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News

6.5

02-06aastocks

Citi Anticipates Higher Commodity Prices Will Favor Basic Materials While Straining Auto and Mid-Tier Battery Firms

HSI Declines by 530 Points or 2%; Commodities Under Pressure; AIA and BIDU-SW Drop 4%

4.5

02-04aastocks

HSI Declines by 37 Points; Commodities Maintain Recovery; TENCENT Under Pressure

4.5

02-03aastocks

HSI Rises by 59 Points; Commodities Recover; HSBC Holdings and Standard Chartered Perform Well

Money Flow

Over the past 66 trading days, overall net money flow is -52.28M, with retail investors contributing -20.03M and major investors adding 24.92M.

Net Buy $ Volume

Net Sell $ Volume

Citi

Buy

maintain

2025-12-16

Reason

The analyst rating for JIANGXI COPPER is maintained as a "Buy" due to the expectation of overall gross profit growth driven by increased prices for copper, gold, and sulfuric acid, despite anticipated declines in gross profit from its copper smelting business and long-term operational pressures. Additionally, Citi has raised its target price, indicating a positive outlook on the stock's valuation.

Citi

Buy

Price Target

2025-12-16

maintain

The analyst rating for JIANGXI COPPER is maintained as a "Buy" due to the expectation of overall gross profit growth driven by increased prices for copper, gold, and sulfuric acid, despite anticipated declines in gross profit from its copper smelting business and long-term operational pressures. Additionally, Citi has raised its target price, indicating a positive outlook on the stock's valuation.

JPMorgan

Overweight

maintain

2025-12-04

Reason

JPMorgan's bullish outlook on copper prices and related stocks is driven by several factors: strong demand, severe supply disruptions, and reduced smelting capacity in China. The firm maintains an Overweight rating on ZIJIN MINING and CMOC due to their expected earnings growth and diversified assets in copper, gold, and cobalt. ZIJIN MINING is highlighted as a top pick because of its reasonable valuation. Conversely, an Underweight rating is assigned to JIANGXI COPPER due to persistently weak treatment and refining charges, along with slowed profit growth.

JPMorgan

Overweight

Price Target

2025-12-04

maintain

JPMorgan's bullish outlook on copper prices and related stocks is driven by several factors: strong demand, severe supply disruptions, and reduced smelting capacity in China. The firm maintains an Overweight rating on ZIJIN MINING and CMOC due to their expected earnings growth and diversified assets in copper, gold, and cobalt. ZIJIN MINING is highlighted as a top pick because of its reasonable valuation. Conversely, an Underweight rating is assigned to JIANGXI COPPER due to persistently weak treatment and refining charges, along with slowed profit growth.

Morgan Stanley

initiated

2025-11-26

Reason

The analyst rating from Morgan Stanley is based on the expectation that the strict limitations on new copper smelting capacity and the planned shutdown of approximately 2 million tons of illegally constructed copper smelting capacity in China will positively impact copper prices. This, in turn, is anticipated to benefit major copper producers, leading to an expected rise in the share prices of JIANGXI COPPER and CMOC within the next 15 days, with a probability of 70-80% for this scenario. Consequently, Morgan Stanley rated both stocks as Overweight, with target prices set at $37.3 for JIANGXI COPPER and $18.6 for CMOC.

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

2025-11-26

initiated

The analyst rating from Morgan Stanley is based on the expectation that the strict limitations on new copper smelting capacity and the planned shutdown of approximately 2 million tons of illegally constructed copper smelting capacity in China will positively impact copper prices. This, in turn, is anticipated to benefit major copper producers, leading to an expected rise in the share prices of JIANGXI COPPER and CMOC within the next 15 days, with a probability of 70-80% for this scenario. Consequently, Morgan Stanley rated both stocks as Overweight, with target prices set at $37.3 for JIANGXI COPPER and $18.6 for CMOC.

UBS

upgrade

$50

2025-10-15

Reason

The analyst rating from UBS is based on the adjustment of copper price forecasts due to tightening industry fundamentals. This tightening is attributed to several factors: reduced production guidance from Indonesia's Grasberg mine, accidents at the Kamoa Kakula mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Chile's El Teniente mine, and protests in Peru. These issues are expected to exacerbate short-term supply risks for copper mines, leading to an increase in earnings estimates for companies like ZIJIN MINING, CMOC, and JIANGXI COPPER, all of which were rated as "Buy."

UBS

Price Target

$50

2025-10-15

upgrade

The analyst rating from UBS is based on the adjustment of copper price forecasts due to tightening industry fundamentals. This tightening is attributed to several factors: reduced production guidance from Indonesia's Grasberg mine, accidents at the Kamoa Kakula mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Chile's El Teniente mine, and protests in Peru. These issues are expected to exacerbate short-term supply risks for copper mines, leading to an increase in earnings estimates for companies like ZIJIN MINING, CMOC, and JIANGXI COPPER, all of which were rated as "Buy."

Valuation Metrics

Forward PE

5Y Average PE

7.08

Current PE

14.73

Overvalued PE

8.87

Undervalued PE

5.30

Forward EV/EBITDA

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

7.64

Current EV/EBITDA

12.14

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

8.85

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

6.43

Forward PS

5Y Average PS

0.13

Current PS

0.28

Overvalued PS

0.16

Undervalued PS

0.09

Financials

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