Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 02/05 07:30:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 2.47B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.67 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast anticipates a 'Beat' driven by strong fundamental momentum in ICE's core businesses and strategic innovations.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Fact data indicates strong fundamental momentum in ICE’s core exchange and data services businesses, with catalysts likely to drive revenue and EPS above consensus:
- Record Open Interest & Trading Volume:
ICE reported record open interest of 114M contracts (up 20% YoY) in January 2026, driven by commodities (72M contracts, up 8% YoY) and oil futures ( 18.6M, up 17% YoY). Higher open interest directly boosts transaction revenue and recurring data fees.
December 2025 ADV grew 19% YoY, with Q4 ADV up 7% YoY, signaling sustained demand for ICE’s exchange platforms.
- Tokenization & NYSE Innovation:
NYSE’s tokenized securities platform (announced Jan 2026) positions ICE to capture institutional demand for 24/7 trading and instant settlement, enhancing recurring data revenue.
Partnership with MSCI for benchmark index options listings (effective 2026) expands product offerings, supporting transaction revenue growth.
- Regulatory Tailwinds:
- UK Energy Department re-appointed ICE to host carbon auctions until 2028, securing steady revenue from emissions trading.
- Cost Discipline:
- No negative expense-related news suggests operating expenses remain within guidance, allowing EPS leverage on revenue upside.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
- Directional Call: Buy ICE stock pre-earnings, targeting $180-185 (3-6% upside) on Beat/Strong Beat.
- Options Play: Sell $175 puts to capitalize on bullish sentiment, or buy $180 calls for leveraged upside.
- Hedge: Pair ICE with short CME Group (competitor) to isolate ICE’s tokenization/data growth narrative.
Rationale: High expectations (20% YTD stock outperformance) demand a Beat, but Fact Data supports upside via structural growth in derivatives/data.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
ICE Transcript
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with record revenues in several segments and optimistic guidance. The Q&A session reveals positive sentiment from analysts, focusing on growth opportunities in mortgage technology and energy markets. Despite some management ambiguity, the overall outlook is positive, supported by AI integration and strategic partnerships. The absence of negative financial indicators and the presence of growth drivers suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
ICE Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Intercontinental Exchange Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onFeb 5, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Intercontinental Exchange Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 2.47B in revenue and an EPS of 1.67 for Intercontinental Exchange Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Intercontinental Exchange Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forIntercontinental Exchange Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 5, 2026. Intercontinental Exchange Inc The earnings forecast anticipates a 'Beat' driven by strong fundamental momentum in ICE's core businesses and strategic innovations.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade ICE Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 5, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Intercontinental Exchange Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
