2026 Stock Market Predictions: Meta Likely to Be the Biggest Stock Split Stock
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 01 2026
0mins
Should l Buy META?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Market Bubble Burst: In 2026, the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq are expected to enter a bear market due to current P/E ratios nearing historical highs, which could lead to a 20% to 89% loss in market value, indicating the unsustainability of high valuations.
- Rising Unemployment: The U.S. unemployment rate has reached a four-year high, and combined with high inflation and slowing economic growth, stagflation may emerge, creating policy dilemmas for the Fed that could negatively impact stock performance.
- Tech Stock Valuation Pressure: Tech stocks are valued at over 27 times forward earnings, while consumer staples are below 21 times, suggesting that basic goods companies may outperform tech stocks in 2026, reflecting a market preference for defensive stocks.
- SpaceX IPO Outlook: In 2026, SpaceX is expected to conduct the largest IPO in history, targeting to raise $30 billion, which could elevate its valuation to $1 trillion, potentially reshaping market dynamics and attracting significant investor interest.
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Analyst Views on META
Wall Street analysts forecast META stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
37 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 649.810
Low
655.15
Averages
824.71
High
1117
Current: 649.810
Low
655.15
Averages
824.71
High
1117
About META
Meta Platforms, Inc. is building human connections, powered by artificial intelligence and immersive technologies. The Company's products enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) and mixed reality (MR) headsets, augmented reality (AR), and wearables. It also helps people discover and learn about what is going on in the world around them, enabling people to share their experiences, ideas, photos, videos, and other content with audiences ranging from their closest family members and friends to the public at large. The Company's segments include Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). FoA segment includes Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp and Threads. RL segment includes its virtual, augmented, and mixed reality related consumer hardware, software and content. Its product offerings in VR include its Meta Quest devices, as well as software and content available through the Meta Horizon Store.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Surge in Capex: The capital expenditure forecast for 2026 has been raised to between $115 billion and $135 billion, nearly doubling the $72.2 billion spent in 2025, leading to a divide among investors regarding the sustainability of this spending plan.
- Robust User Growth: Meta's Family of Apps now boasts 3.58 billion daily active users, representing 43% of the global population, showcasing effective AI application in its advertising business with an 18% increase in ad impressions.
- Strong Profitability: Meta anticipates Q1 2026 revenues between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, implying growth rates as high as 34%, and despite spending pressures, the company maintains strong cash flow and profitability metrics.
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- Interest Rate Policy Impact: Following the Fed's interest rate cuts that began in 2024, the recent decision to hold rates steady has heightened investor concerns over uncertainty, leading to diminished confidence in tech stocks, despite strong earnings reports from companies like Meta and Taiwan Semiconductor.
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See More
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- Strong Earnings: Meta reported a 24% revenue growth in Q4 2025, beating market expectations, although the stock has drifted lower post-earnings, indicating investor concerns over future spending.
- Surge in Capex: The capital expenditure forecast for 2026 has been raised to between $115 billion and $135 billion, nearly doubling the $72.2 billion spent in 2025, leading to a divide among investors regarding the sustainability of this spending plan.
- Robust User Growth: Meta's Family of Apps now boasts 3.58 billion daily active users, representing 43% of the global population, showcasing effective AI application in its advertising business with an 18% increase in ad impressions.
- Strong Profitability: Meta anticipates Q1 2026 revenues between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, implying growth rates as high as 34%, and despite spending pressures, the company maintains strong cash flow and profitability metrics.
See More
Doha Emerges as a Global Hub for AI Discussions
- Global AI Summit: The Web Summit in Doha attracted over 30,000 founders, investors, and experts, establishing itself as a global hub for AI discussions and showcasing the Middle East's rise in the global AI landscape.
- Innovation Sandbox: Qatar Foundation Chairperson Sheikha Moza bint Nasser described the event as a 'sandbox of innovation,' highlighting AI's potential to empower small businesses and drive economic growth, particularly as large enterprises face implementation challenges.
- Energy and Data Infrastructure: Attendees discussed the resilience of supply chains, energy systems, and data infrastructure amid rising geopolitical tensions, emphasizing the need for governments to ensure supply and diversification of computing capabilities to meet the demands of the information age.
