Bitcoin's 2026 Price Surge Expectations Weaken, Only 21% Probability for $150,000
- Market Confidence Weakens: Despite analysts predicting a bull market for Bitcoin in 2026, Polymarket data reveals that investors assign only a 21% probability for Bitcoin to reach $150,000 this year, indicating a significant decline in market confidence.
- Price Expectation Analysis: A poll shows that investors believe there is a 45% chance Bitcoin will hit $120,000 in 2026, while the probability for $130,000 drops to just 35%, reflecting a generally low expectation for Bitcoin's rebound.
- Safe Investment Choice: Currently, Polymarket investors view Bitcoin reaching $100,000 as the safest bet, pricing it at 80%, which highlights a cautious outlook on future price movements.
- Policy Impact Factors: Analysts' bullish predictions for Bitcoin are partly driven by expectations that the new Fed chairman will further lower interest rates, along with the approval of the CLARITY Act, which may bring greater regulatory clarity to the market and facilitate corporate adoption.
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Technical Analysis for
Technical Sentiment Analysis for () As of , () is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 0 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 0 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
() Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fibonacci | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
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