Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 01/29 07:00:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 5.58B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 2.12 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a neutral outcome due to a lack of immediate revenue drivers and no significant evidence of margin improvements.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Revenue: The $ 127.5M government contract begins in January 2026 (post-Q4), so it will not impact FY2025Q4 results. No other Fact Data points directly indicate outperformance in core segments (Paint Stores, Consumer Brands). Analyst upgrades focus on 2027 housing tailwinds, which are not immediate.
EPS: Deutsche Bank’s downgrade highlights concerns about prolonged sub-10% earnings growth. Mixed analyst targets (Citi/BofA/Mizuho) reflect uncertainty on cost controls and operational efficiency. No Fact Data confirms margin expansion or cost-saving initiatives for Q
- Key Concerns: Market expectations are modest (revenue estimate up slightly, EPS down), but Fact Data lacks evidence of a near-term catalyst to exceed consensus.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Options: Sell short-dated straddles (neutral outlook). Expect muted volatility given consensus alignment.
Stock: Avoid directional bets; monitor housing data/rate cut timelines for 2027 positioning.
Risk Note: Post-earnings volatility likely limited unless management provides 2027 guidance surprises.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
SHW Transcript
The earnings call indicates mixed signals: slight growth in key segments and disciplined cost management, but challenges in DIY demand and uncertain 2026 outlook. The Q&A highlights confidence in margin guidance and strategic market share focus but also notes competitive pressures and weather impacts. The lack of clarity on the mega merger's impact adds uncertainty. Overall, the balanced positives and negatives suggest a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts for significant short-term stock price movement.
The earnings call highlights several negative factors: reduced earnings guidance, sales expectations, and capital expenditures, alongside supply chain inefficiencies and softer sales volumes. The Q&A reveals pessimism about market recovery and limited organic growth in key segments. Despite potential synergies from the Suvinil acquisition, the overall sentiment is negative due to reduced guidance, restructuring costs, and a lack of clear recovery catalysts.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture: solid financial performance, strategic growth investments, and shareholder return initiatives are positive. However, the reaffirmation of guidance, choppy market demand, and volume weakness into 2026 are concerns. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence in market share gains and cost control but also notes challenges like margin decline and supply chain inefficiencies. Overall, the sentiment is neutral as positive factors are balanced by uncertainties and potential risks.
The earnings call presented mixed signals. Financial performance shows slight improvements, with EPS and some margin expansions. However, sales performance in key segments is weak, and there are concerns about market demand and supply chain challenges. The dividend increase is positive, but guidance remains cautious, with expectations of a choppy market. The Q&A highlighted management's uncertainty about tariffs and raw material costs, which could weigh on investor sentiment. Overall, the balance of positive and negative factors suggests a neutral stock price movement.
SHW Slides
SHW Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sherwin-Williams Co FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onJan 29, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Sherwin-Williams Co FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 5.58B in revenue and an EPS of 2.12 for Sherwin-Williams Co's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Sherwin-Williams Co FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral forSherwin-Williams Co's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 29, 2026. Sherwin-Williams Co The earnings forecast predicts a neutral outcome due to a lack of immediate revenue drivers and no significant evidence of margin improvements.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade SHW Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 29, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Sherwin-Williams Co FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
