Bitcoin Experiences Worst Q4 Since 2018 Collapse with Nearly 22% Drop

Written by Ohris M. Greyoon, Blockchain & Crypto Expert

Source: Coinmarketcap

Updated: Dec 22 2025

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Bitcoin's Q4 Performance: Bitcoin is projected to close Q4 2025 with a nearly 22% loss, marking its weakest performance in this quarter since the 2018 market collapse, contrasting with previous years where it typically posted gains.
Market Behavior and On-Chain Data: The decline is attributed to fading speculative interest and macroeconomic pressures, with on-chain data indicating reduced participation from large traders and a cooling phase in the market.
Price Trends: As of now, Bitcoin is trading around $89,000, showing a slight increase in the last 24 hours but down over 2% in the past two weeks, and nearly 29% below its all-time high of $126,000.
Global Economic Factors: Analysts suggest that global macro conditions, such as interest rate changes by the Bank of Japan, are contributing to the muted risk appetite in the crypto market, further impacting Bitcoin's performance.

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Technical Analysis for BTC

Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 3 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.

Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.

Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.

Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level

Name	S3	S2	S1	Pivot Points	R1	R2	R3
Classic	36100.923	48050.461	60370.943	72320.481	84640.963	96590.501	108910.983
Fibonacci	48050.461	57321.609	63049.334	72320.481	81591.629	87319.354	96590.501

About BTC

Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.

About the author

Ohris M. Greyoon

Ohris M. Greyoon holds a Master’s in Computer Science from MIT and has 10 years of experience in blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. A pioneer in decentralized finance (DeFi) analysis, he leads Intellectia’s Crypto News, offering cutting-edge insights into digital assets.

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