Is the Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Approaching Its Conclusion?

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Oct 10 2025

Should l Buy BTC?

Bitcoin's Current Cycle: Unlike previous cycles, Bitcoin has not shown a blow-off top or euphoric price action following the April 2024 halving, suggesting a potential end to the traditional 4-year cycle.
Future Liquidity Impact: A significant liquidity boost is anticipated in late 2025 and early 2026, which could drive a delayed rally for Bitcoin, aligning it more closely with macroeconomic trends rather than just its internal tokenomics.
Shift to Macro Asset: If Bitcoin rallies in 2026, it may transition into a macro asset, similar to gold or equities, as institutions increasingly view it as a hedge against economic fluctuations.
Long-term Growth Potential: The fading of the 4-year cycle, combined with global liquidity trends, could lead to greater stability, deeper adoption, and sustained growth for Bitcoin beyond previous hype-driven cycles.

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 3 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	36072.728	48036.364	60342.748	72306.384	84612.768	96576.404	108882.788
Fibonacci	48036.364	57307.512	63035.236	72306.384	81577.532	87305.256	96576.404

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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