Kalshi Predicts 57% Impeachment Probability for Trump in 2025-2029 Term
- Rising Impeachment Odds: Kalshi reports a 57% probability of Trump's impeachment during his 2025-2029 term, indicating heightened political risk perceptions that could impact investor confidence and market stability.
- Significant Political Impact: With a projected 72% chance of Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms, the correlation between impeachment expectations and political shifts suggests a potential increase in impeachment likelihood.
- Increased Market Volatility: Political events are beginning to influence cryptocurrency markets, and while Bitcoin's performance remains relatively stable, the uncertainty surrounding political developments may lead to short-term market fluctuations affecting investor decisions.
- Surge in Trading Volume: The trading volume of event contracts related to impeachment has surged, reflecting market focus on Trump's legal challenges and midterm outcomes, highlighting investor sensitivity to future political dynamics.
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Technical Analysis for TRUMP
Technical Sentiment Analysis for OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) As of , OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 7 technical signals, shows that 4 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for TRUMP stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, TRUMP is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 1.511 | 2.266 | 3.091 | 3.846 | 4.671 | 5.426 | 6.251 |
| Fibonacci | 2.266 | 2.869 | 3.242 | 3.846 | 4.449 | 4.822 | 5.426 |
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