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Technical Sentiment Analysis for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). As of 2026-02-13, VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) is exhibiting a Strong sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 11 technical signals, shows that 3 indicators are flashing buy, while 8 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for HODL stands at 34.54, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -1.78, providing a Sell signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at 17.37 and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at -81.43 further confirm a -4.26 outlook for the ETF.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, HODL is trading below its 60-day moving average of $24.43 and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $29.19. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $22.34 and strong support at $17.5. A break above $22.34 could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $17.5 may test the next Fibonacci floor at $15.14.
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 12.67 | 15.14 | 17.5 | 19.97 | 22.34 | 24.81 | 27.17 |
| Fibonacci | 15.14 | 16.98 | 18.13 | 19.97 | 21.82 | 22.96 | 24.81 |
2026-02-13
| Name | Value |
|---|---|
| Relative Strength Index (RSI) | 34.54 |
| Stochastic Oscillator | 17.37 |
| Stochastic RSI | 19.34 |
| Commodity Channel Index (CCI) | -81.43 |
| Awesome Oscillator | -4.61 |
| Momentum | -4.26 |
| MACD | -1.78 |
2026-02-13
| Period | Simple | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Day | 19.3 | Buy |
| 10-Day | 19.87 | Sell |
| 20-Day | 22.49 | Sell |
| 60-Day | 24.43 | Sell |
| 200-Day | 29.19 | Sell |
| 250-Day | 28.25 | Sell |