Uber Technologies Inc (UBER) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Uber Technologies Inc (UBER) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 02/04 06:55:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 14.29B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.79 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
Uber's Q4 performance is expected to beat expectations, driven by partnerships, AV advancements, and grocery delivery growth.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
The Fact Data provides a mixed but leaning-positive outlook for Uber’s Q4 performance:
Partnerships and Expansion: Strategic moves like the Kroger partnership (adding nearly 2,700 stores to Uber Eats), AV collaborations (Waabi, Mercedes/Nvidia), and expansion into rural Japan and Israel suggest incremental growth in mobility trips and grocery delivery. These initiatives align with Uber’s core metrics of audience growth and grocery gross bookings.
Analyst Sentiment: Multiple analysts (BofA, KeyBanc, Arete) highlight upside potential in bookings/revenue due to strong adoption rates, partnerships, and overblown AV risks. However, EBITDA estimates face headwinds from growth investments.
Competitive Pressures: Grubhub’s fee elimination for orders over $50 and NYC’s tip-reduction report could pressure margins, but Uber’s diversified delivery ecosystem (grocery scaling faster than restaurant) may offset this.
AV Progress: Near-term AV risks are dismissed (Jefferies notes AVs won’t impact growth until 2027), while AV Labs and partnerships signal long-term operational efficiencies.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
Long Stock/Options: Buy shares or Feb 2026 $85 calls to capitalize on potential upside from bookings/revenue beats.
Pairs Trade: Long Uber vs. Short Lyft (LYFT), given Uber’s stronger AV partnerships and grocery momentum.
Hedge: Buy Feb 2026 $75 puts as protection against NYC tip-regulation risks or macro headwinds.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
UBER Transcript
The earnings call highlights Uber's strategic investments in autonomous vehicles, partnerships, and expansion into new markets, which are expected to drive future growth. The company's focus on customer retention through new products and membership programs, along with a balanced approach to reinvestment and shareholder returns, indicates a strong strategic position. The Q&A session further reinforces confidence with clear management responses and detailed plans. Despite initial lower margins for AVs, the long-term outlook is optimistic, supporting a positive sentiment for the stock price movement.
The earnings call reveals strong growth in gross bookings and record trip numbers, particularly in grocery retail. The NVIDIA partnership and AV deployment plans indicate future potential. Despite some uncertainty in AV profitability and unclear timelines, the overall sentiment is positive due to strategic expansions, increasing membership benefits, and legislative wins. The Q&A section highlights growth in urban and suburban markets, and strong results in Mobility. The positive aspects outweigh the concerns, suggesting a likely positive stock price movement.
UBER Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Uber Technologies Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Uber Technologies Inc (UBER) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onFeb 4, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Uber Technologies Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 14.29B in revenue and an EPS of 0.79 for Uber Technologies Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Uber Technologies Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forUber Technologies Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 4, 2026. Uber Technologies Inc Uber's Q4 performance is expected to beat expectations, driven by partnerships, AV advancements, and grocery delivery growth.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade UBER Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 4, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Uber Technologies Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
