Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) Earning Prediction
Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) is set to release its earnings performance on 02/13 06:30:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 311.01M and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.74 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
ESNT Transcript
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 13% increase in book value per share and significant shareholder returns, including a 10% reduction in shares outstanding. Despite some concerns raised in the Q&A, such as lower NIW and stable gross premium yield, the company's strategic focus on long-term value and capital efficiency, including entering the Lloyd's market, supports a positive outlook. The optimistic guidance and robust financial health are likely to result in a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals stable financial performance with a slight increase in EPS and a stable ROE. However, there are concerns about increased provisions for losses and a higher default rate. The Q&A section indicates some analyst concerns over unclear management responses and potential volatility in ceded premiums. Despite a positive outlook on housing and strategic capital management, the lack of significant catalysts or strong guidance suggests a neutral stock price movement. The company's focus on maintaining a conservative balance sheet and strategic growth opportunities further supports a neutral sentiment.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including high operating cash flow and a low debt-to-capital ratio. The Q&A session reveals confidence in the credit outlook and a proactive buyback strategy, suggesting management's belief in undervaluation. Despite some uncertainties in home price trends, the overall sentiment is positive due to operational efficiencies, strong capital position, and strategic shareholder returns.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include a dividend increase and significant share repurchases, which typically boost stock prices. However, financial performance shows a slight decline in net income and EPS, coupled with operational challenges like affordability issues and competitive pressures. The Q&A section reveals management's uncertainty about market conditions and reluctance to provide specific guidance, which could be concerning for investors. Overall, these factors balance out, leading to a neutral sentiment, with stock price movement likely staying within a -2% to 2% range.
ESNT Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Essent Group Ltd {quarter} Earnings Release Date and Time?
Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) is scheduled to release its {quarter} earnings report on Feb 13, 2026, Pre-Market (approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Essent Group Ltd {quarter} Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 311.01M in revenue and an EPS of 1.74 for Essent Group Ltd's {quarter}.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Essent Group Ltd {quarter} Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a {conclusion} for Essent Group Ltd's {quarter} earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 13, 2026. Essent Group Ltd {summary}
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade ESNT Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of the Feb 13, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Essent Group Ltd {quarter}?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company's earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They're updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