- Investment Opportunities: Qatar's Prime Minister announced an additional $2 billion for the Qatar Investment Authority's Fund of Funds program, bringing total committed capital to $3 billion, supporting 12 regional and international fund managers, reflecting the country's ambition and potential in global AI investments.
See More
Broadcom's Rise in the AI Sector
- Surging AI Revenue: Broadcom reported a 74% year-over-year increase in AI semiconductor revenue for the latest quarter, with projections indicating that first-quarter revenue will double to $8.2 billion, driven by strong demand for custom accelerators and AI Ethernet switches, significantly boosting overall performance.
- Record Backlog: The company's backlog for AI switches has surpassed $10 billion, reflecting robust market demand amid ongoing AI data center buildouts, which further solidifies Broadcom's position in the industry.
- Differentiated Product Offering: Broadcom has launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 access point and switch system, designed to enhance security and speed for enterprises utilizing AI, thereby increasing its competitive edge and attracting more customers.
- Unique Market Positioning: Broadcom's XPUs are custom chips tailored for specific purposes, differentiating them from Nvidia and AMD's general-purpose GPUs, allowing the company to carve out a niche in the competitive AI market and enhancing its strategic positioning for future growth.
See More
S&P 500 Index Achieves Three Years of Strong Performance
- Market Performance Review: The S&P 500 has achieved double-digit gains for three consecutive years, reflecting the ongoing bull market that has attracted significant investment into growth stocks like AI and quantum computing, although overall market momentum has recently slowed.
- Interest Rate Policy Impact: Following the Fed's interest rate cuts that began in 2024, the recent decision to hold rates steady has heightened investor concerns over uncertainty, leading to diminished confidence in tech stocks, despite strong earnings reports from companies like Meta and Taiwan Semiconductor.
- Valuation Level Warning: The S&P 500's Shiller CAPE ratio has surpassed 39, a level only reached once before, just prior to the dot-com bubble burst, indicating that current market valuations are high and may signal potential future correction risks.
- Historical Trend Analysis: Historical data shows that the S&P 500 typically declines after reaching peak valuations, although such declines are not always long-lasting; investors should focus on a long-term strategy of holding quality stocks to navigate short-term market fluctuations.
See More
Billionaire Bill Ackman's Investment Strategy
- Amazon Investment Analysis: Bill Ackman's 13% stake in Amazon is driven by its strong e-commerce and cloud computing presence, with expected earnings growth of 17% annually over the next three years, making the current 28 times earnings valuation appear reasonable.
- AI-Driven Growth: Amazon's development of hundreds of generative AI applications has improved retail operational efficiency, with a 1.5 percentage point increase in operating margin in Q4 and a 24% growth in cloud services sales, highlighting the positive impact of AI investments.
- Meta Platforms Investment Outlook: Ackman's 10% investment in Meta benefits from its position as the second-largest ad tech company globally, leveraging AI to enhance ad performance, with a 6% year-over-year increase in ad prices in Q4 indicating strong advertiser demand.
- Smart Glasses Market Opportunity: Meta dominates the smart glasses market with over 70% share, and spending is forecasted to grow at 60% annually, presenting long-term growth opportunities through the integration of superintelligence systems.
See More
Anthropic CEO Warns of AI Investment Risks
- Investment Risk Warning: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warns that even a slight miscalculation in AI investment timing could lead to bankruptcy, particularly as rivals pour hundreds of billions into data centers, highlighting the intense market competition.
- Cautious Spending Strategy: Amodei emphasizes that while powerful AI models are expected to emerge within one to two years, the timeline for revenue realization remains uncertain, potentially taking one to five years, making early massive capital commitments highly risky.
- Massive Spending Plans: Anthropic plans to invest $50 billion in U.S. AI infrastructure, focusing on data centers in Texas and New York, while competitors like Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta are budgeting significantly more at $200 billion, $185 billion, and $135 billion respectively, indicating fierce funding competition in the industry.
- Surge in Market Demand: According to the Semiconductor Industry Association, global chip sales are projected to reach $791.7 billion in 2025 and grow by 26% in 2026, indicating that AI demand is driving rapid growth across the entire sector.
See More
