MicroStrategy's mNAV Drops to 1.06, Stock Falls Over 1%

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Dec 29 2025

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Record Low mNAV: MicroStrategy's mNAV has dropped to 1.06, indicating a severe mismatch between its enterprise value and Bitcoin holdings, which has weakened investor confidence and may impact its future financing capabilities.
Stock Price Decline: MSTR stock fell over 1% on Monday to $157.10, down nearly 47% year-to-date, reflecting growing market concerns about its Bitcoin strategy and potentially leading to increased selling pressure.
Bitcoin Price Volatility: Bitcoin is trading around $87,200, with a 24-hour low of $86,717 and a high of $90,299, creating uncertainty in market expectations for its future trajectory, which heightens investment risks.
Increased Cash Reserves: MicroStrategy has boosted its USD reserves to $2.19 billion instead of purchasing more Bitcoin, indicating a cautious approach to the current market environment, which may affect its long-term Bitcoin accumulation strategy.

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Strong sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 4 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 4 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	41959.884	50979.942	61383.884	70403.942	80807.884	89827.942	100231.884
Fibonacci	50979.942	58399.91	62983.974	70403.942	77823.91	82407.974	89827.942

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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