as well as MP's regulated generation operations. The segment distributes electricity in New Jersey, West Virginia and Maryland, provides transmission infrastructure, and operates 3,604 MWs of regulated net maximum generation capacity. The Stand-Alone Transmission segment consists of its ownership in FET and KATCo, which includes transmission infrastructure owned and operated by the Transmission Companies and used to transmit electricity.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
FirstEnergy Subsidiaries Plan 1,200-MW Gas Plant in West Virginia
- New Power Plant Announcement: FirstEnergy's subsidiaries Mon Power and Potomac Edison have announced plans to construct a 1,200-MW natural gas-fired power plant adjacent to the Fort Martin Power Station in West Virginia, covering 35 acres, with commercial operations expected to begin by late 2031, aimed at addressing energy deficits and enhancing reliable electric service.
- Significant Investment: The gas plant represents a substantial investment of $2.84 billion, indicating the company's commitment to meeting future energy demands and its strategic positioning in the renewable energy transition, with construction anticipated to start in 2027.
- Solar Project Expansion: In addition to the gas plant, Mon Power and Potomac Edison are seeking approval for three new solar projects totaling 70 MW, to be built on former industrial and reclaimed mining lands, further diversifying their energy portfolio and supporting renewable energy development.
- Commitment to Customer Service: FirstEnergy emphasizes that the new plant will strengthen its power infrastructure in West Virginia, ensuring reliable and affordable electricity for families and businesses, aligning with its Integrated Resource Plan's long-term goals to enhance customer satisfaction and market competitiveness.
See More
FirstEnergy Plans New 1,200 MW Gas Plant
- Site Selection: FirstEnergy's subsidiaries Mon Power and Potomac Edison have chosen a 35-acre site next to the Fort Martin Power Station in Maidsville for a new 1,200-megawatt natural gas power plant, which is expected to significantly enhance local power supply capacity.
- Construction Timeline: If approved by the West Virginia Public Service Commission, site work could begin as early as 2027, with the plant projected to come online by late 2031, thereby preparing for future energy demand growth.
- Decision Timeline: The company stated on February 13 that it expects a decision from the Public Service Commission within the next year, which will directly impact the project's advancement and investment returns.
- Contextual Background: The advancement of this project aligns with FirstEnergy's efforts to move past its involvement in a $60 million bribery scandal in Ohio, indicating the company's commitment to rebuilding its reputation and pursuing business growth.
See More
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- Economic Indicators: This downturn occurred despite a better-than-expected jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and a relatively stable inflation report.
See More
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- Increased Market Volatility: Last week, stocks in software, real estate, financial services, and logistics faced selling pressure due to concerns over AI-related disruptions, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.2% and a weekly loss of 2.1%, indicating market sensitivity to AI impacts.
- Consumer Spending Data Focus: This week's highlight will be the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report on Friday, which will provide insights into consumer spending in December and inflation trends, especially following last week's unexpected slowdown in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- Corporate Earnings in Spotlight: Walmart (WMT) is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, marking the first report under new CEO John Furner, making it a key indicator of consumer spending that the market is eagerly anticipating.
- Ongoing AI Impact: As AI tools' potential effects intensify across various sectors, software stocks like Salesforce (CRM) and ServiceNow (NOW) have seen significant declines, reflecting the market's heightened vigilance regarding AI disruptions, necessitating close monitoring of future industry developments.
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- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, FirstEnergy has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time but has failed to exceed revenue estimates, indicating ongoing challenges in revenue growth.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and five downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced one upward and one downward revision, suggesting a decline in market confidence regarding future performance.
- Credibility Recovery Progress: Despite the $60 million bribery scandal, FirstEnergy's upgrade by Wolfe indicates progress in rebuilding its corporate credibility, which may attract more investor interest.
See More
New Natural Gas Plant to Enhance Power Supply
- New Plant Construction: Mon Power and Potomac Edison plan to build a 1,200-megawatt natural gas plant in Maidsville, West Virginia, expected to power approximately 500,000 homes, thereby enhancing the region's energy supply and ensuring reliable and affordable electricity.
- Project Timeline: If approved by the West Virginia Public Service Commission, construction is anticipated to begin in 2027, with the plant expected to come online by late 2031, reflecting the companies' proactive planning for future electricity demand growth.
- Solar Resource Expansion: The companies are also seeking approval for 70 megawatts of new solar generation on former industrial and reclaimed mine lands, which will complement their existing 30-megawatt solar portfolio, supporting clean energy development and creating construction jobs.
- Customer Service Commitment: Mon Power and Potomac Edison currently serve approximately 395,000 and 285,000 customers, respectively, and the new power projects will further enhance their service capabilities in West Virginia, ensuring they meet the rapidly growing electricity needs.
