AerCap Q4 Earnings Preview: Analysts Expect Growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 06 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AER?
Source: Benzinga
- Earnings Release Announcement: AerCap Holdings N.V. is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opens on February 6, with analysts projecting earnings per share of $3.40, an increase from $3.31 in the previous year, indicating sustained profitability improvements.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: According to Benzinga Pro, the consensus estimate for AerCap's quarterly revenue is $2.12 billion, up from $2.07 billion a year earlier, reflecting the company's robust performance in the aviation leasing market.
- New Aircraft Agreements: On January 13, AerCap signed purchase and leaseback agreements with Virgin Atlantic for six new Airbus A330NEO aircraft, which will enhance its fleet modernization and operational efficiency, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the market.
- Stock Price Increase: AerCap shares rose 0.6% to close at $144.00 on the latest trading day, reflecting market optimism regarding the upcoming earnings report, which may drive further stock price appreciation.
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Analyst Views on AER
Wall Street analysts forecast AER stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 147.760
Low
141.00
Averages
153.71
High
162.00
Current: 147.760
Low
141.00
Averages
153.71
High
162.00
About AER
AerCap Holdings N.V. is an Ireland-based company, which is primarily engaged in aviation leasing. The Company provides a range of assets for lease, including narrowbody and widebody aircraft, regional jets, freighters, engines and helicopters. Its portfolio consists of 3,536 aircraft, engines, including engines owned and managed by its Shannon Engine Support Ltd (SES) joint venture, and helicopters that were owned, on order or managed. In addition, it offers aftermarket components, equipment and services through its materials business and the lease, purchase and financing of spare engines. Its passenger aircraft portfolio includes Airbus A220 Family, Airbus A320neo Family, Airbus A320 Family, Airbus A330neo Family, Airbus A330neo Family, Airbus A350, Boeing 737 MAX, Boeing 737NG, Boeing 777-200ER/ 300-ER, Boeing 787 and Embraer E190/E195/E2. Its freight aircraft portfolio includes Airbus A321, Boeing 737 and Boeing 767/777.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Annual Report Submission: AerCap Holdings N.V. filed its Form 20-F with the SEC on February 12, 2026, including audited financial statements for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, ensuring compliance with U.S. regulations and enhancing investor confidence.
- Global Leadership Position: As the global leader in aviation leasing, AerCap serves approximately 300 customers, providing comprehensive fleet solutions that solidify its competitive edge in the aviation leasing industry.
- Information Access Channels: Investors can access the 20-F report through AerCap's website and the SEC's site, and the company offers complimentary paper copies upon request, improving information transparency and accessibility.
- Forward-Looking Statements: The report includes forward-looking statements that highlight projections of future performance and events, cautioning investors about potential risks and uncertainties to ensure reasonable expectations regarding the company's future developments.
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- Annual Report Submission: AerCap Holdings N.V. filed its Form 20-F with the SEC on February 12, 2026, including audited financial statements for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, ensuring compliance with U.S. regulatory requirements and enhancing investor trust in the company's transparency.
- Global Aviation Leasing Leader: As a leader in global aviation leasing, AerCap serves approximately 300 customers with comprehensive fleet solutions, demonstrating its strong market position and operational capabilities within the industry.
- Information Access Channels: Investors can access the detailed 20-F report on AerCap's website and the SEC's site, while also being able to request complimentary paper copies, further enhancing customer convenience and flexibility in information retrieval.
- Forward-Looking Statement Caution: The report includes forward-looking statements that highlight uncertainties regarding future performance, cautioning investors to consider various risk factors that could impact the company's operations, including capital availability and geopolitical risks, ensuring a clear understanding of potential risks for investors.
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No Liquidity Penalty: The CEO of Frontier has stated that there is no liquidity penalty associated with an aircraft return deal with AerCap.
Aircraft Return Deal: The agreement involves the return of an aircraft, indicating a strategic move in Frontier's operations.
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- Early Aircraft Returns: Frontier has entered a non-binding agreement with AerCap for the early return of 24 A320neo aircraft, expected to be completed in Q2 2026, which will enhance fleet efficiency and operational productivity as these leases were set to expire in the next two to eight years.
- Future Sale-Leaseback Transactions: AerCap will engage in 10 future sale-leaseback transactions scheduled for 2028 and 2029, providing Frontier with increased flexibility to adapt to market demands while strengthening its competitive position in the airline industry.
- Deepening Strategic Partnership: Frontier's CEO, Jimmy Dempsey, noted that this agreement signifies a robust partnership with AerCap and CFM International, aimed at improving airline productivity through disciplined fleet management, thereby solidifying its market presence.
- Industry Leadership: AerCap's CEO, Aengus Kelly, highlighted that this transaction not only optimizes Frontier's fleet but also showcases AerCap's unique commercial capabilities and OEM relationships, further enhancing their long-term partnership with Frontier.
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Airbus Demand Forecast: Airbus anticipates that it will get closer to meeting demand for aircraft by 2030.
Supply Limitations: Despite the expected increase in demand, supply will remain structurally limited well into the 2030s.
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- Strong Financial Performance: AerCap reported a net income of $633 million and earnings per share of $3.79 for Q4 2025, reflecting robust growth compared to the same period in 2024, which is expected to enhance investor confidence moving forward.
- Record Asset Sales: The company sold $3.9 billion in assets during 2025, achieving a net gain of $819 million, showcasing its improved asset management capabilities while providing capital for future investments.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: AerCap announced a new $1 billion share repurchase program and raised its quarterly dividend to $0.40 per share, indicating a commitment to creating long-term value for shareholders and enhancing market appeal.
- Improved Financial Health: As of December 31, 2025, AerCap's shareholders' equity reached $18.32 billion, a 7% increase from 2024, demonstrating ongoing improvements in capital structure and financial stability.
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