Sempra (SRE) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
Sempra (SRE) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 11/05 07:55:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 2.95B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.93 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a 'Beat' driven by positive developments in LNG contracts, Texas growth, and strategic financial decisions.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
- Positive Catalysts in Fact Data:
- Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 Final Investment Decision (FID) signals accelerated growth in Sempra Texas, backed by a $7B equity consortium and Baker Hughes’ equipment supply.
- $10B SIP Stake Sale improves balance sheet flexibility, reduces equity dilution risk (per Morgan Stanley), and supports accelerated capital deployment in Texas.
- LNG Supply Agreements (EQT, ConocoPhillips) secure long-term revenue visibility for Sempra Infrastructure.
- EPS Guidance Reaffirmed despite tax impacts from SIP sale, indicating confidence in execution.
Offsetting Factors:
Higher interest expense (BMO note) and delayed SIP transaction closing (2026) limit near-term upside.
California earnings lack concrete updates, but wildfire discount reduction (Evercore) mitigates downside.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Pre-Earnings Plays:
- Long Stock: Favorable risk/reward given consensus positioning and Texas catalysts.
- Bull Call Spread (Nov $95/$100): Capitalize on upside from LNG developments.
- Sell Put Spread (Nov $85/$80): Hedge against low volatility and capture premium.
Post-Earnings Catalyst:
- Monitor Port Arthur Phase 2 progress and SIP sale closing (expected 2026) for long-term holding.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
SRE Transcript
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, ambitious capital investment plans, and optimism about future growth, especially in Texas. Affirmed EPS guidance and the commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet are positive indicators. However, uncertainties in regulatory discussions and the SIP transaction leakage are concerns. Overall, the positive aspects, particularly the strategic focus on Texas and robust growth plans, outweigh the negatives, suggesting a positive stock price movement.
The earnings call shows positive sentiment with strong financial metrics, strategic investments, and optimistic guidance. The company plans significant infrastructure investments and portfolio realignment for growth. Customer affordability initiatives and potential equity sales with KKR indicate a focus on maximizing value. The Q&A reveals management's strategic flexibility and confidence in growth opportunities, despite some lack of specifics. The positive aspects outweigh uncertainties, suggesting a stock price increase.
Sempra's earnings call shows mixed signals. The affirmation of EPS guidance and strong financial results are positive, but regulatory risks and operational incidents pose concerns. The Q&A revealed management's reluctance to provide clear guidance on key issues, which may unsettle investors. The absence of a share buyback program or dividend increase limits positive catalysts. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as positive financial performance is offset by regulatory and operational risks, and lack of shareholder return initiatives.
The earnings call indicates a positive outlook with increased dividends and a robust capital plan. Adjusted earnings showed significant growth, and the company expects high growth rates in Texas. Despite some challenges, the management's responses in the Q&A suggest confidence in overcoming them. The consistent dividend increase and share repurchase plan further support a positive sentiment.
SRE Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sempra FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Sempra (SRE) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onNov 5, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Sempra FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 2.95B in revenue and an EPS of 0.93 for Sempra's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Sempra FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forSempra's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 5, 2025. Sempra The earnings forecast predicts a 'Beat' driven by positive developments in LNG contracts, Texas growth, and strategic financial decisions.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade SRE Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 5, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Sempra FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