See More
FirstEnergy Subsidiaries Plan 1,200-MW Gas Plant in West Virginia
- New Power Plant Announcement: FirstEnergy's subsidiaries Mon Power and Potomac Edison have announced plans to construct a 1,200-MW natural gas-fired power plant adjacent to the Fort Martin Power Station in West Virginia, covering 35 acres, with commercial operations expected to begin by late 2031, aimed at addressing energy deficits and enhancing reliable electric service.
- Significant Investment: The gas plant represents a substantial investment of $2.84 billion, indicating the company's commitment to meeting future energy demands and its strategic positioning in the renewable energy transition, with construction anticipated to start in 2027.
- Solar Project Expansion: In addition to the gas plant, Mon Power and Potomac Edison are seeking approval for three new solar projects totaling 70 MW, to be built on former industrial and reclaimed mining lands, further diversifying their energy portfolio and supporting renewable energy development.
- Commitment to Customer Service: FirstEnergy emphasizes that the new plant will strengthen its power infrastructure in West Virginia, ensuring reliable and affordable electricity for families and businesses, aligning with its Integrated Resource Plan's long-term goals to enhance customer satisfaction and market competitiveness.
See More
FirstEnergy Plans New 1,200 MW Gas Plant
- Site Selection: FirstEnergy's subsidiaries Mon Power and Potomac Edison have chosen a 35-acre site next to the Fort Martin Power Station in Maidsville for a new 1,200-megawatt natural gas power plant, which is expected to significantly enhance local power supply capacity.
- Construction Timeline: If approved by the West Virginia Public Service Commission, site work could begin as early as 2027, with the plant projected to come online by late 2031, thereby preparing for future energy demand growth.
- Decision Timeline: The company stated on February 13 that it expects a decision from the Public Service Commission within the next year, which will directly impact the project's advancement and investment returns.
- Contextual Background: The advancement of this project aligns with FirstEnergy's efforts to move past its involvement in a $60 million bribery scandal in Ohio, indicating the company's commitment to rebuilding its reputation and pursuing business growth.
See More
Key Companies to Monitor This Week: PCE, Walmart, Palo Alto, Analog Devices, Deere, and Others
- Market Performance: Equities experienced a decline last week, with all three major indexes falling by at least 1.2%.
- Economic Indicators: This downturn occurred despite a better-than-expected jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and a relatively stable inflation report.
See More
AI Turbulence Impacts Market Performance
- Increased Market Volatility: Last week, stocks in software, real estate, financial services, and logistics faced selling pressure due to concerns over AI-related disruptions, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 0.2% and a weekly loss of 2.1%, indicating market sensitivity to AI impacts.
- Consumer Spending Data Focus: This week's highlight will be the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report on Friday, which will provide insights into consumer spending in December and inflation trends, especially following last week's unexpected slowdown in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- Corporate Earnings in Spotlight: Walmart (WMT) is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, marking the first report under new CEO John Furner, making it a key indicator of consumer spending that the market is eagerly anticipating.
- Ongoing AI Impact: As AI tools' potential effects intensify across various sectors, software stocks like Salesforce (CRM) and ServiceNow (NOW) have seen significant declines, reflecting the market's heightened vigilance regarding AI disruptions, necessitating close monitoring of future industry developments.
See More
FirstEnergy Set to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 17
- Earnings Announcement Date: FirstEnergy is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 17 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.54, reflecting an 11.5% year-over-year decline, which may impact investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, FirstEnergy has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time but has failed to exceed revenue estimates, indicating ongoing challenges in revenue growth.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and five downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced one upward and one downward revision, suggesting a decline in market confidence regarding future performance.
- Credibility Recovery Progress: Despite the $60 million bribery scandal, FirstEnergy's upgrade by Wolfe indicates progress in rebuilding its corporate credibility, which may attract more investor interest.
See More
New Natural Gas Plant to Enhance Power Supply
- New Plant Construction: Mon Power and Potomac Edison plan to build a 1,200-megawatt natural gas plant in Maidsville, West Virginia, expected to power approximately 500,000 homes, thereby enhancing the region's energy supply and ensuring reliable and affordable electricity.
- Project Timeline: If approved by the West Virginia Public Service Commission, construction is anticipated to begin in 2027, with the plant expected to come online by late 2031, reflecting the companies' proactive planning for future electricity demand growth.
- Solar Resource Expansion: The companies are also seeking approval for 70 megawatts of new solar generation on former industrial and reclaimed mine lands, which will complement their existing 30-megawatt solar portfolio, supporting clean energy development and creating construction jobs.
- Customer Service Commitment: Mon Power and Potomac Edison currently serve approximately 395,000 and 285,000 customers, respectively, and the new power projects will further enhance their service capabilities in West Virginia, ensuring they meet the rapidly growing electricity needs.
See More
