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The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with a significant increase in net income and revenue driven by collaboration agreements. Product development updates, including the commercial launch of REDEMPLO and partnerships with Novartis and Sarepta, are promising. However, management's avoidance of specific questions in the Q&A might cause slight concern. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a positive stock price movement prediction of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Net Income $30.8 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, compared to a net loss of $173.1 million in the prior year. This represents a significant improvement, driven by revenue from license and collaboration agreements.
Revenue $264 million for the quarter, primarily driven by license and collaboration agreements with Sarepta and Novartis. This is a substantial increase compared to the prior year, attributed to milestone payments and upfront payments from collaborations.
Operating Expenses $223 million for the quarter, up from $164 million in the prior year. The increase is due to higher R&D expenses (up $40 million) and SG&A expenses (up $19 million), driven by clinical trial costs and commercialization investments.
Cash and Investments $917 million as of December 31, 2025, not including additional milestone payments and financing transactions completed in early 2026. This reflects a strong financial position.
FDA approval of REDEMPLO: REDEMPLO was approved as an adjunct to diet to reduce triglycerides in adults with familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS).
Launch of REDEMPLO: REDEMPLO was launched independently in the U.S. with over 100 prescriptions received within 10 weeks of launch.
Expansion of cardiometabolic pipeline: Ongoing Phase III study of zodasiran for homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HoFH) and early clinical data for obesity treatments ARO-INHBE and ARO-ALK7.
Development of ARO-DIMER-PA: Initiated Phase I/II study for mixed hyperlipidemia, targeting PCSK9 and APOC3 genes.
International approvals for REDEMPLO: REDEMPLO received approval in Canada and China, with plans for independent marketing in Canada and partnership with Sanofi in China.
Potential EU and UK launch: Pending regulatory review, REDEMPLO may launch in select EU countries and the UK later this year.
Financial performance: Net income of $30.8 million for the quarter, driven by $264 million in revenue from collaborations and initial commercial sales of REDEMPLO.
Strengthened balance sheet: Raised $1.33 billion through licensing agreements, milestone payments, and public offerings.
Collaboration with Novartis: Entered a global licensing agreement for ARO-SNCA, receiving $200 million upfront and potential milestone payments up to $2 billion.
Focus on CNS portfolio: Dosed first subjects in Phase I/II trial for ARO-MAPT targeting tauopathies, including Alzheimer’s disease.
Regulatory Approval and Commercialization Challenges: The company has received regulatory approval for REDEMPLO in the U.S., Canada, and China, but faces challenges in launching the product in additional markets such as the EU and the U.K., pending regulatory review and approval. This could delay revenue generation and market penetration.
Market Competition: REDEMPLO faces competition from existing treatments like olezarsen, which could impact its market share and adoption rates. Additionally, the company is entering a competitive landscape in obesity and cardiovascular disease treatments.
Supply Chain and Distribution: The company has only had REDEMPLO in the channel for 10 weeks, and early distribution challenges could impact initial sales and customer satisfaction.
Clinical Development Risks: The company is heavily reliant on the success of its ongoing Phase III studies for plozasiran and other pipeline candidates. Any delays or failures in these trials could significantly impact future revenue and strategic objectives.
Financial Sustainability: While the company has strengthened its balance sheet, it remains dependent on achieving commercial success and meeting milestones in its collaboration agreements to sustain operations and fund future developments.
Regulatory and Payer Risks: Although initial payer feedback for REDEMPLO has been positive, there is still uncertainty around broader payer acceptance and coverage, which could impact patient access and sales.
Early-Stage Pipeline Uncertainty: The company’s early-stage programs, such as ARO-INHBE and ARO-ALK7 for obesity, show promise but are still in early phases of development. There is substantial work ahead to validate these candidates, and failure could impact long-term growth.
Economic and Market Conditions: Broader economic uncertainties and market conditions could impact the company’s ability to achieve its financial and strategic goals, particularly in launching new products and expanding its market presence.
Commercial sales progress for REDEMPLO: Arrowhead anticipates continued progress in commercial sales of REDEMPLO, a drug approved for familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS). Early trends in prescription payer interactions and shipments have been encouraging, with over 100 prescriptions received to date. The company expects further geographic expansion and payer engagement to support growth.
Phase III SHASTA-3 and SHASTA-4 studies of plozasiran: Arrowhead expects a Q3 2026 readout of Phase III SHASTA-3 and SHASTA-4 studies for plozasiran in patients with severe hypertriglyceridemia (SHTG). The company believes this could represent a $3 billion to $4 billion commercial opportunity.
ARO-DIMER-PA clinical trial: Interim data for ARO-DIMER-PA, targeting PCSK9 and APOC3 for LDL and triglyceride lowering, is expected in the second half of 2026. This drug may address mixed hyperlipidemia, a condition affecting approximately 20 million patients in the U.S.
ARO-INHBE and ARO-ALK7 obesity programs: Additional data from ARO-INHBE and ARO-ALK7 obesity programs are expected in 2026. Early results have shown promising weight loss and fat reduction outcomes, particularly in combination with tirzepatide for obese patients with type 2 diabetes.
ARO-MAPT CNS program: Interim clinical data for ARO-MAPT, targeting tau protein for Alzheimer's disease and tauopathies, is anticipated in 2026. This program utilizes a proprietary blood-brain barrier delivery system and could validate Arrowhead's CNS pipeline.
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The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with a significant increase in net income and revenue driven by collaboration agreements. Product development updates, including the commercial launch of REDEMPLO and partnerships with Novartis and Sarepta, are promising. However, management's avoidance of specific questions in the Q&A might cause slight concern. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a positive stock price movement prediction of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, strategic partnerships, and promising product development, such as the plozasiran launch and multiple drug pipelines. Despite some uncertainties in clinical trial outcomes and regulatory claims, the overall sentiment remains positive due to solid financial health, strategic partnerships, and optimistic guidance. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, likely resulting in a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
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