Bitcoin Fails to Confirm Price Gains Post-2024 Halving in 2025

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Jan 01 2026

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Halving Impact: The April 2024 Bitcoin halving reduced block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, leading to decreased miner revenue and failing to confirm price gains by the end of 2025, which challenges the historical trend of post-halving price surges.
Industry Consolidation Expectations: Due to reduced profitability, industry analysts speculate on potential further consolidation, where larger, more efficient miners may benefit while smaller miners with higher operational costs exit the market, impacting competitive dynamics.
ETF Approval Effects: Although the SEC's approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 aimed to boost adoption, the anticipated price spikes did not materialize in 2025, highlighting economic factors as a key area of analysis and reflecting market uncertainty.
Data Scarcity: Current data scarcity complicates final evaluations of Bitcoin's performance in 2025, with analysts emphasizing the need for reliable primary sources for accurate market assessments, indicating a heightened focus on future trends.

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 3 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	36103.034	48051.517	60373.054	72321.537	84643.074	96591.557	108913.094
Fibonacci	48051.517	57322.665	63050.389	72321.537	81592.685	87320.409	96591.557

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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