Amazon Plans $200 Billion Capital Expenditure in 2026 Amid Strong Demand
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 05 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AMZN?
Source: seekingalpha
- Capital Expenditure Plan: Amazon CEO Andy Jassy announced a projected $200 billion investment in 2026 for data centers, chips, and other infrastructure to meet strong market demand, particularly in AI and robotics, which is expected to yield long-term returns on invested capital.
- Congressional Scrutiny on AI Chip Deal: Senator Elizabeth Warren has filed a resolution urging the Trump administration to reverse its decision allowing the sale of 500,000 advanced AI chips annually to the UAE, citing national security concerns regarding the UAE's ties with China, indicating increasing regulatory scrutiny over technology exports.
- Gemini Layoff Announcement: Crypto platform Gemini Space Station revealed plans to cut approximately 200 jobs, or 25% of its workforce, while winding down operations in the UK, Europe, and Australia, as part of a broader initiative to reduce operating expenses and support the company's path to profitability, with restructuring expected to complete in the first half of the year.
- Amazon Earnings Report: Amazon released its Q4 earnings report after market close on Thursday, where its GAAP EPS of $1.95 slightly missed expectations, yet its revenue of $213.4 billion exceeded forecasts by $2.17 billion, reflecting the company's ongoing growth potential amid strong demand.
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Analyst Views on AMZN
Wall Street analysts forecast AMZN stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
41 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 199.600
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
Current: 199.600
Low
175.00
Averages
280.01
High
325.00
About AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. The Company’s segments include North America, International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It serves consumers through its online and physical stores and focuses on selection, price, and convenience. Customers access its offerings through its websites, mobile apps, Alexa, devices, streaming, and physically visiting its stores. It also manufactures and sells electronic devices, including Kindle, Fire tablet, Fire TV, Echo, Ring, Blink, and eero, and develops and produces media content. It serves developers and enterprises of all sizes, including start-ups, government agencies, and academic institutions, through AWS, which offers a set of on-demand technology services, including compute, storage, database, analytics, and machine learning, and other services.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Decline: Amazon's stock has dropped 14% year-to-date and has faced a nine-day losing streak, the longest since July 2006, although Wall Street believes the stock is undervalued with a median target price of $285, indicating a potential 43% upside.
- Strong Financial Results: Despite narrowly missing earnings expectations, Amazon reported a 14% year-over-year revenue increase to $213 billion in Q4, driven by robust growth in advertising and cloud computing, highlighting the company's competitive position in rapidly growing markets.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Amazon plans to increase capital expenditures to $200 billion by 2026, a 56% rise from $128 billion in 2025, raising investor concerns about the company's financial health, particularly regarding its significant investments in AI infrastructure.
- Accelerating Cloud Growth: Amazon Web Services (AWS) saw a 24% revenue increase in Q4, the fastest growth in 13 quarters, with CEO Andy Jassy noting that the custom chip business has surpassed a $10 billion annual revenue run rate, indicating that AI investments are beginning to yield returns.
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- AWS Growth Acceleration: Amazon's cloud computing platform, AWS, grew at a pace of 24% in Q4, marking the fastest growth in 13 quarters, highlighting its critical role in AI model development and enhancing Amazon's competitive position in the market.
- Valuation Pullback Justified: Despite significant revenue and earnings growth, Amazon's stock has declined by approximately 7% since 2025, with its PE ratio dropping to 26.5 times, reflecting a market reassessment of its valuation, potentially providing a reasonable buying opportunity for investors.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Amazon plans to invest $200 billion in capital expenditures in 2026, primarily for data center construction, which may impact cash flows; however, if AI computing demand continues to grow, this investment will support future business expansion.
- Investor Confidence Recovery: Although the Motley Fool analyst team did not include Amazon in their current best stock picks, analysts believe that Amazon is poised for a stock rebound in 2026, indicating a recovery in market confidence regarding its future performance.
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- Long-Term Investment Confidence: Analysts express optimism about eight stocks that have experienced fluctuations, believing they still possess the ability to generate profits for shareholders in the long run, reflecting a strong market confidence.
- Amazon's Investment Potential: Among the stocks discussed, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is highlighted as a favorite investment choice, as its long-term growth prospects continue to attract investor interest despite facing challenges.
- Video Content Promotion: The video, published on January 10, 2026, aims to engage viewers to subscribe to the channel and learn more about investment opportunities, while also providing a special offer link to enhance viewer participation.
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- AI Trade Stalling: According to David Woo, the Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ) has shown no significant movement since last October, with its 100-day rolling return rapidly approaching zero, indicating a potential leadership erosion and the risk of a deeper market correction.
- Earnings Momentum Weakening: During the fourth-quarter earnings season, the combined EBIT four-quarter moving average of the Magnificent Seven fell to its lowest level since 2023, and despite a rebound at Apple, the overall fading earnings growth momentum raises concerns about profit-taking risks for investors.
- Capex Correlation Breakdown: Woo noted that for the first time since the launch of ChatGPT, the strong correlation between AI stocks and hyperscaler capital expenditures has turned negative, suggesting a loss of market trust in capex as a signal for higher returns, which could lead to over-investment risks.
- Market Psychology Shift: As AI-related capex grows much faster than AI-related revenue, Woo warns that this unsustainable gap may indicate a shift in investment cycles outpacing revenue cycles, posing significant risks for the market, especially with an uncertain outlook heading into 2026.
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- Nuclear Fuel License Breakthrough: Amazon has secured the first nuclear fuel license in 50 years, breaking the bottleneck for deploying Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) and restarting the High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) supply chain, ensuring reactor operations and advancing AI infrastructure development.
- Nuclear Capacity Goals: Amazon and X-Energy aim to deploy 5 gigawatts of nuclear capacity by 2039, sufficient to power millions of homes and some of the world's largest AI clusters, highlighting the critical role of nuclear energy in future energy structures.
- Strategic Uranium Supply Chain: This breakthrough shifts nuclear energy from theory to execution, placing the uranium supply chain in focus, with Centrus being one of the few U.S. companies capable of HALEU enrichment, enhancing its market position as a key domestic supplier.
- Infrastructure Investment Opportunity: With the return of nuclear energy, investors should pay attention to this infrastructure narrative, as the increasing demand for power from AI aligns perfectly with nuclear energy solutions, marking a significant shift in the energy landscape.
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AI Impact Summit in New Delhi: Top tech executives will convene in New Delhi, India, for an AI Impact Summit starting Monday.
Previous Summits: This event follows government-led summits on artificial intelligence that have taken place in the U.K., South Korea, and France.
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