Top gaining stocks over the next 7 days

Quick Note on Predicting “Top Gainers”

No screen can guarantee which stocks will be the top gainers over the next 7 days. What we can do is bias the search toward stocks that, based on historical patterns and models, have a higher probability of rising and producing meaningful returns in that period. The filters below are designed exactly for that.

Screening Filters

1. Market Cap ≥ $500,000,000

   • Purpose: Focus on mid‑cap and larger companies, avoiding extremely small and highly speculative micro‑caps.
   • Rationale:
     • Very small companies can indeed have huge short‑term moves, but they are also extremely risky, illiquid, and more prone to manipulation.
     • A $500M+ market cap filter balances potential upside with a more reasonable level of stability and data reliability for any predictive model.

2. Share Price between $2 and $200

   • Purpose: Exclude penny stocks and extremely high-priced outliers.
   • Rationale:
     • Stocks under $2 are often distressed or highly speculative, prone to extreme volatility and low liquidity.
     • Capping at $200 keeps out very high-priced names where small percentage moves require large capital, and where some retail traders may be less active.
     • This range targets stocks that are more tradable for most investors while still offering upside.

3. Monthly Average Dollar Volume ≥ $500,000

   • Purpose: Ensure the stocks are sufficiently liquid (enough trading activity in dollar terms).
   • Rationale:
     • Higher dollar volume means easier trade execution with tighter spreads and less slippage.
     • Illiquid stocks can show big jumps on minimal volume, which can look attractive on paper but are hard to trade in and out of.
     • The filter keeps the focus on names where a predicted move is more realistically tradable.

4. Region: United States

   • Purpose: Limit the universe to U.S.-listed companies.
   • Rationale:
     • Aligns with many investors’ preference and regulatory familiarity.
     • U.S. markets typically have strong disclosure standards and liquidity.
     • It removes currency and some geopolitical variables that may complicate short-term prediction.

5. Exchange: XNYS, XNAS, XASE (NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX)

   • Purpose: Restrict to major, reputable U.S. exchanges.
   • Rationale:
     • These exchanges have higher listing standards and better liquidity than OTC or pink sheet markets.
     • It further reduces exposure to extremely speculative or poorly regulated securities, which might skew “top gainer” screens but with much higher risk.

6. One-Week Rise Probability ≥ 60%

   • Purpose: Select stocks with a model-estimated probability of rising over the next 7 days of at least 60%.
   • Rationale:
     • Directly addresses your request for “top gaining stocks over the next 7 days” by focusing on names with a statistically higher chance of a positive 1‑week move.
     • A 60% threshold is meaningfully above random (around 50%), tilting the basket toward names where the model sees favorable conditions.
     • This doesn’t guarantee gains, but it filters to stocks with historically better odds of short-term upside.

7. One-Week Predicted Return ≥ 5%

   • Purpose: Require the magnitude of the expected 7‑day move to be significant (at least +5%).
   • Rationale:
     • A stock might have a high probability of a small gain (e.g., +1%), which may not be very interesting.
     • By adding a minimum predicted return, you narrow the list to candidates that are not only likely to rise but also expected to move enough to matter.
     • This aligns with the spirit of “top gaining” by favoring stocks with meaningful potential upside, not just any positive move.

Why the Results Match Your Request

• The one_week_rise_prob ≥ 60% and one_week_predict_return ≥ 5% filters are the core: they explicitly target stocks that models suggest are both likely to rise and to do so by a meaningful percentage over the next 7 days.
• The market cap, price range, and liquidity (dollar volume) filters make sure these candidates are not just theoretical winners but are also tradable, relatively stable, and less prone to manipulation.
• The U.S. region and major exchange filters keep the universe well‑regulated and liquid, which is important for both the quality of predictions and practical trading.

In combination, these filters don’t promise “top gainers,” but they’re designed to surface a focused list of U.S. stocks with higher short-term upside probability and reasonable tradability for the coming 7 days.