Bitcoin May Drop to $70,000 if Fed Maintains Rates Through Q1 2026

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Dec 26 2025

Should l Buy BTC?

Price Prediction: BTSE COO Jeff Mei forecasts that Bitcoin could drop to $70,000 if the Federal Reserve maintains steady interest rates through Q1 2026, highlighting Bitcoin's high sensitivity to U.S. monetary policy.
Market Impact: The potential decline in Bitcoin's price underscores its dependence on U.S. economic conditions, which may lead to adjustments in investor strategies and exacerbate volatility in the cryptocurrency market.
Economic Complexity: Mei's prediction adds complexity to the current economic landscape, and while direct confirmation from primary sources is lacking, market participants remain closely attuned to the Fed's future policy decisions.
Increased Uncertainty: Economists express caution regarding the Fed's historical influence on financial markets, noting that while decreased volatility may mitigate abrupt shocks, the crypto sector still faces prolonged uncertainty.

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 3 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	36142.556	48071.278	60412.576	72341.298	84682.596	96611.318	108952.616
Fibonacci	48071.278	57342.426	63070.15	72341.298	81612.446	87340.17	96611.318

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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