Institutional Capital Favors Gold as Bitcoin Declines 11.24% in 2025
- Divergence in Investor Behavior: According to a CryptoQuant report, from December 1, 2024, to December 1, 2025, Bitcoin depreciated by 11.24% while gold appreciated by 61.4%, indicating a clear preference for traditional safe-haven assets amid heightened uncertainty.
- Gold Price Hits Record Highs: As of the latest data, gold is trading near $4,580 per ounce, marking its strongest annual performance since 1979, reflecting strong market demand for gold and caution towards Bitcoin.
- Institutional Expectations Favor Gold: Major financial institutions like JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America project gold prices reaching $5,000 in 2026, with Polymarket assigning a 79% probability to this outcome, underscoring a strong consensus around continued gold strength.
- Digital Market Safety Shift: In digital markets, tokenized gold products dominate on-chain commodity exposure, with Pax Gold and Tether Gold holding market capitalizations of $1.1 billion and $1.64 billion respectively, together representing nearly 80% of the tokenized commodities sector.
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Technical Analysis for XAUt
Technical Sentiment Analysis for Tether Gold (XAUt) As of , Tether Gold (XAUt) is exhibiting a Buy technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 3 technical signals, shows that 3 indicators are flashing buy, while 0 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XAUt stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, XAUt is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
Tether Gold (XAUt) Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 3847.303 | 4136.886 | 4507.983 | 4797.566 | 5168.663 | 5458.246 | 5829.343 |
| Fibonacci | 4136.886 | 4389.266 | 4545.187 | 4797.566 | 5049.946 | 5205.867 | 5458.246 |
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