TotalEnergies SE (TTE) FY2025Q2 Earning Prediction
TotalEnergies SE (TTE) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 07/24 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 42.92B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.62 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a 'Beat' driven by LNG recovery, strategic acquisitions, and operational efficiency improvements.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Fact Data Analysis
- Production Growth
Positive: Strategic acquisitions (Block 53 Suriname, Malaysia/Indonesia blocks, Lapa stake increase) and offshore wind concessions signal long-term growth potential. Bernstein highlights TTE’s "strongest production growth" in the sector.
Negative: Divestment of Argentina shale assets and Nigeria’s Bonga Field (11k barrels/day loss) will offset near-term growth. Piper Sandler notes Q2 guidance is "in-line," suggesting no material upside.
Net: Likely meets but does not significantly exceed 4% YoY growth.
- Operating Costs
Positive: Partnership with Emerson’s AspenTech for AI-driven operational efficiency and divestments (Nigeria, biogas units) could reduce costs.
Negative: Limited explicit evidence of sustained cost reductions below $ 4.9/barrel equivalent.
Net: Stable OpEx with possible marginal improvement.
- Adjusted Net LNG Income
Positive: Ksi Lisims LNG agreement (2 Mtpa for 20 years), Suriname/GranMorgu expansion, and Malaysia-PETRONAS partnership signal LNG segment recovery.
Negative: Integrated LNG remains exposed to volatile Asian LNG prices.
Net: Likely beats Q1’s 10% decline due to new contracts and geographic diversification.
- Downstream Cash Flow
Negative: Piper Sandler warns of "lower upside" due to weak refined margins. No clear downstream operational catalysts in Fact Data.
Positive: Asset sales ($510M from Nigeria) provide cash inflow but are non-recurring.
Net: Neutral to slight miss.
- Gearing Ratio
Positive: $510M Nigeria sale, biogas divestments, and renewables partnerships reduce debt. Bernstein cites "resilience" from low production costs.
Net: Likely declines toward 11%, supporting bullish sentiment.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Stock: Short-term bullish play into earnings (target $64-65) based on LNG recovery and gearing ratio progress.
- Options: Buy August $62.50 calls or sell $60 puts to capitalize on upside bias.
- Hedges: Pair with bearish positions in refiners (e.g., Valero) due to weak downstream margins.
Risks: OPEC+ supply hikes or oil price volatility could pressure EPS upside.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
TTE Transcript
The earnings call summary presents a mixed sentiment. While there are positive aspects like a focus on high-potential projects and digitalization, there are also concerns such as delays in divestments, unclear responses about cash flow growth, and challenges in chemicals. The Q&A session did not significantly alter the sentiment, as management provided strategic insights but also faced uncertainties with regulatory impacts and market challenges. Overall, the sentiment remains balanced, leading to a neutral prediction for stock price movement.
TotalEnergies reported strong financial performance with EPS exceeding expectations and a solid increase in cash flow. The company's commitment to maintaining a 40% buyback and positive guidance on CapEx and gearing ratio are reassuring. Although there were concerns about tariffs and refining margins, management's confidence in handling these issues, coupled with optimistic guidance on integrated power and renewables, indicates a positive outlook. The Q&A section showed analysts' interest in the company's strategic decisions, but management's responses were generally optimistic, supporting a positive sentiment.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with EPS exceeding expectations, a robust share buyback program, and strategic expansion into integrated power with safety enhancements. Although there are HSE risks, the company is proactively addressing them. The Q&A section highlighted some concerns, but overall sentiment remained positive with flexible strategies in LNG and AI investments. The positive earnings and strategic initiatives outweigh the potential risks, leading to an expected stock price increase.
TTE Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the TotalEnergies SE FY2025Q2 Earnings Release Date and Time?
TotalEnergies SE (TTE) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onJul 24, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for TotalEnergies SE FY2025Q2 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 42.92B in revenue and an EPS of 1.62 for TotalEnergies SE's FY2025Q2.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for TotalEnergies SE FY2025Q2 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forTotalEnergies SE's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jul 24, 2025. TotalEnergies SE The earnings forecast predicts a 'Beat' driven by LNG recovery, strategic acquisitions, and operational efficiency improvements.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade TTE Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJul 24, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like TotalEnergies SE FY2025Q2?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
