Trump Vows $2000 'Tariff Dividend' Payment by Mid-2026, Yet Prediction Markets Express Doubt
Prediction Market Skepticism: Odds for Trump to implement the $2,000 tariff dividend checks this year have dropped to 3% on Polymarket, down from 14% a week prior, indicating a lack of confidence in the policy's immediate realization.
Trump's Commitment: Despite the skepticism, Trump has promised that checks will begin to be issued by mid-2026, with plans to provide at least $2,000 to every American, excluding high-income individuals, funded by tariff revenues.
Legislative Requirements: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized that the dividend proposal requires legislation or congressional approval, suggesting that the checks may not be distributed as initially planned.
Tariff Revenue Concerns: Experts have raised doubts about the sufficiency of tariff revenue to support the $2,000 dividend, with the Treasury Department reporting $195 billion in tariff collections, significantly exceeding previous fiscal year totals.
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Technical Analysis for
Technical Sentiment Analysis for () As of , () is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 0 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 0 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
() Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fibonacci | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
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