Polymarket Reports Only 30% of Users Profitable, 70% at a Loss
- Profitability Analysis: Blockchain analytics reveal that only 30% of Polymarket's 1.7 million trading addresses have realized profits, indicating a highly concentrated profitability pattern, while 70% of users are facing losses, reflecting an uneven risk distribution among market participants.
- Concentration of Profits: Fewer than 0.04% of addresses captured over 70% of all realized profits on the platform, totaling $3.7 billion, suggesting that a small number of savvy traders dominate the market through systematic strategies, while the majority struggle to achieve similar returns.
- Severe Losses: Approximately 1.1 million addresses, representing 63.5% of all users, have realized losses between $0 and $1,000, with over 140 addresses incurring losses exceeding $1 million, highlighting the vulnerability of most users in the market.
- Market Trading Volume: Polymarket processed over $9 billion in trading volume throughout 2025, yet the platform's profitability model faces challenges, particularly given the highly uneven profitability among users, which could impact future user engagement and market confidence.
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Technical Analysis for
Technical Sentiment Analysis for () As of , () is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 0 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 0 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
() Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fibonacci | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
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