Arthur Hayes Predicts U.S. Politics Will Drive Bitcoin Surge by 2028
- Political Impact Analysis: Arthur Hayes argues that a Republican victory in the 2028 U.S. elections will lead to aggressive money printing, creating historically bullish conditions for Bitcoin and other risk assets, provided gasoline prices remain stable.
- 10% Rule: He introduces the '10% rule,' stating that if gas prices rise more than 10% in the three months before an election compared to January levels, it typically results in a shift in government control, compelling Trump to 'run the economy hot' without spiking fuel prices.
- Market Signals: Hayes emphasizes the 10-year Treasury yield and the MOVE Index as key market signals, warning that if yields approach 5% and volatility spikes, it could force policymakers to tighten stimulus, posing a threat to Bitcoin's liquidity expansion.
- Trading Strategy: He reveals that his firm Maelstrom is operating at maximum risk exposure for 2026, planning to continue accumulating Bitcoin while rotating capital into privacy-focused tokens and decentralized finance plays, aiming for superior returns amid credit expansion.
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Technical Analysis for TRUMP
Technical Sentiment Analysis for OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) As of , OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is exhibiting a Neutral technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 7 technical signals, shows that 4 indicators are flashing buy, while 3 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for TRUMP stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the stock.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages From a structural perspective, TRUMP is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 1.514 | 2.267 | 3.094 | 3.847 | 4.674 | 5.427 | 6.254 |
| Fibonacci | 2.267 | 2.87 | 3.243 | 3.847 | 4.45 | 4.823 | 5.427 |
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