Bitcoin Surpasses $100K in 2024 Amid Macroeconomic Constraints
- Price Breakthrough: Bitcoin surged from around $42,000 to over $100,000 in 2024, primarily driven by stablecoin inflows and exchange outflows, although macroeconomic factors capped potential gains.
- Valuation Metric Changes: During this period, the Bitcoin market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio increased from 1.8 to approximately 2.2, remaining below overheating levels, highlighting the complex relationship between market health and economic conditions.
- Macroeconomic Impact: In 2025, despite strong onchain metrics, rising real yields and Federal Reserve balance sheet reductions led to increased price volatility, limiting further gains.
- Future Market Outlook: The analysis suggests that Bitcoin's future rallies will depend more on easing macroeconomic conditions rather than just onchain activity, indicating that investors should monitor macroeconomic indicators to navigate market dynamics.
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Technical Analysis for BTC
Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 4 technical signals, shows that 1 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 36425.103 | 48212.552 | 61160.853 | 72948.302 | 85896.603 | 97684.052 | 110632.353 |
| Fibonacci | 48212.552 | 57661.608 | 63499.245 | 72948.302 | 82397.358 | 88234.995 | 97684.052 |
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